Statistik / Bola Sepak / Argentina. Primera C / Central Ballester vs Central Córdoba

Central Ballester vs Central Córdoba Statistics & Analysis

Sep 21, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.18
0 1.42
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Central Córdoba Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-0 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8709256

Closing Odds 2.58
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Central Ballester 0–0 Central Córdoba
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Central Ballester (1X2),Central Córdoba (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Lebih 2.5 gol kira-kira 17.4 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Central Ballester (1X2) 29.6 27.2 +2.5
Lukis (1X2) 29.4 34.5 -5.1
Central Córdoba (1X2) 41.0 38.3 +2.6
Lebih 2.5 gol 48.2 30.8 +17.4
Bawah 2.5 gol 51.8 69.2 -17.4
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 48.2% pada Lebih 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 30.8%. Bezanya — kira-kira 17.4 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Central Ballester (1X2) 3.27 3.27 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 2.58 2.58 0.0
Central Córdoba (1X2) 2.32 2.32 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 2.97 2.97 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.32 1.32 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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        "steam_subtitle": "",
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            "why": [
              {
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                "tone": "ok"
              },
              {
                "text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
                "tone": "ok"
              },
              {
                "text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
                "tone": "ok"
              }
            ],
            "why_label": "Decision Summary"
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          "gap_pp": 2.6,
          "gates_failed": [],
          "has_top_pick": true,
          "headline": "Primary Bet",
          "hero_mode": "default",
          "icon": "\u2713",
          "label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
          "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
          "model_conflict_detail": null,
          "model_lean": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
          "no_primary_reasons": null,
          "outlier_detected": false,
          "outlier_excluded_panel": "",
          "primary_allowed": true,
          "primary_block_explain": null,
          "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +44.6% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.7/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
          "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +44.6% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.7/10 (display only)",
          "primary_gates": {
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              },
              {
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                "value": "ok"
              },
              {
                "key": "reliability",
                "label": "Rel",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "79 (\u226565)"
              },
              {
                "key": "execution",
                "label": "Exec",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "82 (\u226565)"
              },
              {
                "key": "alignment",
                "label": "Align",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "agree"
              },
              {
                "key": "consensus_ev",
                "label": "ConsEV",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "+44.6% (\u2265+5.0%)"
              },
              {
                "key": "top_pick",
                "label": "Pick",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "true"
              },
              {
                "key": "validation",
                "label": "Validation",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "true"
              }
            ],
            "passed": 8,
            "total": 8
          },
          "primary_type": "market_confirmed",
          "reasons": [
            "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Central C\u00f3rdoba).",
            "Decision strength: 7.7/10"
          ],
          "reliability_score": 79,
          "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
          "strength_v2_breakdown": [
            "Base decision score (v1)",
            "Reliability supports action",
            "Market aligns with model",
            "Consensus-line +EV"
          ],
          "subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
          "thresholds": {
            "extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
            "lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
            "lean_min_strength": 5.0,
            "min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
            "min_execution": 65,
            "min_reliability": 65,
            "min_strength": 7.0,
            "source": "db",
            "user_id": 2
          },
          "thresholds_source": "db",
          "thresholds_user_id": 2,
          "tier": "actionable",
          "validation_ok": true,
          "value_context": {
            "consensus_ev": -0.0844,
