Statistik / Bola Sepak / Tanzania. Ligi Kuu Bara / Singida Big Stars vs Coastal Union FC

Singida Big Stars vs Coastal Union FC Statistics & Analysis

May 05, 2026 - 13:15
3 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 53%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 draw Singida Big Stars ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 3-2 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 16:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1476023

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Singida Big Stars win · Singida Big Stars 3–2 Coastal Union FC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Coastal Union FC",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Coastal Union FC"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1266,
        "edge_gap": 0.0,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3234,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 45.0,
          "draw": 45.0,
          "home": 10.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 4,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 20,
        "away_score_rate": 55.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 20,
        "home_score_rate": 50.0,
        "no_prob": 72.5,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 72.5,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 27.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.15,
        "home_expected": 0.9,
        "scores": [
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 14.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
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          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.5
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Singida Big Stars or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Singida Big Stars or Coastal Union FC",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Coastal Union FC",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Coastal Union FC",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.05,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.6,
        "over_prob": 33.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 66.3,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.05,
        "under_prob": 66.3
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 14.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2542,
        "ev_yes": -0.45,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2542,
        "no_prob": 72.5,
        "sort_key": 10378.78,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 27.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1777,
        "ev_under": 0.0939,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0939,
        "over_prob": 33.7,
        "sort_key": 10084.51,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 66.3,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev": 0.0163,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3234,
        "max_ev": 0.0163,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "side_label": "draw",
        "sort_key": 5213.04,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 824.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
        "top_prob": 14.8
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 12189,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12189.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Coastal Union FC",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/tz.svg",
      "country_name": "Tanzania",
      "fixture_id": 1457749,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 19838,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/19838.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Singida Big Stars",
      "league_country": "Tanzania",
      "league_id": 567,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/567.webp",
      "league_name": "Ligi Kuu Bara",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-05 13:15:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3703,
            "best_odd": 2.68,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0437,
            "ev": 0.0066,
            "implied_prob": 0.3319,
            "model_prob": 0.45,
            "p_final": 0.3756
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.3646,
            "best_odd": 2.75,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0461,
            "ev": 0.0163,
            "implied_prob": 0.3234,
            "model_prob": 0.45,
            "p_final": 0.3696
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2848,
            "best_odd": 2.58,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0697,
            "ev": -0.2904,
            "implied_prob": 0.3447,
            "model_prob": 0.1,
            "p_final": 0.275
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.73,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.0,
          "edge_no": 0.1908,
          "edge_yes": -0.1908,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2542,
          "ev_yes": -0.45,
          "implied_no": 0.5342,
          "implied_yes": 0.4658,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.44,
          "best_under_odd": 1.65,
          "edge_over": -0.0523,
          "edge_under": 0.0523,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1777,
          "ev_under": 0.0939,
          "implied_over": 0.3893,
          "implied_under": 0.6107,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2542,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.275,
          "draw_prob": 0.45,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.45,
          "over_prob": 0.337,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.663,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0461,
          "ev": 0.0163,
          "implied_prob": 0.3234,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.45,
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1908,
          "ev": 0.2542,
          "implied_prob": 0.5342,
          "model_prob": 0.725,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0523,
          "ev": 0.0939,
          "implied_prob": 0.6107,
          "model_prob": 0.663,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1457749,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2542,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.45,
        "draw": 0.45,
        "home": 0.1
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Coastal Union FC",
        "home": "Singida Big Stars"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.184295,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2542,
        "implied_prob": 0.5342,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.725,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1457749,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-05T13:14:04.073521+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Ligi Kuu Bara Ligi Kuu Bara — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 75
2 Simba SC 30 22 7 1 73
3 Azam FC 30 18 10 2 64
4 Singida Fountain Gate 30 15 5 10 50
5 Kitayosce 30 11 10 9 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 42
7 Pamba Jiji 30 9 9 12 36
8 Coastal Union FC 30 9 9 12 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 33
12 Singida Big Stars 30 9 6 15 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 27
16 KMC 30 2 3 25 9
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Young Africans 30 71 9 +62 75
2 Simba SC 30 54 11 +43 73
3 Singida Fountain Gate 30 47 35 +12 50
4 Azam FC 30 46 12 +34 64
5 Kitayosce 30 33 28 +5 43
6 Pamba Jiji 30 32 35 -3 36
7 Coastal Union FC 30 31 37 -6 36
8 JKT Tanzania 30 30 33 -3 42
9 Namungo 30 25 32 -7 34
10 Dodoma Jiji 30 25 36 -11 35
11 Singida Big Stars 30 25 44 -19 33
12 Mtibwa Sugar 30 25 48 -23 27
13 Mbeya City 30 24 41 -17 30
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 23 41 -18 32
15 KMC 30 16 53 -37 9
16 Mashujaa 30 15 27 -12 33