Statistik / Bola Sepak / Ireland. Divisyen Perdana Ireland / Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Statistics & Analysis

Jun 22, 2026 - 19:00
1 2.23
1 0.67
xG Accuracy: 65%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Shamrock Rovers Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 2-0, 1-0, 3-0, 2-1, 1-1 1-1 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 05:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1678969

Closing Odds 1.88
AI Fair Odds 1.5
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Derry City
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 66.7%
  • Historical Bucket: 65–70% — Building sample

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Shamrock Rovers (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Shamrock Rovers (1X2) kira-kira 15.6 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Shamrock Rovers (1X2) 66.7 51.1 +15.6
Lukis (1X2) 21.9 28.2 -6.2
Derry City (1X2) 11.4 20.7 -9.3
Lebih 2.5 gol 55.4 44.9 +10.5
Bawah 2.5 gol 44.6 55.1 -10.5
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 66.7% pada Shamrock Rovers (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 51.1%. Bezanya — kira-kira 15.6 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Shamrock Rovers (1X2) 1.88 1.88 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.41 3.41 0.0
Derry City (1X2) 4.64 4.64 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 2.15 2.15 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.75 1.75 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "1059cadb6b8fd26ba936c8d2bbb48c7f0ff269b24e778f056446649348795adc",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "afp_away_win_prob": 0.114,
      "afp_draw_prob": 0.2192,
      "afp_home_win_prob": 0.6667,
      "away_predicted_xg": 0.67,
      "away_win_prob": 0.114,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": 0.114,
      "bayes_applied": 1,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.554,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.447,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2192,
      "draw_prob_posterior": 0.2192,
      "fair_odds_away": 8.77,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": 8.77,
      "fair_odds_draw": 4.56,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": 4.56,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.5,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": 1.5,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.23,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6667,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": 0.6667,
      "over_25_prob": 0.554,
      "prediction_confidence": "high",
      "under_25_prob": 0.446
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Shamrock Rovers or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Shamrock Rovers",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Shamrock Rovers"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.67,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
      "confidence": 66.7,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "high",
        "display_text": "Winner : Shamrock Rovers",
        "edge": 0.1556,
        "edge_gap": 0.4474,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5111,
        "model_prob": 0.6667,
        "pick_type": "winner",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 11.4,
          "draw": 21.9,
          "home": 66.7
        },
        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Shamrock Rovers"
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.88
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": "#ff9800",
      "risk_key": "medium_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.88,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Shamrock Rovers Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.96,
        "market_odds": 1.88,
        "model_odds": 1.5,
        "overround": 4.1,
        "prob_edge": 13.5,
        "value_pct": 25.3,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 22,
        "away_score_rate": 48.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 3,
        "home_played": 22,
        "home_score_rate": 89.2,
        "no_prob": 55.4,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 44.6
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.67,
        "home_expected": 2.23,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 13.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 12.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-0",
            "prob": 10.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Shamrock Rovers or Draw",
            "prob": 88.6
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Shamrock Rovers or Derry City",
            "prob": 78.1
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Derry City",
            "prob": 33.3
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Shamrock Rovers or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 88.6
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 11.4,
        "draw_pct": 21.9,
        "home_pct": 66.7,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Shamrock Rovers"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.9,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 55.4,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 55.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.9,
        "under_prob": 44.6
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 25.4,
        "implied_prob": 53.2,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Shamrock Rovers Win",
        "model_prob": 66.7,
        "odds": 1.88
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Derry City",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Shamrock Rovers",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 51.11,
          "gap_pp": 15.56,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 66.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 28.18,
          "gap_pp": -6.25,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 21.93
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 20.71,
          "gap_pp": -9.31,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 11.4
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.87,
          "gap_pp": 10.53,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 55.4
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 55.13,
          "gap_pp": -10.53,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 44.6
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.88,
          "early": 1.88,
          "implied_closing_pct": 51.11,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 51.11,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.41,
          "early": 3.41,
          "implied_closing_pct": 28.18,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 28.18,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.64,
          "early": 4.64,