            "consensus_ev_display": "-8.4%",
            "consensus_odds": 2.32,
            "disagreement_label": "Normal",
            "disagreement_level": "normal",
            "implied_prob": 0.3833,
            "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
            "model_prob": 0.4096,
            "raw_edge_display": "+2.6 percentage points",
            "raw_edge_pp": 2.6,
            "raw_implied_prob": 0.4310344827586207,
            "raw_signal_ev": -0.0497,
            "raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.0%"
          },
          "version": "v2.5",
          "xg_calibration": {
            "block_value_alert": false,
            "calibration_status": "ok",
            "deviation_pct": 5.2,
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_action": "ok",
            "strength_delta": 0.0,
            "uplift_away": null,
            "uplift_home": null,
            "xg_separation": {
              "band": "ok",
              "block_value_alert": false,
              "separation_score": 0,
              "strength_delta": 0.0,
              "xg_gap": 0.24
            }
          }
        },
        "bet_status": "primary",
        "books_breadth_display": "2/8",
        "breadth_ratio": 0.25,
        "evidence": {
          "score": 75,
          "signals": [
            {
              "icon": "\u25cb",
              "key": "statistical_edge",
              "label": "No strong statistical edge",
              "status": "neutral"
            },
            {
              "icon": "\u2713",
              "key": "market_agreement",
              "label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
              "status": "pass"
            },
            {
              "icon": "\u25cb",
              "key": "steam",
              "label": "Sharp steam detected",
              "status": "neutral"
            },
            {
              "icon": "\u2713",
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation passed",
              "status": "pass"
            }
          ],
          "stars": 4,
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "forecast_reliability": {
          "breakdown": [
            {
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation: Pass",
              "tone": "ok"
            }
          ],
          "parts": {
            "alignment": 22.5,
            "data_quality": 12.0,
            "market_coverage": 2.5,
            "steam_coherence": 7.0,
            "validation": 30.0
          },
          "score": 79,
          "stars": 4,
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "lean_gap_pp": 5.07,
        "market_agreement": "strong",
        "max_gap_pp": 5.07,
        "model_calibration": {
          "away_xg": 1.42,
          "calibration_status": "ok",
          "deviation_pct": 5.0,
          "elevated": false,
          "home_xg": 1.18,
          "impact_note": "",
          "league_avg_xg": 1.35,
          "peak_xg": 1.42,
          "status_label": "Within typical league range",
          "summary": "Home xG 1.18 \u00b7 Away xG 1.42 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +5%",
          "title": "Model Calibration Check"
        },
        "move_is_drift": false,
        "mv_status": "pass",
        "odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
        "steam_conflicts": null,
        "steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
        "steam_team": "Central Ballester",
        "suppress_execution": false,
        "value_split": {
          "execution_confidence": {
            "label": "Betting Confidence",
            "score": 82,
            "tier": "high",
            "tier_label": "High"
          },
          "market_compatibility": {
            "label": "Market Compatibility",
            "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
            "score": 87,
            "tier": "high",
            "tier_label": "High"
          },
          "model_edge_strength": {
            "label": "Model Signal Strength",
            "score": 40,
            "tier": "low",
            "tier_label": "Low"
          },
          "model_value": {
            "label": "Market Compatibility",
            "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
            "score": 87,
            "tier": "high",
            "tier_label": "High"
          },
          "recommendation": {
            "action": "primary",
            "label": "Primary Bet"
          }
        },
        "verdict": {
          "agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Central C\u00f3rdoba).",
          "alignment": {
            "direction_aligned": true,
            "direction_key": "agree",
            "gap_pp": 5.1,
            "key": "agree",
            "label": "Agree",
            "model_strong": false,
            "pricing_aligned": true,
            "pricing_key": "moderate",
            "probability_gap_pp": 5.1,
            "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Central C\u00f3rdoba)."
          },
          "authority": {
            "action": "primary",
            "alignment": {
              "direction_aligned": true,
              "direction_key": "agree",
              "gap_pp": 5.1,
              "key": "agree",
              "label": "Agree",
              "model_strong": false,
              "pricing_aligned": true,
              "pricing_key": "moderate",
              "probability_gap_pp": 5.1,
              "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Central C\u00f3rdoba)."
