SONABEL vs ASFB Statistics & Analysis

May 03, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 ASFB SONABEL ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 2-0 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 00:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1520124

Closing Odds 2.7
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result SONABEL win · SONABEL 2–0 ASFB
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai SONABEL (1X2),ASFB (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Lebih 2.5 gol kira-kira 21.6 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
SONABEL (1X2) 41.8 39.8 +2.0
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 33.1 -7.5
ASFB (1X2) 32.6 27.1 +5.5
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 29.0 +21.6
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 71.0 -21.6
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 50.6% pada Lebih 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 29.0%. Bezanya — kira-kira 21.6 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Bet365

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
SONABEL (1X2) 2.25 2.25 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 2.7 2.7 0.0
ASFB (1X2) 3.3 3.3 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 3.25 3.25 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.33 1.33 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "883fa0ebedceebe62940004cbb8352b3ccea438a54d90aac5653eeae2b35f0b5",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : SONABEL or draw and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "SONABEL"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "ASFB",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0201,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3976,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 12,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 53.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 13,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 53.6,
        "no_prob": 71.3,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 71.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 28.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.9,
        "home_expected": 0.85,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 17.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 15.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 14.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 7.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "ASFB or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "ASFB or SONABEL",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or SONABEL",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "ASFB or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "ASFB"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 1.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "over_prob": 25.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 74.4,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 1.75,
        "under_prob": 74.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-0",
        "prob": 17.4
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0481,
        "ev_yes": -0.2969,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0481,
        "no_prob": 71.3,
        "sort_key": 10043.29,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 28.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.168,
        "ev_under": -0.0105,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0105,
        "over_prob": 25.6,
        "sort_key": 1797.375,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 74.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0857,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3976,
        "max_ev": -0.0558,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "ASFB",
        "sort_key": 1786.05,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 832.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-0",
        "top_prob": 17.4
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 8111,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8111.webp",
      "away_team_name": "SONABEL",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/bf.svg",
      "country_name": "Burkina-Faso",
      "fixture_id": 1469495,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 8564,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8564.webp",
      "home_team_name": "ASFB",
      "league_country": "Burkina-Faso",
      "league_id": 423,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/423.webp",
      "league_name": "Ligue 1 Burkina Faso",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2754,
            "best_odd": 3.3,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.015,
            "ev": -0.0558,
            "implied_prob": 0.2711,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2861
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.3996,
            "best_odd": 2.7,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0298,
            "ev": -0.186,
            "implied_prob": 0.3313,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.3015
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4365,
            "best_odd": 2.25,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0088,
            "ev": -0.0857,
            "implied_prob": 0.3976,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4064
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.47,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.45,
          "edge_no": 0.0876,
          "edge_yes": -0.0876,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0481,
          "ev_yes": -0.2969,
          "implied_no": 0.6254,
          "implied_yes": 0.3746,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 3.25,
          "best_under_odd": 1.33,
          "edge_over": -0.0356,
          "edge_under": 0.0356,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.168,
          "ev_under": -0.0105,
          "implied_over": 0.2916,
          "implied_under": 0.7084,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0481,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.287,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.256,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.744,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0481,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.6254,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.713,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0088,
          "ev": -0.0857,
          "implied_prob": 0.3976,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "ASFB"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0876,
          "ev": 0.0481,
          "implied_prob": 0.6254,
          "model_prob": 0.713,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0356,
          "ev": -0.0105,
          "implied_prob": 0.7084,
          "model_prob": 0.744,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1469495,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0481,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "SONABEL",
        "home": "ASFB"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1469495,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T16:00:35.004488+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk SONABEL & ASFB!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
Ligue 1 Burkina Faso Ligue 1 Burkina Faso — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Rahimo 29 20 8 1 68
2 USFA 29 11 13 5 46
3 Sporting Cascades 29 10 13 6 43
4 Douanes 29 10 13 6 43
5 Majestic 29 11 10 8 43
6 ASFA-Yennenga 29 9 11 9 38
7 ASFB 29 9 10 10 37
8 Salitas 29 9 10 10 37
9 CFFEB 29 9 10 10 37
10 Vitesse 29 9 9 11 36
11 Réal du Faso 29 9 9 11 36
12 RCK 29 9 8 12 35
13 SONABEL 29 7 12 10 33
14 Etoile Filante 29 7 11 11 32
15 RC Bobo-Dioulasso 29 6 9 14 27
16 AJEB 29 5 8 16 23
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Rahimo 29 47 15 +32 68
2 USFA 29 29 17 +12 46
3 Douanes 29 28 27 +1 43
4 Majestic 29 26 24 +2 43
5 Salitas 29 26 29 -3 37
6 Vitesse 29 25 25 0 36
7 ASFA-Yennenga 29 24 27 -3 38
8 RCK 29 24 27 -3 35
9 Sporting Cascades 29 23 14 +9 43
10 CFFEB 29 23 24 -1 37
11 ASFB 29 23 28 -5 37
12 SONABEL 29 23 28 -5 33
13 AJEB 29 23 35 -12 23
14 Etoile Filante 29 22 29 -7 32
15 Réal du Faso 29 21 23 -2 36
16 RC Bobo-Dioulasso 29 11 26 -15 27