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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 Kurang 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Vittsjö W Lukis ✖ Incorrect
- Cerapan skor tepat 2-2, 2-1, 3-2, 1-2, 3-1 1-1 ✖ Incorrect
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"fair_odds_away": 2.91,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.9,
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"fair_odds_home": 2.21,
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"over_25_prob": 0.837,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"under_25_prob": 0.163
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Vittsj\u00f6 W or draw",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"away_xg": 2.15,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"confidence": 45.2,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "Winner : Vittsj\u00f6 W",
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},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.31
}
],
"risk_color": "#f44336",
"risk_key": "high_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
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},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 2,
"away_played": 8,
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"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 8,
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"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 81.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
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"yes_prob": 81.4
},
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"away_expected": 2.15,
"home_expected": 2.45,
"scores": [
{
"away": 2,
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 6.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-2",
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},
{
"away": 2,
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},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
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}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W or Draw",
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},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W or Kristianstad W",
"prob": 79.6
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Kristianstad W",
"prob": 54.8
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W or Kristianstad W",
"pick_prob": 79.6
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.4,
"draw_pct": 20.4,
"home_pct": 45.2,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
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"confidence": "high",
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"pick": "Over 2.5",
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"source": "xG_dc",
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},
"prob_source": "poisson",
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"label": "Home",
"market": "Vittsj\u00f6 W Win",
"model_prob": 45.2,
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}
},
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"early_capture": "PRE30",
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"home_team": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.67,
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},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.67,
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"model_pct": 34.36
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 54.88,
"gap_pp": 28.82,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 83.7
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 45.12,
"gap_pp": -28.82,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 16.3
}
],
"movement": [
{
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{
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{
"closing": 2.05,
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},
{
"closing": 1.71,
"early": 1.71,
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"implied_early_pct": 54.88,
"kind": "ou_o"
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{
"closing": 2.08,
"early": 2.08,
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 45.12,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 28.8,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 7.0
}
},
"home_xg": 2.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.4899,
"ev_over_display": {
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"raw_pct": 49.0,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_under": -0.661,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -66.1,
"text": "-66.1%"
},
"featured": true,
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"over_prob": 83.7,
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"tier": "best",
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"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.5815,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -58.1,
"text": "-58.1%"
},
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"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 35.9,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
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"sort_key": 10323.46,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
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},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0442,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
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"raw_pct": 4.4,
"text": "+4.4%"
},
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"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2767,
"max_ev": 0.0442,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 4.4,
"text": "+4.4%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4524,
"side_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"sort_key": 10039.78,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 801.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-2",
"top_prob": 7.0
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 17.5,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 17.53,
"hero_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"market_prob_pct": 27.7,
"market_team": "Kristianstad W",
"model_prob_pct": 45.2,
"model_team": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 17.53,
"fair_prob": 45.2,
"label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"market_prob": 27.67,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.27,
"fair_prob": 20.4,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 27.67,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.28,
"fair_prob": 34.39,
"label": "Kristianstad W",
"market_prob": 44.67,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 29.34,
"fair_prob": 83.7,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.36,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -29.34,
"fair_prob": 16.3,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.64,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 23.41,
"fair_prob": 81.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 57.99,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -23.41,
"fair_prob": 18.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 42.01,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 17.53,
"fair_prob_pct": 45.2,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"market_prob_pct": 27.67,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 17.53,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 27.7,
"model_prob_pct": 45.2,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Vittsj\u00f6 W, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 17.53,
"hero_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Vittsj\u00f6 W.",
"note": "The fair estimate is materially higher than current market pricing on Vittsj\u00f6 W.",
"paragraphs": [
"The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Vittsj\u00f6 W."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate favors Vittsj\u00f6 W more strongly than current market pricing.",
"No meaningful directional movement has emerged, and pricing remains stable across tracked sportsbooks."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 17.53,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 10.8 pp (at 45.2%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 10.8,
"max_prob_pct": 45.2,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 17.53,
"fair_prob_pct": 45.2,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"market_prob_pct": 27.67,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.27,
"fair_prob_pct": 20.4,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 27.67,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.28,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.39,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Kristianstad W",
"market_prob_pct": 44.67,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "The fair estimate is materially higher than current market pricing on Vittsj\u00f6 W.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Kristianstad W (27.7%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Vittsj\u00f6 W, Market \u2192 Kristianstad W, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 30.21,
"closing_odds": 3.31,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 30.21,
"entry_odds": 3.31,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "4/13",
"current_odds": 2.9,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.9,
"pick_team": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"steam_score": 7,
"steam_team_name": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 17.5,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 11079,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/11079.webp",
"away_team_name": "Kristianstad W",
"country_code": "SE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
"country_name": "Sweden",
"fixture_id": 1495494,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Sweden",
"home_team_id": 11083,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11083.webp",
"home_team_name": "Vittsj\u00f6 W",
"league_country": "Sweden",
"league_id": 549,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/549.webp",
"league_name": "Damallsvenskan",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 17:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Vittsjo",
"venue_name": "Vittsjo"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3804,
"best_odd": 2.05,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0392,
"ev": -0.1647,
"implied_prob": 0.4467,
"model_prob": 0.3436,
"p_final": 0.4075
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2673,
"best_odd": 3.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0194,
"ev": -0.1485,
"implied_prob": 0.2767,
"model_prob": 0.204,
"p_final": 0.2572
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2209,
"best_odd": 3.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0388,
"ev": 0.0442,
"implied_prob": 0.2767,
"model_prob": 0.4524,
"p_final": 0.3155
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.25,
"best_yes_odd": 1.67,
"edge_no": -0.2341,
"edge_yes": 0.2341,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.5815,
"ev_yes": 0.3594,
"implied_no": 0.4201,
"implied_yes": 0.5799,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.78,
"best_under_odd": 2.08,
"edge_over": 0.2934,
"edge_under": -0.2934,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.4899,
"ev_under": -0.661,
"implied_over": 0.5436,
"implied_under": 0.4564,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 4.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4899,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.814,
"draw_prob": 0.204,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4524,
"over_prob": 0.837,
"total_xg": 4.6,
"under_prob": 0.163,
"xg_diff": 0.3
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0388,
"ev": 0.0442,
"implied_prob": 0.2767,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4524,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2341,
"ev": 0.3594,
"implied_prob": 0.5799,
"model_prob": 0.814,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2934,
"ev": 0.4899,
"implied_prob": 0.5436,
"model_prob": 0.837,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1495494,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4899,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3436,
"draw": 0.204,
"home": 0.4524
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3594,
"implied_prob": 0.5799,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.814,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3594,
"implied_prob": 0.5799,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.814,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Kristianstad W",
"home": "Vittsj\u00f6 W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.512558,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4899,
"implied_prob": 0.5436,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.837,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1495494,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T16:59:10.232430+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Vittsjö W & Kristianstad W!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
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