            },
            "alignment_key": "agree",
            "best_consensus_ev": 0.446,
            "best_outlier_ev": 0.446,
            "confidence_band": "High",
            "decision_strength": 7.7,
            "decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
            "decision_strength_v2": 7.7,
            "decision_type": "PRIMARY",
            "execution_confidence": 82,
            "extreme_disagreement": false,
            "final_verdict_audit": {
              "action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
              "action_label": "Action",
              "decision": "Primary Bet",
              "is_primary": true,
              "snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Central C\u00f3rdoba at 41.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 38.3%.",
              "why": [
                {
                  "text": "Decision Model identifies Central C\u00f3rdoba as the value side (41.0%)",
                  "tone": "ok"
                },
                {
                  "text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
                  "tone": "ok"
                },
                {
                  "text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
                  "tone": "ok"
                }
              ],
              "why_label": "Decision Summary"
            },
            "gap_pp": 2.6,
            "gates_failed": [],
            "has_top_pick": true,
            "headline": "Primary Bet",
            "hero_mode": "default",
            "icon": "\u2713",
            "label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
            "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
            "model_conflict_detail": null,
            "model_lean": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
            "no_primary_reasons": null,
            "outlier_detected": false,
            "outlier_excluded_panel": "",
            "primary_allowed": true,
            "primary_block_explain": null,
            "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +44.6% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.7/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
            "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +44.6% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.7/10 (display only)",
            "primary_gates": {
              "items": [
                {
                  "key": "extreme_gap",
                  "label": "Extreme gap",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "no"
                },
                {
                  "key": "xg_calibration",
                  "label": "xG calibration",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "ok"
                },
                {
                  "key": "reliability",
                  "label": "Rel",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "79 (\u226565)"
                },
                {
                  "key": "execution",
                  "label": "Exec",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "82 (\u226565)"
                },
                {
                  "key": "alignment",
                  "label": "Align",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "agree"
                },
                {
                  "key": "consensus_ev",
                  "label": "ConsEV",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "+44.6% (\u2265+5.0%)"
                },
                {
                  "key": "top_pick",
                  "label": "Pick",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "true"
                },
                {
                  "key": "validation",
                  "label": "Validation",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "true"
                }
              ],
              "passed": 8,
              "total": 8
            },
            "primary_type": "market_confirmed",
            "reasons": [
              "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Central C\u00f3rdoba).",
              "Decision strength: 7.7/10"
            ],
            "reliability_score": 79,
            "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
            "strength_v2_breakdown": [
              "Base decision score (v1)",
              "Reliability supports action",
              "Market aligns with model",
              "Consensus-line +EV"
            ],
            "subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
            "thresholds": {
              "extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
              "lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
              "lean_min_strength": 5.0,
              "min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
              "min_execution": 65,
              "min_reliability": 65,
              "min_strength": 7.0,
              "source": "db",
              "user_id": 2
            },
            "thresholds_source": "db",
            "thresholds_user_id": 2,
            "tier": "actionable",
            "validation_ok": true,
            "value_context": {
              "consensus_ev": -0.0844,
              "consensus_ev_display": "-8.4%",
              "consensus_odds": 2.32,
              "disagreement_label": "Normal",
              "disagreement_level": "normal",
              "implied_prob": 0.3833,
              "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
              "model_prob": 0.4096,
              "raw_edge_display": "+2.6 percentage points",
              "raw_edge_pp": 2.6,
              "raw_implied_prob": 0.4310344827586207,
              "raw_signal_ev": -0.0497,
              "raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.0%"
            },
            "version": "v2.5",
            "xg_calibration": {
              "block_value_alert": false,
              "calibration_status": "ok",
              "deviation_pct": 5.2,
              "reasons": [],
              "recommended_action": "ok",
              "strength_delta": 0.0,
              "uplift_away": null,
              "uplift_home": null,
              "xg_separation": {
                "band": "ok",
                "block_value_alert": false,
                "separation_score": 0,
                "strength_delta": 0.0,
                "xg_gap": 0.24
              }
            }
          },
          "headline": "Primary Bet",
          "icon": "\u2713",
          "label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
          "subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
          "tier": "actionable"
        },
        "why": {
          "action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
          "bullets": [
            "Model: Central Ballester 1.18 xG vs Central C\u00f3rdoba 1.42 \u2192 Central C\u00f3rdoba 40.9%",
            "Market: Central C\u00f3rdoba ~38.3% implied",
            "Market Steam: Central Ballester +0.0%"
          ],
          "one_liner": "Model and market both lean Central C\u00f3rdoba with no major conflict.",
          "title": "Why?"
