Start Brno vs Hranice Statistics & Analysis

May 08, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Start Brno Hranice ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 08:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2918802

Closing Odds 1.66
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Hranice win · Start Brno 1–4 Hranice
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Lukis (1X2),Hranice (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 12.1 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Start Brno (1X2) 41.8 55.1 -13.3
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 23.5 +2.2
Hranice (1X2) 32.6 21.4 +11.2
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 62.7 -12.1
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 37.3 +12.1
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 37.3%. Bezanya — kira-kira 12.1 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Start Brno (1X2) 1.66 1.66 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.89 3.89 0.0
Hranice (1X2) 4.27 4.27 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.49 1.49 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.5 2.5 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
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    "api_prediction": {
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      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
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      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "selection": null,
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_score_rate": 59.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 63.0,
        "no_prob": 62.7,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 62.7,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 37.3
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      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.45,
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            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
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          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Start Brno or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Start Brno or Hranice",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Hranice",
            "prob": 55.0
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        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Start Brno or Draw",
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Start Brno"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.7,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 50.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 50.6,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.7,
        "under_prob": 49.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.2
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.4546,
        "ev_yes": -0.3883,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
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        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "over_prob": 50.6,
        "sort_key": 10211.5,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 49.4,
        "value_side": "under"
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        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1918,
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        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5508,
        "max_ev": -0.0063,
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        "side_label": "Start Brno",
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        "tier": "bad_ev"
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        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 816.6,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.2
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 7300,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/7300.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Hranice",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
      "fixture_id": 1487423,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 7361,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7361.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Start Brno",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 349,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/349.webp",
      "league_name": "3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 14:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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          "away": {
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            "best_odd": 4.27,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0186,
            "ev": -0.0063,
            "implied_prob": 0.2141,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2327
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          "draw": {
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            "best_odd": 3.89,
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            "best_odd": 1.66,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.1918,
            "implied_prob": 0.5508,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4869
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.64,
          "edge_no": 0.2196,
          "edge_yes": -0.2196,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.4546,
          "ev_yes": -0.3883,
          "implied_no": 0.4074,
          "implied_yes": 0.5926,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
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          "best_under_odd": 2.5,
          "edge_over": -0.0837,
          "edge_under": 0.0837,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1651,
          "ev_under": 0.235,
          "implied_over": 0.5897,
          "implied_under": 0.4103,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.4546,
      "confidence": 6.5,
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
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      },
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
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          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.494,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Start Brno"
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        "btts": {
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          "edge": 0.2196,
          "ev": 0.4546,
          "implied_prob": 0.4074,
          "model_prob": 0.627,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0837,
          "ev": 0.235,
          "implied_prob": 0.4103,
          "model_prob": 0.494,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1487423,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.4546,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.235,
        "implied_prob": 0.4103,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.494,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.235,
          "implied_prob": 0.4103,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.494,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Hranice",
        "home": "Start Brno"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.285034,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4546,
        "implied_prob": 0.4074,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.627,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1487423,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T14:29:19.382707+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech 3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Třinec 34 23 7 4 76
2 Hodonín 33 21 7 5 70
3 Sigma Olomouc II 34 19 6 10 62
4 Zbrojovka Brno II 33 19 4 10 61
5 Uničov 33 17 11 6 61
6 Frýdek-Místek 33 16 10 7 58
7 Vrchovina 33 16 7 10 55
8 Unie Hlubina 33 13 8 12 47
9 Vsetín 33 13 6 14 45
10 Zlín II 34 11 10 13 43
11 Vítkovice 33 11 7 15 40
12 Slovácko II 33 9 11 13 38
13 Polanka nad Odrou 34 9 8 17 35
14 Hranice 33 7 9 17 30
15 Blansko 33 9 3 21 30
16 Karviná II 33 7 8 18 29
17 Hlučín 33 6 7 20 25
18 Start Brno 33 4 12 18 24
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Třinec 34 75 27 +48 76
2 Hodonín 33 75 36 +39 70
3 Sigma Olomouc II 34 71 33 +38 62
4 Zbrojovka Brno II 33 67 46 +21 61
5 Vrchovina 33 63 49 +14 55
6 Zlín II 34 57 64 -7 43
7 Frýdek-Místek 33 52 37 +15 58
8 Uničov 33 52 41 +11 61
9 Unie Hlubina 33 51 47 +4 47
10 Vsetín 33 51 52 -1 45
11 Slovácko II 33 48 54 -6 38
12 Vítkovice 33 46 55 -9 40
13 Blansko 33 44 77 -33 30
14 Hlučín 33 39 72 -33 25
15 Karviná II 33 38 59 -21 29
16 Hranice 33 37 58 -21 30
17 Polanka nad Odrou 34 37 62 -25 35
18 Start Brno 33 32 66 -34 24