Statistik / Bola Sepak / Poland. III liga – Grupa III / Starowice Dolne vs Carina Gubin

Starowice Dolne vs Carina Gubin Statistics & Analysis

May 23, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Starowice Dolne Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 1-3 0-0 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 15:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1471871

Closing Odds 1.64
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Starowice Dolne 0–0 Carina Gubin
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Starowice Dolne (1X2),Lukis (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Starowice Dolne (1X2) kira-kira 19.6 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Starowice Dolne (1X2) 41.8 22.1 +19.6
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 23.0 +2.7
Carina Gubin (1X2) 32.6 54.8 -22.3
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 62.9 -12.3
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 37.1 +12.3
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 41.8% pada Starowice Dolne (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 22.1%. Bezanya — kira-kira 19.6 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Starowice Dolne (1X2) 4.06 4.06 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.91 3.91 0.0
Carina Gubin (1X2) 1.64 1.64 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.45 1.45 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.46 2.46 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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        "under_prob": 38.0
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    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0704,
      "confidence": 5.0,
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      },
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        "grade": "A",
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      },
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      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
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          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
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        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Starowice Dolne"
        },
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          "edge": 0.0581,
          "ev": 0.0704,
          "implied_prob": 0.3879,
          "model_prob": 0.446,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0091,
          "ev": -0.0514,
          "implied_prob": 0.6109,
          "model_prob": 0.62,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1411056,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0704,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Carina Gubin",
        "home": "Starowice Dolne"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.031398,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0704,
        "implied_prob": 0.3879,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.446,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1411056,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:38:52.788897+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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III liga – Grupa III III liga – Grupa III — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Lechia Zielona Góra 34 21 10 3 73
2 Górnik Polkowice 34 20 7 7 67
3 Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 62
4 SKRA Częstochowa 34 17 8 9 59
5 Zagłębie Lubin II 34 17 6 11 57
6 Goczałkowice Zdrój 34 15 9 10 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 8 12 52
8 Warta Gorzów 34 15 8 12 52
9 Górnik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 51
10 Ślęza Wrocław 34 14 8 13 49
11 Słowianin 34 13 9 12 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 47
13 Miedź Legnica II 34 13 7 14 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 34 12 9 13 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 27
17 Pawłowice Śląskie 34 5 5 25 20
18 Stal Jasień 34 2 1 31 7
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Lechia Zielona Góra 34 77 17 +60 73
2 Zagłębie Lubin II 34 77 61 +16 57
3 Górnik Zabrze II 34 73 44 +29 51
4 SKRA Częstochowa 34 68 56 +12 59
5 Kluczbork 34 67 43 +24 52
6 Górnik Polkowice 34 64 42 +22 67
7 Miedź Legnica II 34 63 58 +5 46
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 34 57 56 +1 45
9 Warta Gorzów 34 54 47 +7 52
10 Sparta Katowice 34 53 34 +19 62
11 Polonia Nysa 34 51 58 -7 37
12 Carina Gubin 34 50 51 -1 47
13 Goczałkowice Zdrój 34 49 46 +3 54
14 Ślęza Wrocław 34 49 57 -8 49
15 Słowianin 34 48 49 -1 48
16 Starowice Dolne 34 33 81 -48 27
17 Pawłowice Śląskie 34 28 77 -49 20
18 Stal Jasień 34 21 105 -84 7