SJK vs VPS Statistics & Analysis

Jun 17, 2026 - 18:00
1 2.83
2 1.56
xG Accuracy: 54%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 SJK VPS ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 2-1, 3-1, 2-2, 3-2, 1-1 1-2 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1546991

Closing Odds 2.45
AI Fair Odds 1.58
CLV +0.0%
Final Result VPS win · SJK 1–2 VPS
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 63.3%
  • Historical Bucket: 60–65% — Building sample

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai SJK (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Lebih 2.5 gol kira-kira 28.7 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
SJK (1X2) 63.3 39.5 +23.8
Lukis (1X2) 18.1 27.1 -8.9
VPS (1X2) 18.6 33.4 -14.8
Lebih 2.5 gol 81.4 52.7 +28.7
Bawah 2.5 gol 18.6 47.3 -28.7
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 81.4% pada Lebih 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 52.7%. Bezanya — kira-kira 28.7 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
SJK (1X2) 2.45 2.45 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.58 3.58 0.0
VPS (1X2) 2.9 2.9 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.84 1.84 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.05 2.05 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "1cfb93e22b8351696b7253699b568fa4974ed102cdb30a802a51096851136186",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.56,
      "away_win_prob": 0.1857,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.25,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.75,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.1813,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 5.38,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 5.52,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.58,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.83,
      "home_win_prob": 0.633,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.814,
      "prediction_confidence": "low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.186
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or VPS and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : SJK",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "VPS"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.56,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "SJK",
      "confidence": 63.3,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "high",
        "display_text": "Winner : SJK",
        "edge": 0.2376,
        "edge_gap": 0.4471,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3954,
        "model_prob": 0.6329,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 18.6,
          "draw": 18.1,
          "home": 63.3
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "SJK"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.45
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#ff9800",
      "risk_key": "medium_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.45,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "SJK Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.53,
        "market_odds": 2.45,
        "model_odds": 1.58,
        "overround": 3.2,
        "prob_edge": 22.5,
        "value_pct": 55.1,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 3,
        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 10,
        "away_score_rate": 79.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 2,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 10,
        "home_score_rate": 94.1,
        "no_prob": 25.0,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 75.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 75.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.56,
        "home_expected": 2.83,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 7.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 6.0
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-2",
            "prob": 5.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 5.5
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "SJK or Draw",
            "prob": 81.4
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "SJK or VPS",
            "prob": 81.9
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or VPS",
            "prob": 36.7
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "SJK or VPS",
        "pick_prob": 81.9
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 18.6,
        "draw_pct": 18.1,
        "home_pct": 63.3,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "SJK"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 4.39,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 81.4,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 81.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 4.39,
        "under_prob": 18.6
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 55.1,
        "implied_prob": 40.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "SJK Win",
        "model_prob": 63.3,
        "odds": 2.45
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "VPS",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "SJK",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.54,
          "gap_pp": 23.76,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 63.29
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 27.06,
          "gap_pp": -8.94,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 18.12
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 33.4,
          "gap_pp": -14.81,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 18.59
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 52.7,
          "gap_pp": 28.7,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 81.4
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 47.3,
          "gap_pp": -28.7,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 18.6
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.45,
          "early": 2.45,
          "implied_closing_pct": 39.54,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.54,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.58,
          "early": 3.58,
          "implied_closing_pct": 27.06,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 27.06,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.9,
          "early": 2.9,
          "implied_closing_pct": 33.4,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 33.4,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.84,
          "early": 1.84,
          "implied_closing_pct": 52.7,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 52.7,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.05,
          "early": 2.05,
          "implied_closing_pct": 47.3,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 47.3,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 28.7,
        "kind": "ou_o"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-1",
        "prob": 7.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 2.83,
    "homepage_pick": {
      "best_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "best_odds": 2.48,
      "confidence": "strong",
