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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 Lebih 2.5 (7 goals) ✔ Correct
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Paraguay W Colombia W ✖ Incorrect
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 3-4 ✖ Incorrect
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"over_25_prob": 0.561,
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Colombia W and -3.5 goals",
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{
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],
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{
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},
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{
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{
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"tier": "best"
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{
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"id": "ou_2_5",
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"tier": "best",
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"value_side": "over"
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{
"featured": false,
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"tier": "risk",
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],
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"alert_breadth_note": "9/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -23.3%",
"alert_team": "Paraguay W",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 38.3,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -38.3,
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"market_prob_pct": 16.4,
"market_team": "Colombia W",
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"model_team": "Paraguay W",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2717",
"status_key": "disagrees",
"status_label": "Model breakdown risk",
"status_line": "Market disagrees with model",
"steam_score": 94,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 35.69,
"fair_prob": 52.11,
"label": "Paraguay W",
"market_prob": 16.42,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.61,
"fair_prob": 25.87,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 23.26,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -38.3,
"fair_prob": 22.02,
"label": "Colombia W",
"market_prob": 60.32,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.17,
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"label": "Over 2.5",
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"outcome": "over"
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{
"edge_pp": -5.17,
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"market_prob": 49.07,
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},
{
"edge_pp": 11.02,
"fair_prob": 57.8,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 46.78,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.02,
"fair_prob": 42.2,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 53.22,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
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"edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -38.3,
"fair_prob_pct": 22.02,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Colombia W",
"market_prob_pct": 60.32,
"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"steam_team_name": "Paraguay W"
},
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"edge_status": "model_breakdown_risk",
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"suppress_value_language": true
},
"divergence_label": "Model Breakdown Risk",
"divergence_level": "breakdown",
"divergence_level_label": "Model breakdown risk",
"divergence_note": "The model and market differ by 38.3 percentage points. The model output may be unreliable for this matchup \u2014 validate inputs before interpreting probabilities.",
"divergence_tier": "breakdown",
"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Paraguay W",
"headline": "Model breakdown risk",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_prob_pct": 16.4,
"model_prob_pct": 52.1,
"paragraphs": [
"Model and market diverge materially. Treat model probabilities as unreliable until inputs are validated."
],
"reliability_headline": "Model breakdown risk",
"reliability_icon": "\u2717",
"reliability_tier": "breakdown",
"summary": "Do not interpret model vs market comparison until validation passes.",
"tier": "breakdown",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Fail"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -38.3,
"hero_label": "Colombia W",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Paraguay W odds shortened \u2193 -23.3%.",
"market_agreement": "very_weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 38.3,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_fail",
"status": "fail"
},
"model_validation_label": "Fail",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 26.2 pp (at 52.1%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 26.2,
"max_prob_pct": 52.1,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 35.69,
"fair_prob_pct": 52.11,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Paraguay W",
"market_prob_pct": 16.42,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.61,
"fair_prob_pct": 25.87,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 23.26,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -38.3,
"fair_prob_pct": 22.02,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Colombia W",
"market_prob_pct": 60.32,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"status_label": "Model Breakdown Risk",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Colombia W (16.4%).",
"However, Paraguay W has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2193 -23.3%, 9/11).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Paraguay W, Market \u2192 Colombia W, Recent sharp money \u2192 Paraguay W.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 66.67,
"closing_odds": 1.5,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 66.67,
"entry_odds": 1.5,
"model_validation_label": "Fail",
"model_validation_status": "fail",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "lost"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 9,
"books_total": 11,
"breadth_display": "9/11",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 5.75,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -23.3%",
"move_pct_abs": 23.3,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 35h 57m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"9/11 books synchronized on Paraguay W (23.3% steam, score 94) \u2014 high-conviction multi-book repricing beats isolated ticks.",
"Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "9.00 \u2192 5.20 \u2192 5.75",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 35h 57m",
"pick_team": "Paraguay W",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "9.00"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "5.20"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "5.75"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,18.0 56.0,15.8",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 7.5,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Paraguay W \u2193 -23.3% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Paraguay W",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Paraguay W \u2193 -23.3% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Betfair",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "steam",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udd25",
"signal_key": "strong_steam",
"signal_label": "Strong steam",
"steam_score": 94,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong multi-book steam",
"steam_tier": "A+",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "9/11",
"current_odds": 5.75,
"move_display": "\u2193 -23.3%",
"open_odds": 7.5,
"pick_team": "Paraguay W",
"steam_score": 94,
"steam_team_name": "Paraguay W",
"steam_tier": "A+"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 38.3,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1737,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1737.webp",
"away_team_name": "Colombia W",
"country_code": null,
"country_flag": null,
"country_name": null,
"fixture_id": 1483046,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Paraguay",
"home_team_id": 16941,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16941.webp",
"home_team_name": "Paraguay W",
"league_country": "World",
"league_id": 1206,
"league_logo": null,
"league_name": "CONMEBOL Nations League Women",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-06-09 20:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3,
"best_odd": 1.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.1148,
"ev": -0.2675,
"implied_prob": 0.6032,
"model_prob": 0.2204,
"p_final": 0.4883
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2883,
"best_odd": 3.89,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0075,
"ev": -0.0661,
"implied_prob": 0.2326,
"model_prob": 0.2585,
"p_final": 0.2401
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.1,
"best_odd": 5.51,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0357,
"ev": 0.1014,
"implied_prob": 0.1642,
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"p_final": 0.1999
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.8,
"best_yes_odd": 2.06,
"edge_no": -0.1102,
"edge_yes": 0.1102,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2404,
"ev_yes": 0.1907,
"implied_no": 0.5322,
"implied_yes": 0.4678,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.92,
"best_under_odd": 1.98,
"edge_over": 0.0517,
"edge_under": -0.0517,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0771,
"ev_under": -0.1308,
"implied_over": 0.5093,
"implied_under": 0.4907,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.93,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1907,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.578,
"draw_prob": 0.2585,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.5211,
"over_prob": 0.561,
"total_xg": 2.93,
"under_prob": 0.439,
"xg_diff": 0.69
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0357,
"ev": 0.1014,
"implied_prob": 0.1642,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Paraguay W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1102,
"ev": 0.1907,
"implied_prob": 0.4678,
"model_prob": 0.578,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0517,
"ev": 0.0771,
"implied_prob": 0.5093,
"model_prob": 0.561,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1483046,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1907,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2204,
"draw": 0.2585,
"home": 0.5211
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1014,
"implied_prob": 0.1642,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Paraguay W",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1014,
"implied_prob": 0.1642,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.5211,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Paraguay W",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Colombia W",
"home": "Paraguay W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.126758,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1907,
"implied_prob": 0.4678,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.578,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1483046,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-09T19:59:06.428229+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Paraguay W & Colombia W!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan SekarangCONMEBOL Nations League Women — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia W | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| 2 | Argentina W | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
| 3 | Venezuela W | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Ecuador W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Peru W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Chile W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Paraguay W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Uruguay W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Bolivia W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezuela W | 8 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 2 | Argentina W | 8 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 | Paraguay W | 8 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 10 |
| 4 | Colombia W | 8 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Peru W | 8 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | Chile W | 8 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ecuador W | 8 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Uruguay W | 8 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Bolivia W | 8 | 2 | 40 | -38 | 1 |
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