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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Santos U20 Santos U20 ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ tak betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.39
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Santos U20 win · América Mineiro U20 1–3 Santos U20
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"key": "X2",
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{
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{
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{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
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"model_prob_pct": 36.9,
"model_team": "Santos U20",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 1.14,
"fair_prob": 33.87,
"label": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20",
"market_prob": 32.73,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.29,
"fair_prob": 29.25,
"label": "Draw",
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"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
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{
"edge_pp": -2.43,
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"label": "Santos U20",
"market_prob": 39.31,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.11,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.31,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
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{
"edge_pp": 6.11,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.69,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.93,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 58.43,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.93,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 41.57,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": -2.43,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.88,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Santos U20",
"market_prob_pct": 39.31,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20"
},
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"fair_vs_market": {
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"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
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"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 2.43,
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"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Santos U20",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 39.3,
"model_prob_pct": 36.9,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Santos U20, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20 remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -2.43,
"hero_label": "Santos U20",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20 has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (11/11) supports the current market view on Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 2.43,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
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"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 3.0 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 3.0,
"max_prob_pct": 36.9,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 1.14,
"fair_prob_pct": 33.87,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20",
"market_prob_pct": 32.73,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.29,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.25,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 27.96,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.43,
"fair_prob_pct": 36.88,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Santos U20",
"market_prob_pct": 39.31,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Santos U20 (39.3%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Santos U20, Market \u2192 Santos U20, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 41.84,
"closing_odds": 2.39,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 41.84,
"entry_odds": 2.39,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
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"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
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"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "11/11",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.62,
"pick_team": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 2.4,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 13055,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/13055.webp",
"away_team_name": "Santos U20",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1526173,
"goals_away": 0,
"goals_home": 0,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 12981,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12981.webp",
"home_team_name": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 740,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/740.webp",
"league_name": "Brasileiro U20 A",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-16 18:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "First Half",
"status_short": "1H",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4337,
"best_odd": 2.39,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0105,
"ev": -0.0857,
"implied_prob": 0.3931,
"model_prob": 0.3689,
"p_final": 0.3826
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2943,
"best_odd": 3.36,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0037,
"ev": -0.048,
"implied_prob": 0.2796,
"model_prob": 0.2923,
"p_final": 0.2833
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4422,
"best_odd": 2.87,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0051,
"ev": -0.0459,
"implied_prob": 0.3273,
"model_prob": 0.3389,
"p_final": 0.3324
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.33,
"best_yes_odd": 1.62,
"edge_no": 0.0393,
"edge_yes": -0.0393,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0602,
"ev_yes": -0.1171,
"implied_no": 0.4157,
"implied_yes": 0.5843,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.76,
"best_under_odd": 2.12,
"edge_over": -0.0611,
"edge_under": 0.0611,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1517,
"ev_under": 0.0982,
"implied_over": 0.5431,
"implied_under": 0.4569,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0982,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2923,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3689,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.04
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0105,
"ev": -0.0857,
"implied_prob": 0.3931,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3689,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Santos U20"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0393,
"ev": 0.0602,
"implied_prob": 0.4157,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0611,
"ev": 0.0982,
"implied_prob": 0.4569,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1526173,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0982,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3689,
"draw": 0.2923,
"home": 0.3389
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Santos U20",
"home": "Am\u00e9rica Mineiro U20"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.035607,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0982,
"implied_prob": 0.4569,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1526173,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-16T18:24:54.564243+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
Brasileiro U20 A — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 44 |
| 2 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36 |
| 3 | Botafogo U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 | RB Bragantino U20 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 5 | Athletico PR U20 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | Santos U20 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 |
| 8 | Corinthians U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 |
| 9 | Bahia U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 |
| 10 | Flamengo U20 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28 |
| 11 | São Paulo U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25 |
| 12 | América Mineiro U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25 |
| 13 | Cuiabá U20 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 14 | Vitória U20 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 |
| 15 | Fluminense U20 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 16 | Grêmio U20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 19 |
| 17 | Juventude U20 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 18 | Criciúma U20 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 17 |
| 19 | Avaí U20 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 20 | Fortaleza U20 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 19 | 54 | 23 | +31 | 44 |
| 2 | RB Bragantino U20 | 19 | 49 | 35 | +14 | 34 |
| 3 | Athletico PR U20 | 19 | 39 | 25 | +14 | 32 |
| 4 | Vasco da Gama U20 | 19 | 36 | 19 | +17 | 36 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro U20 | 19 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 29 |
| 6 | Botafogo U20 | 19 | 32 | 20 | +12 | 36 |
| 7 | Bahia U20 | 19 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 29 |
| 8 | Corinthians U20 | 19 | 31 | 25 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 | Grêmio U20 | 19 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 | Santos U20 | 19 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 31 |
| 11 | Flamengo U20 | 19 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | São Paulo U20 | 19 | 27 | 26 | +1 | 25 |
| 13 | Fluminense U20 | 19 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 | América Mineiro U20 | 19 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Criciúma U20 | 19 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 17 |
| 16 | Avaí U20 | 19 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 16 |
| 17 | Vitória U20 | 19 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 20 |
| 18 | Juventude U20 | 19 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 18 |
| 19 | Cuiabá U20 | 19 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
| 20 | Fortaleza U20 | 19 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
