Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Bellinzona FC Wil 1900 ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 2-4 ✖ tak betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
3.36
AI Fair Odds
2.39
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
FC Wil 1900 win · Bellinzona 2–4 FC Wil 1900
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 41.8%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
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"content_hash": "895b4401e936db80e75373cc1f989fef5b49cd9d75ee9b04cd9287d39ea74caa",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or FC Wil 1900",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "FC Wil 1900"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Bellinzona",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1341,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2836,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 12,
"away_failed_to_score": 13,
"away_played": 34,
"away_score_rate": 61.8,
"home_clean_sheet": 6,
"home_failed_to_score": 17,
"home_played": 34,
"home_score_rate": 50.0,
"no_prob": 69.1,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 69.1,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 30.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.55,
"home_expected": 1.3,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 7.5
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Bellinzona or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Bellinzona or FC Wil 1900",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or FC Wil 1900",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or FC Wil 1900",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.85,
"away_avg_scored": 1.0,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
"over_prob": 54.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 54.2,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.85,
"under_prob": 45.8
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.7
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.5547,
"ev_yes": -0.4994,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.5547,
"no_prob": 69.1,
"sort_key": 10649.23,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 30.9
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0607,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2836,
"max_ev": 0.0607,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Bellinzona",
"sort_key": 10054.63,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0407,
"ev_under": -0.0382,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0382,
"over_prob": 54.2,
"sort_key": 1790.45,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 45.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 815.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 2179,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2179.webp",
"away_team_name": "FC Wil 1900",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ch.svg",
"country_name": "Switzerland",
"fixture_id": 1491439,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 6616,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6616.webp",
"home_team_name": "Bellinzona",
"league_country": "Switzerland",
"league_id": 208,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/208.webp",
"league_name": "Liga Cabaran",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-11 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3679,
"best_odd": 2.13,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0448,
"ev": -0.1426,
"implied_prob": 0.4473,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4025
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2944,
"best_odd": 3.54,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0037,
"ev": -0.0602,
"implied_prob": 0.2691,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2655
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2397,
"best_odd": 3.36,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0321,
"ev": 0.0607,
"implied_prob": 0.2836,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3157
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.25,
"best_yes_odd": 1.62,
"edge_no": 0.2684,
"edge_yes": -0.2684,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.5547,
"ev_yes": -0.4994,
"implied_no": 0.4226,
"implied_yes": 0.5774,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.77,
"best_under_odd": 2.1,
"edge_over": 0.0056,
"edge_under": -0.0056,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0407,
"ev_under": -0.0382,
"implied_over": 0.5364,
"implied_under": 0.4636,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5547,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.309,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.542,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.458,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0321,
"ev": 0.0607,
"implied_prob": 0.2836,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Bellinzona"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2684,
"ev": 0.5547,
"implied_prob": 0.4226,
"model_prob": 0.691,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": -0.0056,
"ev": -0.0382,
"implied_prob": 0.4636,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1491439,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5547,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "FC Wil 1900",
"home": "Bellinzona"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.383298,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5547,
"implied_prob": 0.4226,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.691,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1491439,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-11T15:59:07.170889+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Bellinzona & FC Wil 1900!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Liga Cabaran — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Vaduz | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 81 |
| 2 | FC Aarau | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 80 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 67 |
| 4 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Neuchâtel Xamax FC | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Rapperswil | 36 | 14 | 2 | 20 | 44 |
| 7 | Étoile Carouge | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Wil 1900 | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 40 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 23 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Aarau | 36 | 77 | 47 | +30 | 80 |
| 2 | FC Vaduz | 36 | 75 | 41 | +34 | 81 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 36 | 75 | 48 | +27 | 67 |
| 4 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 36 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 50 |
| 5 | Neuchâtel Xamax FC | 36 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 49 |
| 6 | Rapperswil | 36 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 44 |
| 7 | Étoile Carouge | 36 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 8 | Bellinzona | 36 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 23 |
| 9 | FC Wil 1900 | 36 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 40 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 36 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 28 |
