Statistik / Bola Sepak / Poland. III liga – Grupa III / Słowianin vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Słowianin vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Statistics & Analysis

May 13, 2026 - 16:00
2 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 70%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Słowianin Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 2-2 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2821348

Closing Odds 1.83
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Słowianin 2–2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Lukis (1X2),Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 11.8 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Słowianin (1X2) 41.8 48.2 -6.4
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 24.0 +1.7
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1X2) 32.6 27.8 +4.7
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 62.4 -11.8
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 37.6 +11.8
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 37.6%. Bezanya — kira-kira 11.8 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Słowianin (1X2) 1.83 1.83 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.68 3.68 0.0
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1X2) 3.17 3.17 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.46 1.46 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.42 2.42 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 86.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 6,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 79.3,
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      "double_chance": {
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        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Karkonosze Jelenia G\u00f3ra",
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
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      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 3.05,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "over_prob": 58.8,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 58.8,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.05,
        "under_prob": 41.2
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      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
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    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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      "away_team_id": 17402,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/17402.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Karkonosze Jelenia G\u00f3ra",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
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      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 26183,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/26183.webp",
      "home_team_name": "S\u0142owianin",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 782,
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      "league_name": "III liga \u2013 Grupa III",
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.6,
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          "edge_yes": 0.0887,
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          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "S\u0142owianin"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0887,
          "ev": 0.0944,
          "implied_prob": 0.5953,
          "model_prob": 0.684,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
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          "edge": 0.0389,
          "ev": 0.029,
          "implied_prob": 0.5491,
          "model_prob": 0.588,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1411040,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0944,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Karkonosze Jelenia G\u00f3ra",
        "home": "S\u0142owianin"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.06457,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0944,
        "implied_prob": 0.5953,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.684,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1411040,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-13T15:59:52.115009+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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III liga – Grupa III III liga – Grupa III — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Lechia Zielona Góra 34 21 10 3 73
2 Górnik Polkowice 34 20 7 7 67
3 Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 62
4 SKRA Częstochowa 34 17 8 9 59
5 Zagłębie Lubin II 34 17 6 11 57
6 Goczałkowice Zdrój 34 15 9 10 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 8 12 52
8 Warta Gorzów 34 15 8 12 52
9 Górnik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 51
10 Ślęza Wrocław 34 14 8 13 49
11 Słowianin 34 13 9 12 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 47
13 Miedź Legnica II 34 13 7 14 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 34 12 9 13 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 27
17 Pawłowice Śląskie 34 5 5 25 20
18 Stal Jasień 34 2 1 31 7
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Lechia Zielona Góra 34 77 17 +60 73
2 Zagłębie Lubin II 34 77 61 +16 57
3 Górnik Zabrze II 34 73 44 +29 51
4 SKRA Częstochowa 34 68 56 +12 59
5 Kluczbork 34 67 43 +24 52
6 Górnik Polkowice 34 64 42 +22 67
7 Miedź Legnica II 34 63 58 +5 46
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 34 57 56 +1 45
9 Warta Gorzów 34 54 47 +7 52
10 Sparta Katowice 34 53 34 +19 62
11 Polonia Nysa 34 51 58 -7 37
12 Carina Gubin 34 50 51 -1 47
13 Goczałkowice Zdrój 34 49 46 +3 54
14 Ślęza Wrocław 34 49 57 -8 49
15 Słowianin 34 48 49 -1 48
16 Starowice Dolne 34 33 81 -48 27
17 Pawłowice Śląskie 34 28 77 -49 20
18 Stal Jasień 34 21 105 -84 7