        }
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 2.49,
          "fair_prob": 29.69,
          "label": "Central Ballester",
          "market_prob": 27.2,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -5.07,
          "fair_prob": 29.4,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 34.47,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 2.58,
          "fair_prob": 40.91,
          "label": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
          "market_prob": 38.33,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 16.73,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 31.47,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -16.73,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 68.53,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 14.18,
          "fair_prob": 54.1,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 39.92,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -14.18,
          "fair_prob": 45.9,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 60.08,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -5.07,
        "fair_prob_pct": 29.4,
        "hero_side": "draw",
        "hero_team_name": "Draw",
        "market_prob_pct": 34.47,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Central Ballester"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "closing_capture": "PRE1",
        "closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Draw\u0027s win probability at 34.5%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 29.4%, a difference of 5.1 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "moderate",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 5.07,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "moderate",
        "divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
        "divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
          "market_direction": {
            "label": "Supports model direction",
            "positive": true
          },
          "market_prob_pct": 38.3,
          "model_prob_gap_display": "+2.6 percentage points",
          "model_prob_gap_pp": 2.6,
          "model_prob_pct": 40.9,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "pricing_convergence": {
            "gap_display": "+2.6 percentage points",
            "gap_pp": 2.6,
            "label": "High",
            "label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
          },
          "reliability_headline": "Moderate reliability",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_score": 79,
          "reliability_tier": "moderate",
          "summary": "Central C\u00f3rdoba \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass",
          "value_split": {
            "execution_confidence": {
              "label": "Betting Confidence",
              "score": 82,
              "tier": "high",
              "tier_label": "High"
            },
            "market_compatibility": {
              "label": "Market Compatibility",
              "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
              "score": 87,
              "tier": "high",
              "tier_label": "High"
            },
            "model_edge_strength": {
              "label": "Model Signal Strength",
              "score": 40,
              "tier": "low",
              "tier_label": "Low"
            },
            "model_value": {
              "label": "Market Compatibility",
              "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
              "score": 87,
              "tier": "high",
              "tier_label": "High"
            },
            "recommendation": {
              "action": "primary",
              "label": "Primary Bet"
            }
          },
          "why": {
            "action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
            "bullets": [
              "Model: Central Ballester 1.18 xG vs Central C\u00f3rdoba 1.42 \u2192 Central C\u00f3rdoba 40.9%",
              "Market: Central C\u00f3rdoba ~38.3% implied",
              "Market Steam: Central Ballester +0.0%"
            ],
            "one_liner": "Model and market both lean Central C\u00f3rdoba with no major conflict.",
            "title": "Why?"
          }
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -5.07,
        "hero_label": "Draw",
        "hero_side": "draw",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "strong",
        "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "",
          "gap_tier": "mild",
          "lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Draw. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
          "note": "The market shows a modest preference for Draw relative to the current fair estimate.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market and model broadly agree on Draw. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement."
