Vsetín vs Zlín II Statistics & Analysis

May 30, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 82%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Vsetín Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 1-1 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 15:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3442554

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Vsetín 1–1 Zlín II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Zl\u00edn II and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Zl\u00edn II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Vset\u00edn",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.039,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3786,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 3,
        "away_failed_to_score": 6,
        "away_played": 31,
        "away_score_rate": 80.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 31,
        "home_score_rate": 64.5,
        "no_prob": 48.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 52.0,
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.7,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.1
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            "away": 2,
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            "away": 0,
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        "source": "avg"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Vset\u00edn or Draw",
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            "key": "X2",
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        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Zl\u00edn II",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
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      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "+1.5",
        "avg_total": 3.35,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 65.1,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 65.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.35,
        "under_prob": 34.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Zl\u00edn II",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Vset\u00edn",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 37.86,
          "gap_pp": 3.9,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
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          "closing_implied_pct": 23.63,
          "gap_pp": 2.04,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
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          "closing_implied_pct": 38.51,
          "gap_pp": -5.94,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
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        },
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          "closing_implied_pct": 62.34,
          "gap_pp": 2.76,
          "kind": "ou_o",
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          "closing_implied_pct": 37.66,
          "gap_pp": -2.76,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 34.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
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          "closing": 2.39,
          "early": 2.39,
          "implied_closing_pct": 37.86,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.86,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.83,
          "early": 3.83,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 23.63,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 3.9,
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2768,
        "ev_no_display": {
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          "raw_pct": 27.7,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.2512,
        "ev_yes_display": {
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          "raw_pct": -25.1,
          "text": "-25.1%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
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        "no_prob": 48.0,
        "sort_key": 10399.12,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 52.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0365,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -3.6,
          "text": "-3.6%"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.145,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -14.5,
          "text": "-14.5%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0365,
        "over_prob": 65.1,
        "sort_key": 1790.875,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 34.9,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0555,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -5.5,
          "text": "-5.5%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3786,
        "max_ev": -0.0555,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -5.5,
          "text": "-5.5%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Vset\u00edn",
        "sort_key": 1786.125,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
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        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 809.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.8
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 8625,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8625.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Zl\u00edn II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
      "fixture_id": 1487453,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "home_team_id": 7377,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7377.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Vset\u00edn",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 349,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/349.webp",
      "league_name": "3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-31 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Vsetin",
      "venue_name": "Stadion Tyrsovka"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4099,
            "best_odd": 2.35,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0244,
            "ev": -0.1523,
            "implied_prob": 0.3851,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3607
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2908,
            "best_odd": 3.83,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0059,
            "ev": -0.0723,
            "implied_prob": 0.2363,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2422
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4237,
            "best_odd": 2.39,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0165,
            "ev": -0.0555,
            "implied_prob": 0.3786,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3952
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.66,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.44,
          "edge_no": 0.1267,
          "edge_yes": -0.1267,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2768,
          "ev_yes": -0.2512,
          "implied_no": 0.3533,
          "implied_yes": 0.6467,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.48,
          "best_under_odd": 2.45,
          "edge_over": 0.0258,
          "edge_under": -0.0258,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0365,
          "ev_under": -0.145,
          "implied_over": 0.6252,
          "implied_under": 0.3748,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2768,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.52,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.651,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.349,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0165,
          "ev": -0.0555,
          "implied_prob": 0.3786,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Vset\u00edn"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1267,
          "ev": 0.2768,
          "implied_prob": 0.3533,
          "model_prob": 0.48,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0258,
          "ev": -0.0365,
          "implied_prob": 0.6252,
          "model_prob": 0.651,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1487453,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2768,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Zl\u00edn II",
        "home": "Vset\u00edn"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.132864,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2768,
        "implied_prob": 0.3533,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.48,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1487453,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-31T18:35:36.754215+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech 3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Třinec 34 23 7 4 76
2 Hodonín 33 21 7 5 70
3 Sigma Olomouc II 34 19 6 10 62
4 Zbrojovka Brno II 33 19 4 10 61
5 Uničov 33 17 11 6 61
6 Frýdek-Místek 33 16 10 7 58
7 Vrchovina 33 16 7 10 55
8 Unie Hlubina 33 13 8 12 47
9 Vsetín 33 13 6 14 45
10 Zlín II 34 11 10 13 43
11 Vítkovice 33 11 7 15 40
12 Slovácko II 33 9 11 13 38
13 Polanka nad Odrou 34 9 8 17 35
14 Hranice 33 7 9 17 30
15 Blansko 33 9 3 21 30
16 Karviná II 33 7 8 18 29
17 Hlučín 33 6 7 20 25
18 Start Brno 33 4 12 18 24
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Třinec 34 75 27 +48 76
2 Hodonín 33 75 36 +39 70
3 Sigma Olomouc II 34 71 33 +38 62
4 Zbrojovka Brno II 33 67 46 +21 61
5 Vrchovina 33 63 49 +14 55
6 Zlín II 34 57 64 -7 43
7 Frýdek-Místek 33 52 37 +15 58
8 Uničov 33 52 41 +11 61
9 Unie Hlubina 33 51 47 +4 47
10 Vsetín 33 51 52 -1 45
11 Slovácko II 33 48 54 -6 38
12 Vítkovice 33 46 55 -9 40
13 Blansko 33 44 77 -33 30
14 Hlučín 33 39 72 -33 25
15 Karviná II 33 38 59 -21 29
16 Hranice 33 37 58 -21 30
17 Polanka nad Odrou 34 37 62 -25 35
18 Start Brno 33 32 66 -34 24