Statistik / Bola Sepak / Poland. III Liga - Kumpulan 4 / Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sokół Kolb.

Świdniczanka Świdnik vs Sokół Kolb. Statistics & Analysis

May 30, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 63%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Świdniczanka Świdnik Sokół Kolb. ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 0-2 0-1 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 06, 2026 · 11:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3115120

Closing Odds 1.58
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Sokół Kolb. win · Świdniczanka Świdnik 0–1 Sokół Kolb.
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Świdniczanka Świdnik (1X2),Lukis (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Świdniczanka Świdnik (1X2) kira-kira 20.7 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Świdniczanka Świdnik (1X2) 41.8 21.1 +20.7
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 22.7 +3.0
Sokół Kolb. (1X2) 32.6 56.2 -23.6
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 62.9 -12.3
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 37.1 +12.3
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 41.8% pada Świdniczanka Świdnik (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 21.1%. Bezanya — kira-kira 20.7 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Świdniczanka Świdnik (1X2) 4.21 4.21 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.91 3.91 0.0
Sokół Kolb. (1X2) 1.58 1.58 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.45 1.45 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.46 2.46 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
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      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
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      "under_25_prob": 0.494
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        "pick_prob": 90.0
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
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      "away_team_id": 26185,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/26185.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Sok\u00f3\u0142 Kolb.",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
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      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/21661.webp",
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      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 783,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/783.webp",
      "league_name": "III Liga - Kumpulan 4",
      "league_season": 2025,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.52,
          "edge_no": 0.146,
          "edge_yes": -0.146,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.284,
          "ev_yes": -0.2932,
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          "implied_yes": 0.611,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
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          "best_under_odd": 2.46,
          "edge_over": -0.0044,
          "edge_under": 0.0044,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0416,
          "ev_under": -0.0135,
          "implied_over": 0.6034,
          "implied_under": 0.3966,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      "algorithm": {
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        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.284,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
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      },
      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.465,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.599,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.401,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
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          "edge": 0.0285,
          "ev": 0.008,
          "implied_prob": 0.2109,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "\u015awidniczanka \u015awidnik"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.146,
          "ev": 0.284,
          "implied_prob": 0.389,
          "model_prob": 0.535,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0044,
          "ev": -0.0135,
          "implied_prob": 0.3966,
          "model_prob": 0.401,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1411363,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.284,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Sok\u00f3\u0142 Kolb.",
        "home": "\u015awidniczanka \u015awidnik"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.15194,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.284,
        "implied_prob": 0.389,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.535,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1411363,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-30T19:07:57.746674+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
III Liga - Kumpulan 4 III Liga - Kumpulan 4 — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Avia Świdnik 34 23 8 3 77
2 KSZO 1929 34 22 8 4 74
3 Chełmianka Chełm 34 21 9 4 72
4 Korona Kielce II 34 18 4 12 58
5 Star Starachowice 34 15 10 9 55
6 Czarni Połaniec 34 16 5 13 53
7 Podlasie Biała Podlaska 34 14 10 10 52
8 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 34 14 9 11 51
9 Wiślanie Jaśkowice 34 15 6 13 51
10 Wisła Kraków II 34 15 4 15 49
11 Wisłoka Dębica 34 12 12 10 48
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 11 10 13 43
13 Naprzód 34 11 6 18 38
14 Sokół Kolb. 34 11 4 19 37
15 Stal Kraśnik 34 9 7 18 34
16 Cracovia Kraków II 34 9 6 19 33
17 Świdniczanka Świdnik 34 5 5 25 20
18 Sparta KW 34 4 1 29 13
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Avia Świdnik 34 84 35 +49 77
2 Wisła Kraków II 34 67 58 +9 49
3 KSZO 1929 34 66 30 +36 74
4 Korona Kielce II 34 66 59 +7 58
5 Chełmianka Chełm 34 65 31 +34 72
6 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 34 61 45 +16 51
7 Podlasie Biała Podlaska 34 60 48 +12 52
8 Czarni Połaniec 34 59 49 +10 53
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 59 52 +7 43
10 Wiślanie Jaśkowice 34 52 51 +1 51
11 Star Starachowice 34 51 43 +8 55
12 Naprzód 34 45 56 -11 38
13 Cracovia Kraków II 34 44 71 -27 33
14 Stal Kraśnik 34 42 52 -10 34
15 Wisłoka Dębica 34 37 35 +2 48
16 Sokół Kolb. 34 36 54 -18 37
17 Świdniczanka Świdnik 34 36 80 -44 20
18 Sparta KW 34 29 110 -81 13