Statistik / Bola Sepak / Jerman. Regionalliga Südwest / Eintracht Trier vs Schott Mainz

Eintracht Trier vs Schott Mainz Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 20:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2081789

Closing Odds 1.67
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Eintracht Trier win · Eintracht Trier 2–0 Schott Mainz
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Lukis (1X2),Schott Mainz (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 15.6 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Eintracht Trier (1X2) 41.8 53.1 -11.3
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 22.7 +3.0
Schott Mainz (1X2) 32.6 24.2 +8.3
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 66.2 -15.6
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 33.8 +15.6
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 33.8%. Bezanya — kira-kira 15.6 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Eintracht Trier (1X2) 1.67 1.67 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.91 3.91 0.0
Schott Mainz (1X2) 3.66 3.66 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.38 1.38 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.7 2.7 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "5508d7fc30e87bef81d51e242fbfcdc29c8e9fbe20b315848f0ea3ffe7e3c934",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Eintracht Trier or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Eintracht Trier"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Eintracht Trier",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1133,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.531,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 72.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 72.7,
        "no_prob": 47.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 52.9,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 52.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.4,
        "home_expected": 1.95,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 9.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 6.8
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 6.7
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 6.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Eintracht Trier or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Eintracht Trier or Schott Mainz",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Schott Mainz",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Eintracht Trier or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Eintracht Trier"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.35,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 65.1,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 65.1,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.35,
        "under_prob": 34.9
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Schott Mainz",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Eintracht Trier",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 53.1,
          "gap_pp": -11.33,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 22.68,
          "gap_pp": 2.99,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 24.23,
          "gap_pp": 8.34,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 66.18,
          "gap_pp": -1.08,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 65.1
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 33.82,
          "gap_pp": 1.08,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 34.9
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.67,
          "early": 1.67,
          "implied_closing_pct": 53.1,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 53.1,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.91,
          "early": 3.91,
          "implied_closing_pct": 22.68,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 22.68,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.66,
          "early": 3.66,
          "implied_closing_pct": 24.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 24.23,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.38,
          "early": 1.38,
          "implied_closing_pct": 66.18,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 66.18,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.7,
          "early": 2.7,
          "implied_closing_pct": 33.82,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 33.82,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 8.3,
        "kind": "1x2_a"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 9.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2717,
        "ev_yes": -0.2065,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2717,
        "no_prob": 47.1,
        "sort_key": 10394.53,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 52.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0235,
        "ev_under": -0.0054,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0054,
        "over_prob": 65.1,
        "sort_key": 1798.65,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 34.9,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.2075,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.531,
        "max_ev": -0.0332,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Eintracht Trier",
        "sort_key": 1791.7,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 808.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 14524,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/14524.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Schott Mainz",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1408973,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1627,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1627.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Eintracht Trier",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 86,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/86.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga S\u00fcdwest",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2625,
            "best_odd": 3.66,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0219,
            "ev": -0.0332,
            "implied_prob": 0.2423,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2642
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2865,
            "best_odd": 3.91,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0086,
            "ev": -0.0798,
            "implied_prob": 0.2268,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2353
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.498,
            "best_odd": 1.67,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0564,
            "ev": -0.2075,
            "implied_prob": 0.531,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4745
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.7,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_no": 0.1173,
          "edge_yes": -0.1173,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2717,
          "ev_yes": -0.2065,
          "implied_no": 0.3537,
          "implied_yes": 0.6463,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.5,
          "best_under_odd": 2.85,
          "edge_over": -0.0042,
          "edge_under": 0.0042,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0235,
          "ev_under": -0.0054,
          "implied_over": 0.6552,
          "implied_under": 0.3448,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2717,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.529,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.651,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.349,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0564,
          "ev": -0.2075,
          "implied_prob": 0.531,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Eintracht Trier"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1173,
          "ev": 0.2717,
          "implied_prob": 0.3537,
          "model_prob": 0.471,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0042,
          "ev": -0.0054,
          "implied_prob": 0.3448,
          "model_prob": 0.349,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1408973,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2717,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Schott Mainz",
        "home": "Eintracht Trier"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.127971,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2717,
        "implied_prob": 0.3537,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.471,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1408973,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T12:00:35.237173+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Eintracht Trier & Schott Mainz!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
Regionalliga Südwest Regionalliga Südwest — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 34 20 8 6 68
2 SGV Freiberg 34 18 8 8 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 56
5 TSV Steinbach 34 16 8 10 56
6 Hessen Kassel 34 15 9 10 54
7 Stuttgarter Kickers 34 17 3 14 54
8 SV Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 54
9 FSV Mainz 05 II 34 14 11 9 53
10 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 34 13 10 11 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 48
12 FC Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 43
15 Bayern Alzenau 34 7 6 21 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 25
18 Bahlinger SC 34 4 10 20 22
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 34 86 43 +43 68
2 TSV Steinbach 34 78 58 +20 56
3 Freiburg II 34 74 73 +1 48
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 71 42 +29 56
5 SGV Freiberg 34 68 38 +30 62
6 FSV Frankfurt 34 64 48 +16 57
7 FC Astoria Walldorf 34 64 65 -1 47
8 Hessen Kassel 34 62 51 +11 54
9 Kickers Offenbach 34 57 58 -1 43
10 SV Sandhausen 34 53 56 -3 54
11 FSV Mainz 05 II 34 52 45 +7 53
12 Stuttgarter Kickers 34 51 44 +7 54
13 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 34 51 44 +7 49
14 Eintracht Trier 34 48 52 -4 47
15 Bayern Alzenau 34 45 74 -29 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 40 83 -43 25
17 Balingen 34 38 87 -49 25
18 Bahlinger SC 34 34 75 -41 22