Mladá Boleslav II vs Teplice II Statistics & Analysis

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Teplice II",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Teplice II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0016,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4193,
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 30,
        "away_score_rate": 76.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 30,
        "home_score_rate": 63.3,
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        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 51.4,
        "source": "stats",
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        "home_expected": 1.25,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 11.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
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          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
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            "away": 0,
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            "label": "1-0",
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
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        ],
        "source": "avg"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II or Teplice II",
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            "prob": 90.0
          }
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        "pick_prob": 90.0
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.8,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 53.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.8,
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    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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          "closing_implied_pct": 41.93,
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          "model_pct": 41.77
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          "closing_implied_pct": 25.95,
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          "kind": "1x2_h"
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          "kind": "1x2_d"
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        {
          "closing": 2.82,
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        "label": "1-1",
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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          "raw_pct": 31.1,
          "text": "+25%+"
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          "text": "-17.7%"
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        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
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          "text": "+12.6%"
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        "id": "1x2",
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          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -8.9,
          "text": "-8.9%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II",
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        "tier": "bad_ev"
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 12877,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12877.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Teplice II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "home_team_id": 12816,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12816.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 685,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/685.webp",
      "league_name": "3. liga - CFL B",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-30 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Mlada Boleslav",
      "venue_name": "Lokotrans Arena"
    },
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
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            "best_odd": 2.82,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "alpha": 0.2987,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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        "btts": {
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          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
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          "edge_under": 0.0651,
          "ev_available": true,
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          "implied_under": 0.4039,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3107,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.486,
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          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.531,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.469,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "decision": "no_bet",
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          "implied_prob": 0.4193,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0651,
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          "implied_prob": 0.4039,
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          "value_side": "under"
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        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
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        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
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      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1256,
        "implied_prob": 0.4039,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
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        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
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        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
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      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1256,
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          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.469,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Teplice II",
        "home": "Mlad\u00e1 Boleslav II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.1597,
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.514,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  },
  "fixture_id": 1489586,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:29:59.507039+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}