          ],
          "quiet_market": true,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market still prices Draw above the current fair estimate.",
            "No meaningful directional movement has emerged, and pricing remains stable across tracked sportsbooks."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "market_source": "closing_1x2",
        "max_gap_pp": 5.07,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 11.2 pp (at 40.9%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 11.2,
          "max_prob_pct": 40.9,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "overall_assessment": {
          "badge_class": "moderate",
          "largest_gap_label": "Draw",
          "largest_gap_pp": -5.1,
          "lead": "The closing market prices Draw higher than the statistical model.",
          "level": "moderate",
          "max_gap_pp": 5.1,
          "title": "Moderate Disagreement"
        },
        "rows": [
          {
            "difference_pp": 2.49,
            "edge_pp": 2.49,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.69,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Central Ballester",
            "market_prob_pct": 27.2,
            "side": "home",
            "signal_key": "aligned",
            "signal_label": "Aligned"
          },
          {
            "difference_pp": -5.07,
            "edge_pp": -5.07,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.4,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 34.47,
            "side": "draw",
            "signal_key": "market_higher",
            "signal_label": "Market Higher"
          },
          {
            "difference_pp": 2.58,
            "edge_pp": 2.58,
            "fair_prob_pct": 40.91,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
            "market_prob_pct": 38.33,
            "side": "away",
            "signal_key": "aligned",
            "signal_label": "Aligned"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "The market shows a modest preference for Draw relative to the current fair estimate.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Central C\u00f3rdoba (38.3%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Central C\u00f3rdoba, Market \u2192 Central C\u00f3rdoba, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 38.76,
        "closing_odds": 2.58,
        "closing_reason": "",
        "closing_status": "recorded",
        "closing_status_label": "Recorded",
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_reason": "",
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 38.76,
        "entry_odds": 2.58,
        "match_phase": "upcoming",
        "match_phase_detail": "",
        "match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
        "match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Prediction Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "2/8",
        "current_odds": 3.0,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 3.0,
        "pick_team": "Central Ballester",
        "steam_score": 2,
        "steam_team_name": "Central Ballester",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 5.1,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "at2.away_team_slug": "central-cordoba",
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_goal_display": null,
      "away_team_display_name": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
      "away_team_id": 790,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/790.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
      "away_team_public_id": "5TVRNgrlZXFJLU",
      "away_team_slug": "central-cordoba",
      "country_code": "AR",
      "country_display_name": "Argentina",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
      "country_id": 6,
      "country_name": "Argentina",
      "fixture_id": 1500111,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_goal_display": null,
      "home_team_country": "Argentina",
      "home_team_display_name": "Central Ballester",
      "home_team_id": 1967,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1967.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Central Ballester",
      "home_team_public_id": "3vwYy1Tq4c9hP8",
      "home_team_slug": "central-ballester",
      "ht.home_team_slug": "central-ballester",
      "league_country": "Argentina",
      "league_country_display": "Argentina",
      "league_display_name": "Primera C",
      "league_id": 132,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/132.webp",
      "league_name": "Primera C",
      "league_public_id": "5iJhpsMWwrB2VM",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-09-21 18:00:00",
      "public_id": "5aonjaBhkxSz9e",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "score_penalty_away": null,
      "score_penalty_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4323,
            "best_odd": 2.32,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0113,
            "ev": -0.0844,
            "implied_prob": 0.3833,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.3833,
              "draw": 0.3447,
              "home": 0.272
            },
            "model_prob": 0.4096,
            "p_final": 0.3947
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4157,
            "best_odd": 2.58,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0211,
            "ev": -0.1651,
            "implied_prob": 0.3447,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.3833,
              "draw": 0.3447,
              "home": 0.272