          "implied_closing_pct": 20.71,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 20.71,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.15,
          "early": 2.15,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.87,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.87,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.75,
          "early": 1.75,
          "implied_closing_pct": 55.13,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 55.13,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 15.6,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-0",
        "prob": 13.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 2.23,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0954,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 9.5,
          "text": "+9.5%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5111,
        "max_ev": 0.0954,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 9.5,
          "text": "+9.5%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.6667,
        "side_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
        "sort_key": 10235.86,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": false,
        "ev_over": null,
        "ev_over_display": null,
        "ev_under": null,
        "ev_under_display": null,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": null,
        "over_prob": 55.4,
        "sort_key": 4050.0,
        "tier": "lean",
        "under_prob": 44.6,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": false,
        "ev_no": null,
        "ev_no_display": null,
        "ev_yes": null,
        "ev_yes_display": null,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": null,
        "no_prob": 55.4,
        "sort_key": 4050.0,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 44.6
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 821.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "2-0",
        "top_prob": 13.7
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "12/14",
        "alert_breadth_note": "12/14 sportsbooks confirmed",
        "alert_move": "\u2191 +6.1%",
        "alert_team": "Draw",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 15.6,
        "has_alert": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 15.56,
        "hero_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
        "market_prob_pct": 51.1,
        "market_team": "Shamrock Rovers",
        "model_prob_pct": 66.7,
        "model_team": "Shamrock Rovers",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": 50,
        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 15.56,
          "fair_prob": 66.67,
          "label": "Shamrock Rovers",
          "market_prob": 51.11,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -6.26,
          "fair_prob": 21.92,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 28.18,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -9.31,
          "fair_prob": 11.4,
          "label": "Derry City",
          "market_prob": 20.71,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 55.4,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 44.6,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 44.6,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 55.4,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": 15.56,
        "fair_prob_pct": 66.67,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "Shamrock Rovers",
        "market_prob_pct": 51.11,
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "steam_team_name": "Draw"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
          "max_gap_pp": 15.56,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Favourite",
          "favourite_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
          "headline": "Clear favourite",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 51.1,
          "model_prob_pct": 66.7,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "high",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Shamrock Rovers, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
          "tier": "favourite",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "High",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 15.56,
        "hero_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "Draw odds lengthened \u2191 +6.1%.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "The model may see a slower-scoring or closer matchup than the market.",
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, Draw has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Shamrock Rovers.",
          "note": "Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1% (weakening support).",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The statistical fair estimate is materially higher than the market on Shamrock Rovers.",
            "However, Draw has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1% (weakening support)."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate favors Shamrock Rovers more strongly than current market pricing.",
            "At the same time, Draw has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (12/14) supports the current market view on Draw."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 15.56,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 44.8 pp (at 66.7%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 44.8,
          "max_prob_pct": 66.7,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "High",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 15.56,
            "fair_prob_pct": 66.67,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Shamrock Rovers",
            "market_prob_pct": 51.11,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -6.26,
            "fair_prob_pct": 21.92,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 28.18,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -9.31,
            "fair_prob_pct": 11.4,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Derry City",
            "market_prob_pct": 20.71,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 6.1% (weakening support).",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Shamrock Rovers (51.1%).",
          "However, Draw has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +6.1%, 12/14).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Shamrock Rovers, Market \u2192 Shamrock Rovers, Recent sharp money \u2192 Draw.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 53.19,
        "closing_odds": 1.88,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 53.19,
        "entry_odds": 1.88,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Prediction Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 12,
        "books_total": 14,
        "breadth_display": "12/14",
        "clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
        "clv_status": "evaluated",
        "current_odds": 3.5,
        "move_context": "Largest move today",
        "move_display": "\u2191 +6.1%",
        "move_pct_abs": 6.1,
