Europa FC vs Villarreal II Statistics & Analysis

May 10, 2026 - 14:30
3 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 40%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Europa FC Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 3-3 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 29, 2026 · 08:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2337022

Closing Odds 2.45
AI Fair Odds
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Europa FC 3–3 Villarreal II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Europa FC (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Lebih 2.5 gol kira-kira 5.5 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Europa FC (1X2) 41.8 37.4 +4.3
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 29.6 -3.9
Villarreal II (1X2) 32.6 33.0 -0.4
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 45.1 +5.5
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 54.9 -5.5
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 50.6% pada Lebih 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 45.1%. Bezanya — kira-kira 5.5 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Europa FC (1X2) 2.45 2.45 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.1 3.1 0.0
Villarreal II (1X2) 2.78 2.78 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 2.08 2.08 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.71 1.71 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
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        "under_prob": 57.0
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    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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      "away_team_id": 9595,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/9595.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Villarreal II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
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      "goals_away": null,
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      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 593,
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      "league_id": 436,
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        },
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          "side": "under",
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      },
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      "match_regime": {
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "no_clear_primary": false,
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        "away": 0.3257,
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Villarreal II",
        "home": "Europa FC"
      },
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "implied_prob": 0.5025,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.573,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1431481,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T16:00:08.616655+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Primera División RFEF - Kumpulan 2 Primera División RFEF - Kumpulan 2Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 68
3 Atlético Madrid B 38 19 10 9 67
4 Villarreal II 38 16 15 7 63
5 Europa FC 38 16 12 10 60
6 FC Cartagena 38 15 12 11 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 55
9 Hércules 38 14 12 12 54
10 Real Murcia 38 14 10 14 52
11 Alcorcón 38 12 15 11 51
12 Ibiza 38 13 11 14 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 49
14 Gimnastic 38 13 8 17 47
15 Juventud Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 46
16 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 45
17 Real Betis II 38 12 9 17 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 34
19 Sanluqueño 38 7 10 21 31
20 Sevilla Atlético 38 5 13 20 28
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Atlético Madrid B 38 64 44 +20 67
2 Eldense 38 57 39 +18 69
3 Europa FC 38 55 50 +5 60
4 Villarreal II 38 54 32 +22 63
5 Sabadell 38 53 27 +26 68
6 Real Betis II 38 48 59 -11 45
7 Antequera 38 47 44 +3 56
8 Juventud Torremolinos 38 45 51 -6 46
9 Alcorcón 38 44 38 +6 51
10 Ibiza 38 44 38 +6 50
11 Real Murcia 38 43 40 +3 52
12 Hércules 38 43 41 +2 54
13 Algeciras 38 40 41 -1 55
14 Gimnastic 38 40 49 -9 47
15 FC Cartagena 38 37 38 -1 57
16 Marbella 38 36 55 -19 34
17 Tarazona 38 31 40 -9 45
18 Teruel 38 27 33 -6 49
19 Sanluqueño 38 27 53 -26 31
20 Sevilla Atlético 38 21 44 -23 28