Statistik / Bola Sepak / Perancis. National 1 / Le Puy Foot vs Dijon

Le Puy Foot vs Dijon Statistics & Analysis

May 09, 2026 - 17:30
1 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 72%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 draw Dijon ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 14:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1604587

Closing Odds 3.9
AI Fair Odds 2.39
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Dijon win · Le Puy Foot 1–2 Dijon
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 41.8%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Le Puy Foot (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Le Puy Foot (1X2) kira-kira 17.8 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Le Puy Foot (1X2) 41.8 24.0 +17.8
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 28.1 -2.4
Dijon (1X2) 32.6 48.0 -15.4
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 48.6 +2.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 51.4 -2.0
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 41.8% pada Le Puy Foot (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 24.0%. Bezanya — kira-kira 17.8 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Le Puy Foot (1X2) 3.9 3.9 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.33 3.33 0.0
Dijon (1X2) 1.95 1.95 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.96 1.96 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.85 1.85 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "ev_available": true,
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        "top_label": "1-1",
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      "away_team_id": 89,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/89.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Dijon",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/fr.svg",
      "country_name": "France",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 3069,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3069.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Le Puy Foot",
      "league_country": "France",
      "league_id": 63,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/63.webp",
      "league_name": "National 1",
      "league_season": 2025,
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      "score_fulltime_home": null,
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          "implied_under": 0.5085,
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        "btts": {
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          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
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      "match_regime": {
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        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.083,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.45,
        "draw": 0.45,
        "home": 0.1
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Dijon",
        "home": "Le Puy Foot"
      },
      "top_pick": {
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.083,
        "implied_prob": 0.5085,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.57,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
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    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1423093,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-08T17:29:05.267893+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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National 1 National 1 — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 55
4 Fleury 91 32 15 9 8 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 51
7 Le Puy Foot 32 12 11 9 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 37
11 Aubagne 32 9 10 13 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 33
14 Gobelins 32 7 11 14 32
15 Bourg-en-Bresse 01 32 8 7 17 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 27
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Dijon 32 52 25 +27 65
2 Sochaux 32 51 26 +25 58
3 Fleury 91 32 47 30 +17 54
4 Versailles 32 46 34 +12 53
5 Le Puy Foot 32 45 38 +7 47
6 Rouen 32 43 29 +14 55
7 Orleans 32 42 42 0 51
8 Caen 32 39 34 +5 40
9 Aubagne 32 38 46 -8 37
10 Valenciennes 32 35 44 -9 37
11 Chateauroux 32 35 49 -14 30
12 Stade Briochin 32 35 50 -15 27
13 Villefranche 32 34 45 -11 37
14 Quevilly 32 34 45 -11 33
15 Concarneau 32 32 37 -5 38
16 Gobelins 32 26 41 -15 32
17 Bourg-en-Bresse 01 32 25 44 -19 31