            },
            "model_prob": 0.2939,
            "p_final": 0.3236
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2889,
            "best_odd": 3.27,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0071,
            "ev": -0.0875,
            "implied_prob": 0.272,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.3833,
              "draw": 0.3447,
              "home": 0.272
            },
            "model_prob": 0.2965,
            "p_final": 0.2791
          }
        },
        "1x2_outlier": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
          "away": {
            "best_odd": 2.32,
            "edge": -0.0215,
            "ev": -0.0498,
            "implied_prob": 0.431,
            "model_prob": 0.4096
          },
          "draw": {
            "best_odd": 2.58,
            "edge": -0.0937,
            "ev": -0.2417,
            "implied_prob": 0.3876,
            "model_prob": 0.2939
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "best_odd": 3.27,
            "edge": -0.0093,
            "ev": -0.0303,
            "implied_prob": 0.3058,
            "model_prob": 0.2965
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "alpha_no": 0.1942,
          "alpha_yes": 0.1412,
          "best_no_odd": 1.6,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.5,
          "btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
          "edge_no": -0.1418,
          "edge_yes": 0.1418,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2656,
          "ev_no_risk_adj": -0.1321,
          "ev_yes": 0.3525,
          "ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.0436,
          "implied_no": 0.6008,
          "implied_yes": 0.3992,
          "market_first": {
            "available": true,
            "mode": "market_first_btts",
            "n_bookmakers": 6,
            "no": {
              "alpha": 0.1942,
              "best_odd": 1.51,
              "edge": -0.0279,
              "ev": -0.1321,
              "implied_prob": 0.6026,
              "model_prob": 0.459,
              "p_final": 0.5747
            },
            "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
            "yes": {
              "alpha": 0.1412,
              "best_odd": 2.29,
              "edge": 0.0203,
              "ev": -0.0436,
              "implied_prob": 0.3974,
              "model_prob": 0.541,
              "p_final": 0.4177
            }
          },
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "p_final_no": 0.5747,
          "p_final_yes": 0.4177,
          "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "alpha_over": 0.1348,
          "alpha_under": 0.1853,
          "best_over_odd": 3.0,
          "best_under_odd": 1.36,
          "consensus_over_odd": 2.9,
          "consensus_under_odd": 1.33,
          "edge_over": 0.1673,
          "edge_under": -0.1673,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.446,
          "ev_over_risk_adj": -0.0227,
          "ev_under": -0.2955,
          "ev_under_risk_adj": -0.1295,
          "implied_over": 0.3147,
          "implied_over_mf": 0.3144,
          "implied_under": 0.6853,
          "implied_under_mf": 0.6856,
          "market_first": {
            "available": true,
            "mode": "market_first_ou",
            "n_bookmakers": 4,
            "over": {
              "alpha": 0.1348,
              "best_odd": 2.9,
              "edge": 0.0226,
              "ev": -0.0227,
              "implied_prob": 0.3144,
              "model_prob": 0.482,
              "p_final": 0.337
            },
            "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
            "under": {
              "alpha": 0.1853,
              "best_odd": 1.33,
              "edge": -0.0311,
              "ev": -0.1295,
              "implied_prob": 0.6856,
              "model_prob": 0.518,
              "p_final": 0.6545
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          },
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
          "p_final_over": 0.337,
          "p_final_under": 0.6545,
          "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.5.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_consensus_ev": 0.446,
      "best_outlier_ev": 0.446,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.446,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "breakdown_v2": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Reliability supports action",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "score": 7.7,
        "score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
        "score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.7,
        "strength_v2": true
      },
      "decision_strength_v2": {
        "breakdown": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Reliability supports action",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "score": 7.7,
        "score_pre_penalty": 7.7
      },
      "decision_type": "PRIMARY",
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "final_action": "primary",
      "final_decision": {
        "action": "primary",
        "alignment": {
          "direction_aligned": true,
          "direction_key": "agree",
          "gap_pp": 5.1,
          "key": "agree",
          "label": "Agree",
          "model_strong": false,
          "pricing_aligned": true,
          "pricing_key": "moderate",
          "probability_gap_pp": 5.1,
          "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Central C\u00f3rdoba)."
