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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 Kurang 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Chengdu Rongcheng II Jiangxi Liansheng ✖ Incorrect
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"fair_odds_away": 2.6,
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"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Jiangxi Liansheng or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "0%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "50%",
"winner_name": "Jiangxi Liansheng"
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"away_xg": 1.37,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
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"edge": 0.2157,
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
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},
"market_comparison": [
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"affi_link": "",
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],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
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"away_played": 10,
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"scores": [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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"source": "xG"
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Jiangxi Liansheng or Draw",
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{
"key": "12",
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"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Chengdu Rongcheng II",
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}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Jiangxi Liansheng or Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 38.5,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 31.9,
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},
"over_under": {
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"confidence": "low",
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"pick": "Over 2.5",
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},
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"home_team": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
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{
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"model_pct": 29.59
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{
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"kind": "1x2_a",
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},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.01,
"gap_pp": 5.19,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 56.99,
"gap_pp": -5.19,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.57,
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"kind": "1x2_h"
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{
"closing": 3.52,
"early": 3.52,
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"kind": "1x2_d"
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{
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{
"closing": 2.16,
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{
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"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
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}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
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},
"home_xg": 1.23,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2385,
"ev_no_display": {
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"raw_pct": -23.8,
"text": "-23.8%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.1859,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 18.6,
"text": "+18.6%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
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"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 10317.31,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0749,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 7.5,
"text": "+7.5%"
},
"ev_under": -0.1453,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -14.5,
"text": "-14.5%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0749,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10067.41,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0581,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 5.8,
"text": "+5.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.169,
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"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 5.8,
"text": "+5.8%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"side_label": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"sort_key": 10052.29,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "10/12",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/12 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +47.4%",
"alert_team": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 25.5,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -25.53,
"hero_label": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"market_prob_pct": 16.9,
"market_team": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"model_prob_pct": 38.5,
"model_team": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 94,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -25.53,
"fair_prob": 31.94,
"label": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"market_prob": 57.47,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.94,
"fair_prob": 29.57,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.63,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 21.59,
"fair_prob": 38.49,
"label": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"market_prob": 16.9,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.46,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 42.74,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.46,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 57.26,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.9,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 43.5,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.9,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 56.5,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -25.53,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.94,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"market_prob_pct": 57.47,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Chengdu Rongcheng II"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 25.53,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": true
},
"divergence_label": "Extreme model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"divergence_level_label": "Extreme divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs substantially from current market pricing. Large divergences can occur when rating inputs are incomplete, team-strength estimates are uncertain, or the market incorporates information not present in the model. Interpret with caution.",
"divergence_tier": "extreme",
"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 16.9,
"model_prob_pct": 38.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Chengdu Rongcheng II, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Jiangxi Liansheng remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -25.53,
"hero_label": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Chengdu Rongcheng II odds lengthened \u2191 +47.4%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 25.53,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 6.6 pp (at 38.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 6.6,
"max_prob_pct": 38.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -25.53,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.94,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"market_prob_pct": 57.47,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.94,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.57,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.63,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 21.59,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.49,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"market_prob_pct": 16.9,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Jiangxi Liansheng (16.9%).",
"However, Chengdu Rongcheng II has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +47.4%, 10/12).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Chengdu Rongcheng II, Market \u2192 Jiangxi Liansheng, Recent sharp money \u2192 Chengdu Rongcheng II.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 63.69,
"closing_odds": 1.57,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 63.69,
"entry_odds": 1.57,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_total": 12,
"breadth_display": "10/12",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 5.75,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +47.4%",
"move_pct_abs": 47.4,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 23h 57m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"10/12 books synchronized on Chengdu Rongcheng II (47.4% steam, score 94) \u2014 high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.",
"Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "5.75 \u2192 3.64 \u2192 5.75",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 23h 57m",
"pick_team": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "5.75"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.64"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "5.75"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,4.0 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 3.9,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Chengdu Rongcheng II \u2191 +47.4% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Chengdu Rongcheng II \u2191 +47.4% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "steam",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udd25",
"signal_key": "strong_steam",
"signal_label": "Strong steam",
"steam_score": 94,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/12",
"current_odds": 5.75,
"move_display": "\u2191 +47.4%",
"open_odds": 3.9,
"pick_team": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"steam_score": 94,
"steam_team_name": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"steam_tier": "A+"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 25.5,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 25839,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/25839.webp",
"away_team_name": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"country_code": "CN",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cn.svg",
"country_name": "China",
"fixture_id": 1532752,
"goals_away": 0,
"goals_home": 1,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "China",
"home_team_id": 5665,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/5665.webp",
"home_team_name": "Jiangxi Liansheng",
"league_country": "China",
"league_id": 929,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/929.webp",
"league_name": "League Two",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 11:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Second Half",
"status_short": "2H",
"venue_city": "Jiujiang",
"venue_name": "Ruichang Sports Park Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1353,
"best_odd": 5.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0292,
"ev": 0.0581,
"implied_prob": 0.169,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"p_final": 0.1981
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2822,
"best_odd": 3.52,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0112,
"ev": -0.0584,
"implied_prob": 0.2563,
"model_prob": 0.2959,
"p_final": 0.2675
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3703,
"best_odd": 1.57,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0945,
"ev": -0.2461,
"implied_prob": 0.5747,
"model_prob": 0.3195,
"p_final": 0.4802
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.67,
"best_yes_odd": 2.18,
"edge_no": -0.109,
"edge_yes": 0.109,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2385,
"ev_yes": 0.1859,
"implied_no": 0.565,
"implied_yes": 0.435,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.23,
"best_under_odd": 1.65,
"edge_over": 0.0546,
"edge_under": -0.0546,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0749,
"ev_under": -0.1453,
"implied_over": 0.4274,
"implied_under": 0.5726,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1859,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2959,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3846,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.14
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0292,
"ev": 0.0581,
"implied_prob": 0.169,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Chengdu Rongcheng II"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.109,
"ev": 0.1859,
"implied_prob": 0.435,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0546,
"ev": 0.0749,
"implied_prob": 0.4274,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1532752,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1859,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3846,
"draw": 0.2959,
"home": 0.3195
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Chengdu Rongcheng II",
"home": "Jiangxi Liansheng"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.10113,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1859,
"implied_prob": 0.435,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1532752,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T13:13:06.759879+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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