Eik-Tønsberg vs Arendal Statistics & Analysis

Jun 13, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.28
0 1.32
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Arendal Lukis ✖ Incorrect
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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      "home_win_prob": 0.3424,
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      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Eik-T\u00f8nsberg or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.32,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "confidence": "low",
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        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
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      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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      "risk_color": null,
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    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 9,
        "away_score_rate": 73.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 0,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 9,
        "home_score_rate": 72.2,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "pick": "No",
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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            "prob": 9.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
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            "away": 2,
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
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            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg or Draw",
            "prob": 63.8
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg or Arendal",
            "prob": 70.3
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Arendal",
            "prob": 65.7
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        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
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      "match_winner": {
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          "model_pct": 34.24
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          "closing_implied_pct": 43.16,
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    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1902,
        "ev_over_display": {
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          "raw_pct": -19.0,
          "text": "-19.0%"
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        "ev_under": 0.181,
        "ev_under_display": {
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        },
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        "sort_key": 1791.1,
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      }
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        "alert_breadth_note": "",
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        "status_label": "Reliable forecast",
        "status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
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        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
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      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 4.21,
          "fair_prob": 34.24,
          "label": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg",
          "market_prob": 30.03,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
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        {
          "edge_pp": 2.83,
          "fair_prob": 29.65,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 26.82,
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          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -7.05,
          "fair_prob": 36.11,
          "label": "Arendal",
          "market_prob": 43.16,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -8.77,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 56.97,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 8.77,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
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          "market_prob": 43.03,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -4.96,
          "fair_prob": 54.5,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 59.46,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 4.96,
          "fair_prob": 45.5,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 40.54,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -7.05,
        "fair_prob_pct": 36.11,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "Arendal",
        "market_prob_pct": 43.16,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "moderate",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 7.05,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "moderate",
        "divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
        "divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Arendal",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
          "market_prob_pct": 43.2,
          "model_prob_pct": 36.1,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "Both lean Arendal, but the market prices them higher (43.2% vs model 36.1%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -7.05,
        "hero_label": "Arendal",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "moderate",
        "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "",
          "gap_tier": "mild",
          "lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Arendal. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
          "note": "The market shows a modest preference for Arendal relative to the current fair estimate.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market and model broadly agree on Arendal. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement."
          ],
          "quiet_market": true,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market still prices Arendal above the current fair estimate.",
            "Pricing has been stable with broad sportsbook participation, suggesting settled consensus."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 7.05,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Top two 1X2 outcomes within 1.9 percentage points."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 1.9,
          "max_prob_pct": 36.1,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 4.21,
            "fair_prob_pct": 34.24,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg",
            "market_prob_pct": 30.03,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 2.83,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 26.82,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -7.05,
            "fair_prob_pct": 36.11,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Arendal",
            "market_prob_pct": 43.16,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "The market shows a modest preference for Arendal relative to the current fair estimate.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Arendal (43.2%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Arendal, Market \u2192 Arendal, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 46.51,
        "closing_odds": 2.15,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 46.51,
        "entry_odds": 2.15,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "10/11",
        "current_odds": 2.9,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.9,
        "pick_team": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg",
        "steam_score": 27,
        "steam_team_name": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 7.0,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2155,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2155.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Arendal",
      "country_code": "NO",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/no.svg",
      "country_name": "Norway",
      "fixture_id": 1496078,
      "goals_away": 0,
      "goals_home": 0,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Norway",
      "home_team_id": 16211,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16211.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg",
      "league_country": "Norway",
      "league_id": 473,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/473.webp",
      "league_name": "2. Division - Group 1",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-13 13:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "First Half",
      "status_short": "1H",
      "venue_city": "Tonsberg",
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4023,
            "best_odd": 2.15,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0284,
            "ev": -0.1332,
            "implied_prob": 0.4316,
            "model_prob": 0.3609,
            "p_final": 0.4031
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2872,
            "best_odd": 3.46,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0082,
            "ev": -0.0438,
            "implied_prob": 0.2682,
            "model_prob": 0.2967,
            "p_final": 0.2764
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.281,
            "best_odd": 3.09,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0118,
            "ev": -0.0356,
            "implied_prob": 0.3003,
            "model_prob": 0.3424,
            "p_final": 0.3121
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.38,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": 0.0496,
          "edge_yes": -0.0496,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0829,
          "ev_yes": -0.1443,
          "implied_no": 0.4054,
          "implied_yes": 0.5946,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.68,
          "best_under_odd": 2.28,
          "edge_over": -0.0877,
          "edge_under": 0.0877,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1902,
          "ev_under": 0.181,
          "implied_over": 0.5697,
          "implied_under": 0.4303,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.181,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.2967,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3609,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.04
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0284,
          "ev": -0.1332,
          "implied_prob": 0.4316,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.3609,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Arendal"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0496,
          "ev": 0.0829,
          "implied_prob": 0.4054,
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0877,
          "ev": 0.181,
          "implied_prob": 0.4303,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1496078,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.181,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3609,
        "draw": 0.2967,
        "home": 0.3424
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Arendal",
        "home": "Eik-T\u00f8nsberg"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.065631,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.181,
        "implied_prob": 0.4303,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1496078,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T13:33:11.721915+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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