        },
        "alignment_key": "agree",
        "best_consensus_ev": 0.446,
        "best_outlier_ev": 0.446,
        "confidence_band": "High",
        "decision_strength": 7.7,
        "decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
        "decision_strength_v2": 7.7,
        "decision_type": "PRIMARY",
        "execution_confidence": 82,
        "extreme_disagreement": false,
        "final_verdict_audit": {
          "action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
          "action_label": "Action",
          "decision": "Primary Bet",
          "is_primary": true,
          "snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Central C\u00f3rdoba at 41.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 38.3%.",
          "why": [
            {
              "text": "Decision Model identifies Central C\u00f3rdoba as the value side (41.0%)",
              "tone": "ok"
            },
            {
              "text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
              "tone": "ok"
            },
            {
              "text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
              "tone": "ok"
            }
          ],
          "why_label": "Decision Summary"
        },
        "gap_pp": 2.6,
        "gates_failed": [],
        "has_top_pick": true,
        "headline": "Primary Bet",
        "hero_mode": "default",
        "icon": "\u2713",
        "label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
        "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
        "model_conflict_detail": null,
        "model_lean": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
        "no_primary_reasons": null,
        "outlier_detected": false,
        "outlier_excluded_panel": "",
        "primary_allowed": true,
        "primary_block_explain": null,
        "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +44.6% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.7/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
        "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +44.6% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.7/10 (display only)",
        "primary_gates": {
          "items": [
            {
              "key": "extreme_gap",
              "label": "Extreme gap",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "no"
            },
            {
              "key": "xg_calibration",
              "label": "xG calibration",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "ok"
            },
            {
              "key": "reliability",
              "label": "Rel",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "79 (\u226565)"
            },
            {
              "key": "execution",
              "label": "Exec",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "82 (\u226565)"
            },
            {
              "key": "alignment",
              "label": "Align",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "agree"
            },
            {
              "key": "consensus_ev",
              "label": "ConsEV",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "+44.6% (\u2265+5.0%)"
            },
            {
              "key": "top_pick",
              "label": "Pick",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "true"
            },
            {
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "true"
            }
          ],
          "passed": 8,
          "total": 8
        },
        "primary_type": "market_confirmed",
        "reasons": [
          "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Central C\u00f3rdoba).",
          "Decision strength: 7.7/10"
        ],
        "reliability_score": 79,
        "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
        "strength_v2_breakdown": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Reliability supports action",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
        "thresholds": {
          "extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
          "lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
          "lean_min_strength": 5.0,
          "min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
          "min_execution": 65,
          "min_reliability": 65,
          "min_strength": 7.0,
          "source": "db",
          "user_id": 2
        },
        "thresholds_source": "db",
        "thresholds_user_id": 2,
        "tier": "actionable",
        "validation_ok": true,
        "value_context": {
          "consensus_ev": -0.0844,
          "consensus_ev_display": "-8.4%",
          "consensus_odds": 2.32,
          "disagreement_label": "Normal",
          "disagreement_level": "normal",
          "implied_prob": 0.3833,
          "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
          "model_prob": 0.4096,
          "raw_edge_display": "+2.6 percentage points",
          "raw_edge_pp": 2.6,
          "raw_implied_prob": 0.4310344827586207,
          "raw_signal_ev": -0.0497,
          "raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.0%"
        },
        "version": "v2.5",
        "xg_calibration": {
          "block_value_alert": false,
          "calibration_status": "ok",
          "deviation_pct": 5.2,
          "reasons": [],
          "recommended_action": "ok",
          "strength_delta": 0.0,
          "uplift_away": null,
          "uplift_home": null,
          "xg_separation": {
            "band": "ok",
            "block_value_alert": false,
            "separation_score": 0,
            "strength_delta": 0.0,
            "xg_gap": 0.24
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        }
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.541,
          "draw_prob": 0.2939,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4096,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.24