        "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
        "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 47h 44m",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Betfair led repricing on Draw (6.1%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
          "A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_path": {
          "display": "3.55 \u2192 3.13 \u2192 3.50",
          "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
          "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 47h 44m",
          "pick_team": "Draw",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "3.55"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "3.13"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "3.50"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,8.1 56.0,0.0",
          "sparkline_trend": "up",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
        },
        "open_odds": 3.3,
        "page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 12/14 sportsbooks on Draw",
        "phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
        "phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
        "pick_team": "Draw",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "",
        "sharp_leader": "Betfair",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "confirm",
        "signal_icon": "\u26a1",
        "signal_key": "sharp_led",
        "signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
        "steam_score": 50,
        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "12/14",
        "current_odds": 3.5,
        "move_display": "\u2191 +6.1%",
        "open_odds": 3.3,
        "pick_team": "Draw",
        "steam_score": 50,
        "steam_team_name": "Draw",
        "steam_tier": "B"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 15.6,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 670,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/670.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Derry City",
      "country_code": "IE",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ie.svg",
      "country_name": "Ireland",
      "fixture_id": 1492737,
      "goals_away": 1,
      "goals_home": 0,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Ireland",
      "home_team_id": 652,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/652.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Shamrock Rovers",
      "league_country": "Ireland",
      "league_id": 357,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/357.webp",
      "league_name": "Divisyen Perdana Ireland",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-22 19:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "First Half",
      "status_short": "1H",
      "venue_city": "Dublin",
      "venue_name": "Tallaght Stadium"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1721,
            "best_odd": 4.64,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.016,
            "ev": -0.1134,
            "implied_prob": 0.2071,
            "model_prob": 0.114,
            "p_final": 0.1911
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2719,
            "best_odd": 3.41,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.017,
            "ev": -0.097,
            "implied_prob": 0.2818,
            "model_prob": 0.2193,
            "p_final": 0.2648
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.46,
            "best_odd": 1.88,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0716,
            "ev": 0.0954,
            "implied_prob": 0.5111,
            "model_prob": 0.6667,
            "p_final": 0.5827
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "ev_available": false,
          "n_bookmakers": 0,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "ev_available": false,
          "n_bookmakers": 0,
          "reliability": "low"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.9,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0954,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.446,
          "draw_prob": 0.2193,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.6667,
          "over_prob": 0.554,
          "total_xg": 2.9,
          "under_prob": 0.446,
          "xg_diff": 1.56
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0716,
          "ev": 0.0954,
          "implied_prob": 0.5111,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.6667,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Shamrock Rovers"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": null,
          "ev": null,
          "implied_prob": null,
          "model_prob": 0.554,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": null,
          "ev": null,
          "implied_prob": null,
          "model_prob": 0.554,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1492737,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0954,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.114,
        "draw": 0.2193,
        "home": 0.6667
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Derry City",
        "home": "Shamrock Rovers"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.076324,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0954,
        "implied_prob": 0.5111,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.6667,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Shamrock Rovers",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1492737,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-22T19:28:42.967284+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Shamrock Rovers & Derry City!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
Divisyen Perdana Ireland Divisyen Perdana IrelandKedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Shamrock Rovers 29 16 8 5 56
2 St Patrick's Athletic 29 14 8 7 50
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 50
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 40
5 Shelbourne 28 8 12 8 36
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 34
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 34
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 32
9 Drogheda United 29 6 10 13 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 23
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Bohemians 29 50 34 +16 50
2 Shamrock Rovers 29 46 27 +19 56
3 Dundalk 29 46 45 +1 40
4 St Patrick's Athletic 29 45 25 +20 50
5 Derry City 29 41 40 +1 34
6 Waterford 29 39 48 -9 32
7 Shelbourne 28 37 39 -2 36
8 Galway United 28 36 42 -6 34
9 Drogheda United 29 33 48 -15 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 23 48 -25 23
# PASUKAN P xG xGC +/- Mata
1 Waterford 29 13.0 7.8 +5.2 32
2 St Patrick's Athletic 29 12.6 8.9 +3.7 50
3 Bohemians 29 11.5 8.2 +3.3 50
4 Derry City 29 10.8 7.8 +3.0 34
5 Shamrock Rovers 29 9.7 8.2 +1.5 56
6 Dundalk 29 13.0 12.1 +0.9 40
7 Galway United 28 10.9 13.0 -2.1 34
8 Shelbourne 28 6.2 9.8 -3.6 36
9 Drogheda United 29 6.4 12.3 -5.9 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 8.0 14.1 -6.1 23