Troszyn vs Łomża Statistics & Analysis

May 23, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.45
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Troszyn Łomża ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-2 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2560198

Closing Odds 3.02
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Łomża win · Troszyn 0–2 Łomża
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Troszyn (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Troszyn (1X2) kira-kira 12.3 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Troszyn (1X2) 41.8 29.4 +12.3
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 25.7 -0.0
Łomża (1X2) 32.6 44.9 -12.3
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 59.7 -9.1
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 40.3 +9.1
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 41.8% pada Troszyn (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 29.4%. Bezanya — kira-kira 12.3 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Troszyn (1X2) 3.02 3.02 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.46 3.46 0.0
Łomża (1X2) 1.98 1.98 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.53 1.53 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.27 2.27 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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    "away_xg": 1.25,
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 4,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 87.5,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
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            "away": 2,
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            "prob": 6.9
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 6.0
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        ],
        "source": "avg"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "12",
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      "match_winner": {
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        "draw_pct": 45.0,
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        "lean_label": "Troszyn"
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      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.4,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.3,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.3,
        "over_prob": 66.0,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 66.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.4,
        "under_prob": 34.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "\u0141om\u017ca",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
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      "has_data": true,
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      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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      "movement": [
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.89,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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      "movement_negligible": true,
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      "top_value_gap": {
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
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    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.189,
        "no_prob": 18.0,
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        "sort_key": 1794.95,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
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        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 808.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 21656,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/21656.webp",
      "away_team_name": "\u0141om\u017ca",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 26177,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/26177.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Troszyn",
      "league_country": "Poland",
      "league_id": 780,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/780.webp",
      "league_name": "III liga \u2013 Grupa I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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      "markets": {
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          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4891,
            "best_odd": 1.98,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "draw": {
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            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": -0.0001,
            "ev": -0.1114,
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          "ev_available": true,
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            "best_odd": 3.02,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.45,
          "edge_no": -0.1868,
          "edge_yes": 0.1868,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.541,
          "ev_yes": 0.189,
          "implied_no": 0.3668,
          "implied_yes": 0.6332,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.57,
          "best_under_odd": 2.45,
          "edge_over": 0.0602,
          "edge_under": -0.0602,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.0362,
          "ev_under": -0.167,
          "implied_over": 0.5998,
          "implied_under": 0.4002,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.189,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.82,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.66,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.34,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0302,
          "ev": -0.0202,
          "implied_prob": 0.2943,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Troszyn"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1868,
          "ev": 0.189,
          "implied_prob": 0.6332,
          "model_prob": 0.82,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0602,
          "ev": 0.0362,
          "implied_prob": 0.5998,
          "model_prob": 0.66,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1410453,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.189,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "\u0141om\u017ca",
        "home": "Troszyn"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.15498,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.189,
        "implied_prob": 0.6332,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.82,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1410453,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:33:00.564439+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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III liga – Grupa I III liga – Grupa I — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Legia Warszawa II 34 27 3 4 84
2 Łomża 34 22 5 7 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 71
4 Wigry Suwałki 34 20 5 9 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 57
6 Wisła Płock II 34 16 8 10 56
7 Widzew II 34 17 3 14 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 49
9 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47
10 Ząbkovia Ząbki 34 13 5 16 44
11 Swit 34 12 5 17 41
12 Mławianka Mława 34 11 7 16 40
13 Olimpia Elbląg 34 10 8 16 38
14 Wikielec 34 10 7 17 37
15 Broń Radom 34 9 9 16 36
16 Bełchatów 34 9 7 18 34
17 Wasilków 34 7 4 23 25
18 Znicz Biała Piska 34 4 3 27 15
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Legia Warszawa II 34 82 29 +53 84
2 Łomża 34 77 31 +46 71
3 Troszyn 34 75 47 +28 57
4 Ząbkovia Ząbki 34 72 64 +8 44
5 Widzew II 34 70 64 +6 54
6 Warta Sieradz 34 64 34 +30 71
7 Wigry Suwałki 34 64 43 +21 65
8 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 34 64 55 +9 47
9 Wisła Płock II 34 56 51 +5 56
10 Mławianka Mława 34 55 59 -4 40
11 Swit 34 51 66 -15 41
12 Bełchatów 34 50 76 -26 34
13 Jagiellonia II 34 46 45 +1 49
14 Olimpia Elbląg 34 45 61 -16 38
15 Wikielec 34 40 54 -14 37
16 Broń Radom 34 40 57 -17 36
17 Wasilków 34 40 79 -39 25
18 Znicz Biała Piska 34 27 103 -76 15