Statistik / Bola Sepak / Amerika Syarikat. Liga Super USL / Fort Lauderdale United W vs Carolina Ascent Women

Fort Lauderdale United W vs Carolina Ascent Women Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 23:30
0 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Fort Lauderdale United W Carolina Ascent Women ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-3 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1612395

Closing Odds 1.57
AI Fair Odds 2.39
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Carolina Ascent Women win · Fort Lauderdale United W 0–3 Carolina Ascent Women
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 41.8%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=2)

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Fort Lauderdale United W (1X2) jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Fort Lauderdale United W (1X2) kira-kira 23.8 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Fort Lauderdale United W (1X2) 41.8 18.0 +23.8
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 24.7 +1.0
Carolina Ascent Women (1X2) 32.6 57.3 -24.7
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 50.0 +0.6
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 50.0 -0.6
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 41.8% pada Fort Lauderdale United W (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 18.0%. Bezanya — kira-kira 23.8 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Fort Lauderdale United W (1X2) 5.0 5.0 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.64 3.64 0.0
Carolina Ascent Women (1X2) 1.57 1.57 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.87 1.87 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.87 1.87 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
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    "betting_markets": {
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          {
            "key": "X2",
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        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
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      "match_winner": {
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        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
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        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
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        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 53.1,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 53.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.8,
        "under_prob": 46.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.4
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.1985,
        "ev_yes": 0.0734,
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.4
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    ],
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      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 24658,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/24658.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Carolina Ascent Women",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/us.svg",
      "country_name": "USA",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 24661,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/24661.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Fort Lauderdale United W",
      "league_country": "USA",
      "league_id": 1130,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/1130.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga Super USL",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 23:30:00",
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      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
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      },
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.91,
          "edge_no": -0.0706,
          "edge_yes": 0.0706,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1985,
          "ev_yes": 0.0734,
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          "implied_yes": 0.4914,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
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          "best_under_odd": 1.9,
          "edge_over": 0.0365,
          "edge_under": -0.0365,
          "ev_available": true,
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          "implied_under": 0.5055,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      },
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        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "under_prob": 0.469,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
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          "side_label": "Fort Lauderdale United W"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "implied_prob": 0.4914,
          "model_prob": 0.562,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0365,
          "ev": 0.0301,
          "implied_prob": 0.4945,
          "model_prob": 0.531,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1446232,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0734,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Carolina Ascent Women",
        "home": "Fort Lauderdale United W"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.041251,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0734,
        "implied_prob": 0.4914,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.562,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1446232,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T23:29:04.681048+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Liga Super USL Liga Super USL — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Lexington W 28 14 11 3 53
2 Sporting JAX 28 16 5 7 53
3 Carolina Ascent Women 28 15 6 7 51
4 Dallas Trinity Wanita 28 11 7 10 40
5 Spokane Zephyr W 28 10 9 9 39
6 DC Power W 28 8 9 11 33
7 Brooklyn Women 28 6 8 14 26
8 Tampa Bay Sun W 28 5 9 14 24
9 Fort Lauderdale United W 28 5 8 15 23
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Sporting JAX 28 54 32 +22 53
2 Lexington W 28 50 24 +26 53
3 Carolina Ascent Women 28 39 27 +12 51
4 Dallas Trinity Wanita 28 36 40 -4 40
5 Spokane Zephyr W 28 34 28 +6 39
6 DC Power W 28 34 32 +2 33
7 Brooklyn Women 28 31 44 -13 26
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 28 30 62 -32 23
9 Tampa Bay Sun W 28 27 46 -19 24