      "display_label": "Home SJK",
      "edge": 23.0,
      "ev": 57.0,
      "probability": 63.3
    },
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.4733,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 47.3,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.6113,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -61.1,
          "text": "-61.1%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.4733,
        "over_prob": 81.4,
        "sort_key": 10575.97,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 18.6,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.4375,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -43.8,
          "text": "-43.8%"
        },
        "ev_yes": 0.215,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 21.5,
          "text": "+21.5%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.215,
        "no_prob": 25.0,
        "sort_key": 10193.5,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 75.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1373,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 13.7,
          "text": "+13.7%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3954,
        "max_ev": 0.1373,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 13.7,
          "text": "+13.7%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.6329,
        "side_label": "SJK",
        "sort_key": 10123.57,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 803.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-1",
        "top_prob": 7.7
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "6/13",
        "alert_breadth_note": "6/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
        "alert_move": "\u2193 -3.0%",
        "alert_team": "VPS",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 23.8,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": 23.76,
        "hero_label": "SJK",
        "market_prob_pct": 39.5,
        "market_team": "SJK",
        "model_prob_pct": 63.3,
        "model_team": "SJK",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": 26,
        "steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
        "steam_tier": "C",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 23.76,
          "fair_prob": 63.3,
          "label": "SJK",
          "market_prob": 39.54,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -8.93,
          "fair_prob": 18.13,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 27.06,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -14.83,
          "fair_prob": 18.57,
          "label": "VPS",
          "market_prob": 33.4,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 28.07,
          "fair_prob": 81.4,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 53.33,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -28.07,
          "fair_prob": 18.6,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 46.67,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 17.26,
          "fair_prob": 75.0,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 57.74,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -17.26,
          "fair_prob": 25.0,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 42.26,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": 23.76,
        "fair_prob_pct": 63.3,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "SJK",
        "market_prob_pct": 39.54,
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "steam_team_name": "VPS"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "extreme",
          "edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
          "max_gap_pp": 23.76,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": true
        },
        "divergence_label": "Extreme model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "extreme",
        "divergence_level_label": "Extreme divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs substantially from current market pricing. Large divergences can occur when rating inputs are incomplete, team-strength estimates are uncertain, or the market incorporates information not present in the model. Interpret with caution.",
        "divergence_tier": "extreme",
        "edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Favourite",
          "favourite_label": "SJK",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
          "headline": "Clear favourite",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 39.5,
          "model_prob_pct": 63.3,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "high",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "Model and market lean the same side on SJK, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
          "tier": "favourite",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "High",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 23.76,
        "hero_label": "SJK",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "VPS odds shortened \u2193 -3.0%.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {},
        "market_narrative": {},
        "max_gap_pp": 23.76,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 44.7 pp (at 63.3%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 44.7,
          "max_prob_pct": 63.3,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "High",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 23.76,
            "fair_prob_pct": 63.3,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "SJK",
            "market_prob_pct": 39.54,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -8.93,
            "fair_prob_pct": 18.13,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 27.06,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -14.83,
            "fair_prob_pct": 18.57,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "VPS",
            "market_prob_pct": 33.4,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers SJK (39.5%).",
          "VPS has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -3.0%, 6/13).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 SJK, Market \u2192 SJK, Recent sharp money \u2192 VPS.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 40.82,
        "closing_odds": 2.45,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 40.82,
        "entry_odds": 2.45,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Prediction Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 6,
        "books_total": 13,
        "breadth_display": "6/13",
        "clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
        "clv_status": "evaluated",
        "current_odds": 2.62,
        "move_context": "Highest consensus move",
        "move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
        "move_pct_abs": 3.0,
        "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
        "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 48m",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Volatile two-way pricing on VPS (swing 3.15 \u2192 2.62 \u2192 2.62) \u2014 net 3.0% but intraday chop is elevated.",
