Statistik / Bola Sepak / Ghana. Ghana Premier League / Karela vs Swedru All Blacks

Karela vs Swedru All Blacks Statistics & Analysis

May 17, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Karela Karela ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 1-0 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 19:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1628301

Closing Odds 2.79
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Karela win · Karela 1–0 Swedru All Blacks
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Karela (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Lebih 2.5 gol kira-kira 14.3 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Karela (1X2) 41.8 31.9 +9.9
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 27.5 -1.9
Swedru All Blacks (1X2) 32.6 40.6 -8.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 36.3 +14.3
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 63.7 -14.3
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 50.6% pada Lebih 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 36.3%. Bezanya — kira-kira 14.3 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Karela (1X2) 2.79 2.79 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.23 3.23 0.0
Swedru All Blacks (1X2) 2.19 2.19 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 2.51 2.51 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.43 1.43 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.95,
        "under_prob": 69.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
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      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/gh.svg",
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      "league_country": "Ghana",
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    },
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "signals": {
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          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
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          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.69,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
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      },
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        "ev": 0.035,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.6227,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.69,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0379,
          "ev": -0.005,
          "implied_prob": 0.3187,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Karela"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0482,
          "ev": 0.0114,
          "implied_prob": 0.5648,
          "model_prob": 0.613,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0673,
          "ev": 0.035,
          "implied_prob": 0.6227,
          "model_prob": 0.69,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1468768,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.035,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Swedru All Blacks",
        "home": "Karela"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
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  "fixture_id": 1468768,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T14:59:56.794463+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Ghana Premier League Ghana Premier League — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 54
4 Dreams 34 15 7 12 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 47
12 Basake Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 45
16 Nations 34 12 8 14 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 13
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Medeama 34 52 28 +24 62
2 Dreams 34 49 32 +17 52
3 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 46 40 +6 60
4 Asante Kotoko 34 41 29 +12 49
5 Vision 34 38 34 +4 47
6 Bechem United 34 38 39 -1 47
7 Young Apostles 34 37 37 0 45
8 Heart of Lions 34 36 33 +3 45
9 Berekum Chelsea 34 35 33 +2 50
10 Swedru All Blacks 34 34 31 +3 45
11 Karela 34 32 33 -1 49
12 Nations 34 30 31 -1 44
13 Basake Holy Stars 34 30 39 -9 46
14 Aduana Stars 34 29 24 +5 50
15 Samartex 34 26 25 +1 50
16 Eleven Wonders 34 26 73 -47 13
17 Hearts of Oak 34 25 15 +10 54
18 Hohoe United 34 22 50 -28 30