Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
- 1X2 KuPS KuPS ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-2, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-3 1-2 ✔ Betul
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"fair_odds_away": 2.03,
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"over_25_prob": 0.734,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or KuPS and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "KuPS"
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"away_xg": 2.09,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
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"edge": -0.1009,
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"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
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"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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"risk_color": null,
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"away_played": 12,
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"pick": "Yes",
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"source": "xG_dc",
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"double_chance": {
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"key": "1X",
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{
"key": "12",
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"prob": 76.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or KuPS",
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}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Turku PS or KuPS",
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"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 23.7,
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"early_capture": "PRE30",
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"movement": [
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{
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"text": "+25%+"
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"id": "ou_2_5",
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"tier": "best",
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"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
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"ev_no_display": {
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"text": "-46.2%"
},
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"ev_yes_display": {
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"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3158,
"no_prob": 26.9,
"sort_key": 10284.22,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
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},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1211,
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"ev_display": {
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"raw_pct": -12.1,
"text": "-12.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5939,
"max_ev": 0.0611,
"max_ev_display": {
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"raw_pct": 6.1,
"text": "+6.1%"
},
"model_prob": 0.493,
"side_label": "KuPS",
"sort_key": 5248.88,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 804.9,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-2",
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],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "12/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "12/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +9.7%",
"alert_team": "Turku PS",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 10.2,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 10.19,
"hero_label": "Turku PS",
"market_prob_pct": 59.4,
"market_team": "KuPS",
"model_prob_pct": 49.3,
"model_team": "KuPS",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 65,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 10.19,
"fair_prob": 26.98,
"label": "Turku PS",
"market_prob": 16.79,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.1,
"fair_prob": 23.72,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 23.82,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.09,
"fair_prob": 49.3,
"label": "KuPS",
"market_prob": 59.39,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 21.18,
"fair_prob": 73.4,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 52.22,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -21.18,
"fair_prob": 26.6,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 47.78,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 20.65,
"fair_prob": 73.1,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 52.45,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -20.65,
"fair_prob": 26.9,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 47.55,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 10.19,
"fair_prob_pct": 26.98,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Turku PS",
"market_prob_pct": 16.79,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Turku PS"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 10.19,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "KuPS",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 59.4,
"model_prob_pct": 49.3,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on KuPS, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 10.19,
"hero_label": "Turku PS",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Turku PS odds lengthened \u2191 +9.7%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Turku PS.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Turku PS.",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Turku PS.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Turku PS."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors Turku PS more strongly than current market pricing.",
"Recent line movement on Turku PS (\u2191 +9.7%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (12/13) supports the current market view on Turku PS."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 10.19,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 22.3 pp (at 49.3%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 22.3,
"max_prob_pct": 49.3,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 10.19,
"fair_prob_pct": 26.98,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Turku PS",
"market_prob_pct": 16.79,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -0.1,
"fair_prob_pct": 23.72,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 23.82,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.09,
"fair_prob_pct": 49.3,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "KuPS",
"market_prob_pct": 59.39,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Turku PS.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers KuPS (59.4%).",
"However, Turku PS has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +9.7%, 12/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 KuPS, Market \u2192 KuPS, Recent sharp money \u2192 Turku PS.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 17.45,
"closing_odds": 5.73,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 17.45,
"entry_odds": 5.73,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 12,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "12/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +9.7%",
"move_pct_abs": 9.7,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 55h 47m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on Turku PS (9.7%, 12/13) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "5.49 \u2192 3.95 \u2192 4.75",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 55h 47m",
"pick_team": "Turku PS",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "5.49"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.95"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.75"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,12.6",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing"
},
"open_odds": 4.33,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Turku PS \u2191 +9.7% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Turku PS",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Turku PS \u2191 +9.7% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 65,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "12/13",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_display": "\u2191 +9.7%",
"open_odds": 4.33,
"pick_team": "Turku PS",
"steam_score": 65,
"steam_team_name": "Turku PS",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 10.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1165,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1165.webp",
"away_team_name": "KuPS",
"country_code": "FI",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fi.svg",
"country_name": "Finland",
"fixture_id": 1495706,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Finland",
"home_team_id": 1168,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1168.webp",
"home_team_name": "Turku PS",
"league_country": "Finland",
"league_id": 244,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/244.webp",
"league_name": "Veikkausliiga",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-17 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Turku",
"venue_name": "Veritas Stadion"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.5092,
"best_odd": 1.62,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0514,
"ev": -0.1211,
"implied_prob": 0.5939,
"model_prob": 0.493,
"p_final": 0.5426
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1997,
"best_odd": 4.04,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0002,
"ev": -0.0386,
"implied_prob": 0.2382,
"model_prob": 0.2372,
"p_final": 0.238
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1694,
"best_odd": 5.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0173,
"ev": 0.0611,
"implied_prob": 0.1679,
"model_prob": 0.2698,
"p_final": 0.1852
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.0,
"best_yes_odd": 1.8,
"edge_no": -0.2065,
"edge_yes": 0.2065,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.462,
"ev_yes": 0.3158,
"implied_no": 0.4755,
"implied_yes": 0.5245,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.86,
"best_under_odd": 2.05,
"edge_over": 0.2118,
"edge_under": -0.2118,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.3652,
"ev_under": -0.4547,
"implied_over": 0.5222,
"implied_under": 0.4778,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.82,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3652,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.731,
"draw_prob": 0.2372,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.493,
"over_prob": 0.734,
"total_xg": 3.82,
"under_prob": 0.266,
"xg_diff": 0.36
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0611,
"implied_prob": 0.1679,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.2698,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Turku PS",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0514,
"ev": -0.1211,
"implied_prob": 0.5939,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.493,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "KuPS"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2065,
"ev": 0.3158,
"implied_prob": 0.5245,
"model_prob": 0.731,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2118,
"ev": 0.3652,
"implied_prob": 0.5222,
"model_prob": 0.734,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1495706,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3652,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.493,
"draw": 0.2372,
"home": 0.2698
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3158,
"implied_prob": 0.5245,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.731,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3158,
"implied_prob": 0.5245,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.731,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "KuPS",
"home": "Turku PS"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.335071,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3652,
"implied_prob": 0.5222,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.734,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1495706,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T14:59:19.010078+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
Veikkausliiga — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 37 |
| 3 | Gnistan | 22 | 36 | 29 | +7 | 36 |
| 4 | Ilves | 22 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 25 |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 22 | 29 | 16 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 | Turku PS | 22 | 28 | 23 | +5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lahti | 22 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 32 |
| 9 | AC Oulu | 22 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | xG | xGC | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ilves | 22 | 4.2 | 1.7 | +2.5 | 25 |
| 2 | AC Oulu | 22 | 2.7 | 2.2 | +0.5 | 34 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 2.0 | 1.6 | +0.4 | 37 |
| 4 | KuPS | 22 | 2.3 | 2.0 | +0.3 | 43 |
| 5 | SJK | 22 | 2.5 | 2.4 | +0.1 | 19 |
| 6 | Lahti | 22 | 2.4 | 2.5 | -0.1 | 32 |
| 7 | VPS | 22 | 2.0 | 2.3 | -0.3 | 33 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 22 | 2.2 | 2.7 | -0.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Turku PS | 22 | 0.9 | 1.6 | -0.7 | 31 |
| 10 | FF Jaro | 22 | 2.4 | 4.6 | -2.2 | 15 |
| 11 | Inter Turku | 22 | — | — | — | 42 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 22 | — | — | — | 36 |