Statistik / Bola Sepak / Jerman. Regionalliga Nord / Altona 93 vs Kickers Emden

Altona 93 vs Kickers Emden Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 55%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Altona 93 Kickers Emden ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-2, 1-1, 1-3, 2-2, 0-2 1-3 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 17:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1620463

Closing Odds 1.61
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Kickers Emden win · Altona 93 1–3 Kickers Emden
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Altona 93 (1X2),Lukis (1X2) jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Altona 93 (1X2) kira-kira 15.3 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Altona 93 (1X2) 41.8 26.5 +15.3
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 18.4 +7.3
Kickers Emden (1X2) 32.6 55.1 -22.6
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 41.8% pada Altona 93 (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 26.5%. Bezanya — kira-kira 15.3 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Altona 93 (1X2) 3.35 3.35 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 4.83 4.83 0.0
Kickers Emden (1X2) 1.61 1.61 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
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      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
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      "percent_home": "0%",
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            "label": "0-2",
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          }
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      },
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            "prob": 50.0
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            "prob": 50.0
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          {
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        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
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        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
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        "pick_prob": 71.5,
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        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.7,
        "under_prob": 28.5
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Altona 93",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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      "most_likely": {
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    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
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        "ev_yes": -0.1362,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.149,
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      "away_team_id": 12804,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12804.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Kickers Emden",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
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      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 9338,
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      "league_id": 84,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/84.webp",
      "league_name": "Regionalliga Nord",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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            "best_odd": 1.61,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "best_odd": 4.83,
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.4,
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          "edge_yes": -0.0613,
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          "n_bookmakers": 6,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
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          "edge_over": -0.0025,
          "edge_under": 0.0025,
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      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      },
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.149,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
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          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.617,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.715,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.285,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0353,
          "ev": 0.0059,
          "implied_prob": 0.2649,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Altona 93"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0613,
          "ev": 0.149,
          "implied_prob": 0.3217,
          "model_prob": 0.383,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0025,
          "ev": -0.0481,
          "implied_prob": 0.2825,
          "model_prob": 0.285,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1408359,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.149,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Kickers Emden",
        "home": "Altona 93"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.057067,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.149,
        "implied_prob": 0.3217,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.383,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "weak",
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": true
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1408359,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T11:59:41.469071+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Regionalliga Nord Regionalliga Nord — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 SV Meppen 34 26 5 3 83
2 SV Drochtersen/Assel 34 22 4 8 70
3 VfB Oldenburg 34 21 6 7 69
4 SSV Jeddeloh 34 19 7 8 64
5 Phönix Lübeck 34 16 8 10 56
6 Hannover 96 II 34 16 5 13 53
7 Bremer SV 34 14 10 10 52
8 Weiche Flensburg 34 14 7 13 49
9 Kickers Emden 34 14 9 11 51
10 Hamburger SV II 34 13 8 13 47
11 VfB Lübeck 34 12 9 13 45
12 Werder Bremen II 34 10 10 14 40
13 HSC Hannover 34 10 7 17 37
14 Schöningen 34 10 4 20 34
15 Eintracht Norderstedt 34 7 9 18 30
16 St. Pauli II 34 4 13 17 25
17 BW Lohne 34 5 8 21 23
18 Altona 93 34 6 5 23 23
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 SV Meppen 34 103 35 +68 83
2 VfB Oldenburg 34 87 45 +42 69
3 SV Drochtersen/Assel 34 83 48 +35 70
4 SSV Jeddeloh 34 81 50 +31 64
5 Weiche Flensburg 34 69 63 +6 49
6 Kickers Emden 34 64 54 +10 51
7 Hannover 96 II 34 63 49 +14 53
8 Hamburger SV II 34 57 50 +7 47
9 Werder Bremen II 34 57 71 -14 40
10 Schöningen 34 56 84 -28 34
11 VfB Lübeck 34 54 61 -7 45
12 Phönix Lübeck 34 53 43 +10 56
13 Bremer SV 34 52 41 +11 52
14 Eintracht Norderstedt 34 51 79 -28 30
15 HSC Hannover 34 49 84 -35 37
16 Altona 93 34 44 92 -48 23
17 St. Pauli II 34 38 72 -34 25
18 BW Lohne 34 38 78 -40 23