Marbella vs Teruel Statistics & Analysis

May 22, 2026 - 16:30
3 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Marbella Marbella ✔ Correct
  • Cerapan skor tepat 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "ff198a1543ccfdc651c8671e0913b01465c47fe93cf34341fd9428de48f97505",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Teruel and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Teruel"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Marbella",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.043,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3747,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 19,
        "away_failed_to_score": 16,
        "away_played": 37,
        "away_score_rate": 56.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 16,
        "home_played": 37,
        "home_score_rate": 56.8,
        "no_prob": 67.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 67.8,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 32.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.1,
        "home_expected": 0.85,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 15.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 14.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 12.1
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Marbella or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Marbella or Teruel",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Teruel",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Teruel",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 1.95,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 31.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 69.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.95,
        "under_prob": 69.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Teruel",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Marbella",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 37.47,
          "gap_pp": 4.3,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 28.31,
          "gap_pp": -2.64,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 34.22,
          "gap_pp": -1.66,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.96,
          "gap_pp": -13.96,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 31.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 55.04,
          "gap_pp": 13.96,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 69.0
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.32,
          "early": 2.32,
          "implied_closing_pct": 37.47,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.47,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.07,
          "early": 3.07,
          "implied_closing_pct": 28.31,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 28.31,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.54,
          "early": 2.54,
          "implied_closing_pct": 34.22,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 34.22,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.02,
          "early": 2.02,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.96,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.96,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.65,
          "early": 1.65,
          "implied_closing_pct": 55.04,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 55.04,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 14.0,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 15.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.3424,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 34.2,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.3818,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -38.2,
          "text": "-38.2%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.3424,
        "no_prob": 67.8,
        "sort_key": 10458.16,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 32.2
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.3025,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -30.2,
          "text": "-30.2%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.1868,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 18.7,
          "text": "+18.7%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1868,
        "over_prob": 31.0,
        "sort_key": 10168.12,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 69.0,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0888,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -8.9,
          "text": "-8.9%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3747,
        "max_ev": -0.0888,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -8.9,
          "text": "-8.9%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Marbella",
        "sort_key": 1777.8,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 827.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
        "top_prob": 15.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 5278,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/5278.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Teruel",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1431504,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 5267,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/5267.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Marbella",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 436,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/436.webp",
      "league_name": "Primera Divisi\u00f3n RFEF - Group 2",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-24 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4388,
            "best_odd": 2.54,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0073,
            "ev": -0.1492,
            "implied_prob": 0.3422,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3349
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2881,
            "best_odd": 3.07,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0076,
            "ev": -0.1542,
            "implied_prob": 0.2831,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2755
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.421,
            "best_odd": 2.32,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0181,
            "ev": -0.0888,
            "implied_prob": 0.3747,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3928
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.98,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.92,
          "edge_no": 0.1795,
          "edge_yes": -0.1795,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.3424,
          "ev_yes": -0.3818,
          "implied_no": 0.4985,
          "implied_yes": 0.5015,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.25,
          "best_under_odd": 1.72,
          "edge_over": -0.1333,
          "edge_under": 0.1333,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3025,
          "ev_under": 0.1868,
          "implied_over": 0.4433,
          "implied_under": 0.5567,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3424,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.322,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.31,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.69,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0181,
          "ev": -0.0888,
          "implied_prob": 0.3747,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Marbella"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1795,
          "ev": 0.3424,
          "implied_prob": 0.4985,
          "model_prob": 0.678,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1333,
          "ev": 0.1868,
          "implied_prob": 0.5567,
          "model_prob": 0.69,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1431504,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3424,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1868,
        "implied_prob": 0.5567,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.69,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1868,
          "implied_prob": 0.5567,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.69,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Teruel",
        "home": "Marbella"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.232147,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3424,
        "implied_prob": 0.4985,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.678,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1431504,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T19:09:25.670732+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Primera División RFEF - Group 2Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 68
3 Atlético Madrid II 38 19 10 9 67
4 Villarreal II 38 16 15 7 63
5 Europa Fc 38 16 12 10 60
6 FC Cartagena 38 15 12 11 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 55
9 Hércules 38 14 12 12 54
10 Real Murcia 38 14 10 14 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 51
12 Ibiza 38 13 11 14 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 49
14 Gimnastic 38 13 8 17 47
15 Juventud Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 46
16 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 45
17 Real Betis II 38 12 9 17 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 34
19 Sanluqueño 38 7 10 21 31
20 Sevilla Atletico 38 5 13 20 28
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Atlético Madrid II 38 64 44 +20 67
2 Eldense 38 57 39 +18 69
3 Europa Fc 38 55 50 +5 60
4 Villarreal II 38 54 32 +22 63
5 Sabadell 38 53 27 +26 68
6 Real Betis II 38 48 59 -11 45
7 Antequera 38 47 44 +3 56
8 Juventud Torremolinos 38 45 51 -6 46
9 Alcorcon 38 44 38 +6 51
10 Ibiza 38 44 38 +6 50
11 Real Murcia 38 43 40 +3 52
12 Hércules 38 43 41 +2 54
13 Algeciras 38 40 41 -1 55
14 Gimnastic 38 40 49 -9 47
15 FC Cartagena 38 37 38 -1 57
16 Marbella 38 36 55 -19 34
17 Tarazona 38 31 40 -9 45
18 Teruel 38 27 33 -6 49
19 Sanluqueño 38 27 53 -26 31
20 Sevilla Atletico 38 21 44 -23 28