          "Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_path": {
          "display": "3.15 \u2192 2.62 \u2192 2.62",
          "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
          "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 59h 48m",
          "pick_team": "VPS",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "3.15"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "2.62"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "2.62"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,12.9 28.0,0.0 56.0,18.0",
          "sparkline_trend": "volatile",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing"
        },
        "open_odds": 2.7,
        "page_alert_line": "",
        "phase_label": "Volatile",
        "phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
        "pick_team": "VPS",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "",
        "sharp_leader": "Betfair",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "warn",
        "signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
        "signal_key": "volatile_market",
        "signal_label": "Volatile market",
        "steam_score": 26,
        "steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
        "steam_tier": "C",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "6/13",
        "current_odds": 2.62,
        "move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.7,
        "pick_team": "VPS",
        "steam_score": 26,
        "steam_team_name": "VPS",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 23.8,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 650,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/650.webp",
      "away_team_name": "VPS",
      "country_code": "FI",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/fi.svg",
      "country_name": "Finland",
      "fixture_id": 1495708,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Finland",
      "home_team_id": 689,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/689.webp",
      "home_team_name": "SJK",
      "league_country": "Finland",
      "league_id": 244,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/244.webp",
      "league_name": "Veikkausliiga",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-17 18:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Seinajoki",
      "venue_name": "OmaSp Stadion"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.35,
            "best_odd": 2.9,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0519,
            "ev": -0.1817,
            "implied_prob": 0.334,
            "model_prob": 0.1859,
            "p_final": 0.2822
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2598,
            "best_odd": 3.58,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0232,
            "ev": -0.1145,
            "implied_prob": 0.2706,
            "model_prob": 0.1812,
            "p_final": 0.2474
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2896,
            "best_odd": 2.45,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0688,
            "ev": 0.1373,
            "implied_prob": 0.3954,
            "model_prob": 0.6329,
            "p_final": 0.4642
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.25,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_no": -0.1726,
          "edge_yes": 0.1726,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.4375,
          "ev_yes": 0.215,
          "implied_no": 0.4226,
          "implied_yes": 0.5774,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.81,
          "best_under_odd": 2.09,
          "edge_over": 0.2807,
          "edge_under": -0.2807,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.4733,
          "ev_under": -0.6113,
          "implied_over": 0.5333,
          "implied_under": 0.4667,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 4.39,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.4733,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.75,
          "draw_prob": 0.1812,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.6329,
          "over_prob": 0.814,
          "total_xg": 4.39,
          "under_prob": 0.186,
          "xg_diff": 1.27
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0688,
          "ev": 0.1373,
          "implied_prob": 0.3954,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.6329,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "SJK"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1726,
          "ev": 0.215,
          "implied_prob": 0.5774,
          "model_prob": 0.75,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2807,
          "ev": 0.4733,
          "implied_prob": 0.5333,
          "model_prob": 0.814,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1495708,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.4733,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1859,
        "draw": 0.1812,
        "home": 0.6329
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.215,
        "implied_prob": 0.5774,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.75,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.215,
          "implied_prob": 0.5774,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.75,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "yes",
          "slot": "secondary"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1373,
          "implied_prob": 0.3954,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.6329,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "SJK",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "VPS",
        "home": "SJK"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.385266,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4733,
        "implied_prob": 0.5333,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.814,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1495708,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T17:59:12.939011+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk SJK & VPS!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
Veikkausliiga VeikkausliigaKedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 42
3 HJK Helsinki 22 11 4 7 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 32
8 Turku PS 22 8 7 7 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 19
11 FF Jaro 22 3 6 13 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 14
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 KuPS 22 38 23 +15 43
2 HJK Helsinki 22 36 27 +9 37
3 Gnistan 22 36 29 +7 36
4 Ilves 22 34 37 -3 25
5 Inter Turku 22 29 16 +13 42
6 VPS 22 29 22 +7 33
7 Turku PS 22 28 23 +5 31
8 Lahti 22 26 19 +7 32
9 AC Oulu 22 25 25 0 34
10 SJK 22 25 33 -8 19
11 FF Jaro 22 18 44 -26 15
12 Mariehamn 22 17 43 -26 14
# PASUKAN P xG xGC +/- Mata
1 Ilves 22 4.2 1.7 +2.5 25
2 AC Oulu 22 2.7 2.2 +0.5 34
3 HJK Helsinki 22 2.0 1.6 +0.4 37
4 KuPS 22 2.3 2.0 +0.3 43
5 SJK 22 2.5 2.4 +0.1 19
6 Lahti 22 2.4 2.5 -0.1 32
7 VPS 22 2.0 2.3 -0.3 33
8 Mariehamn 22 2.2 2.7 -0.5 14
9 Turku PS 22 0.9 1.6 -0.7 31
10 FF Jaro 22 2.4 4.6 -2.2 15
11 Inter Turku 22 42
12 Gnistan 22 36