VfB Oldenburg vs Werder Bremen II Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : VfB Oldenburg or draw and +1.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "VfB Oldenburg"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "VfB Oldenburg",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1018,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5194,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 34,
        "away_score_rate": 85.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 93.9,
        "no_prob": 19.9,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 80.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 80.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.5,
        "home_expected": 2.25,
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 7.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 6.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 6.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 6.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "VfB Oldenburg or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "VfB Oldenburg or Werder Bremen II",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Werder Bremen II",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "VfB Oldenburg or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "VfB Oldenburg"
      },
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        "avg_total": 3.75,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 2.5,
        "over_prob": 72.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 72.3,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.75,
        "under_prob": 27.7
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Werder Bremen II",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "VfB Oldenburg",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 51.94,
          "gap_pp": -10.18,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
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          "closing_implied_pct": 21.38,
          "gap_pp": 4.29,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.68,
          "gap_pp": 5.89,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.7,
          "early": 1.7,
          "implied_closing_pct": 51.94,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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          "kind": "1x2_h"
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        {
          "closing": 4.13,
          "early": 4.13,
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          "kind": "1x2_d"
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        {
          "closing": 3.31,
          "early": 3.31,
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          "kind": "1x2_a"
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      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 5.9,
        "kind": "1x2_a"
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "2-1",
        "prob": 8.9
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.3234,
        "ev_yes": 0.0653,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0653,
        "no_prob": 19.9,
        "sort_key": 10208.77,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 80.1
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        "over_prob": 72.3,
        "sort_key": 10062.28,
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        "under_prob": 27.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5194,
        "max_ev": -0.0637,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "VfB Oldenburg",
        "sort_key": 1784.075,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
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      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
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        "top_label": "2-1",
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      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1330,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1330.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Werder Bremen II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1408361,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 9347,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9347.webp",
      "home_team_name": "VfB Oldenburg",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 84,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/84.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga - Nord",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
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            "alpha": 0.2735,
            "best_odd": 3.31,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.33,
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          "edge_yes": 0.0859,
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          "ev_yes": 0.0653,
          "implied_no": 0.2849,
          "implied_yes": 0.7151,
          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
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        "ou25": {
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          "edge_over": -0.0271,
          "edge_under": 0.0271,
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          "implied_under": 0.2499,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0692,
          "implied_prob": 0.2499,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.277,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "longshot"
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      ],
      "markets": {
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          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "VfB Oldenburg"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "model_prob": 0.801,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0271,
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          "implied_prob": 0.2499,
          "model_prob": 0.277,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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      },
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        "actionable": true,
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        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals",
        "longshot_high_variance"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Werder Bremen II",
        "home": "VfB Oldenburg"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.052305,
        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "model_prob": 0.801,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T11:59:34.116926+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}