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        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "hero_mode": "default",
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "consensus_odds": 2.32,
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0113,
          "ev": -0.0844,
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          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4096,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Central C\u00f3rdoba"
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        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "decision_layer": {
            "alpha": 0.1412,
            "available": true,
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            "edge": 0.0203,
            "market_prob": 0.3974,
            "mode": "market_first_btts",
            "model_prob": 0.541,
            "n_bookmakers": 6,
            "no": {
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              "best_odd": 1.51,
              "edge": -0.0279,
              "ev": -0.1321,
              "implied_prob": 0.6026,
              "model_prob": 0.459,
              "p_final": 0.5747
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            "p_final": 0.4177,
            "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
            "risk_adj_ev": -0.0436,
            "value_side": "yes",
            "yes": {
              "alpha": 0.1412,
              "best_odd": 2.29,
              "edge": 0.0203,
              "ev": -0.0436,
              "implied_prob": 0.3974,
              "model_prob": 0.541,
              "p_final": 0.4177
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          },
          "edge": 0.1418,
          "ev": 0.3525,
          "implied_prob": 0.3992,
          "model_prob": 0.541,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "decision_layer": {
            "alpha": 0.1348,
            "available": true,
            "consensus_odds": 2.9,
            "edge": 0.0226,
            "market_prob": 0.3144,
            "mode": "market_first_ou",
            "model_prob": 0.482,
            "n_bookmakers": 4,
            "over": {
              "alpha": 0.1348,
              "best_odd": 2.9,
              "edge": 0.0226,
              "ev": -0.0227,
              "implied_prob": 0.3144,
              "model_prob": 0.482,
              "p_final": 0.337
            },
            "p_final": 0.337,
            "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
            "risk_adj_ev": -0.0227,
            "under": {
              "alpha": 0.1853,
              "best_odd": 1.33,
              "edge": -0.0311,
              "ev": -0.1295,
              "implied_prob": 0.6856,
              "model_prob": 0.518,
              "p_final": 0.6545
            },
            "value_side": "over"
          },
          "edge": 0.1673,
          "ev": 0.446,
          "implied_prob": 0.3147,
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1500111,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.446,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4096,
        "draw": 0.2939,
        "home": 0.2965
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.446,
        "implied_prob": 0.3147,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.482,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.446,
          "implied_prob": 0.3147,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "over",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "show_betting_primary_label": true,
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Central C\u00f3rdoba",
        "home": "Central Ballester"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.190702,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3525,
        "implied_prob": 0.3992,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.541,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2,
      "value_context_1x2": {
        "consensus_ev": -0.0844,
        "consensus_ev_display": "-8.4%",
        "consensus_odds": 2.32,
        "disagreement_label": "Normal",
        "disagreement_level": "normal",
        "implied_prob": 0.3833,
        "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
        "model_prob": 0.4096,
        "raw_edge_display": "+2.6 percentage points",
        "raw_edge_pp": 2.6,
        "raw_implied_prob": 0.4310344827586207,
        "raw_signal_ev": -0.0497,
        "raw_signal_ev_display": "-5.0%"
      }
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1500111,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-09-21T17:59:10.352377+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Langgan Sekarang
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Primera C Primera C — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Berazategui 30 12 12 6 48
2 Lugano 30 11 13 6 46
3 Sacachispas 30 13 7 10 46
4 Estrella Del Sur 30 11 11 8 44
5 Mercedes 30 11 10 9 43
6 Juventud Unida 30 11 9 10 42
7 Centro Español 29 10 11 8 41
8 Victoriano Arenas 30 9 14 7 41
9 Puerto Nuevo 30 9 11 10 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 29 9 9 11 36
11 Deportivo Paraguayo 30 7 10 13 31
12 JJ Urquiza 29 5 14 10 29
13 Leandro N. Alem 29 7 7 15 28
14 Argentino Rosario 30 3 15 12 24
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Berazategui 30 35 21 +14 48
2 Centro Español 29 35 27 +8 41
3 Juventud Unida 30 35 29 +6 42
4 Lugano 30 33 25 +8 46
5 Sacachispas 30 32 26 +6 46
6 Estrella Del Sur 30 31 29 +2 44
7 Mercedes 30 29 23 +6 43
8 Puerto Nuevo 30 27 31 -4 38
9 Argentino Rosario 30 27 39 -12 24
10 Leandro N. Alem 29 27 50 -23 28
11 Defensores de Cambaceres 29 25 28 -3 36
12 Victoriano Arenas 30 23 19 +4 41
13 Deportivo Paraguayo 30 22 38 -16 31
14 JJ Urquiza 29 14 23 -9 29