BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC Statistics & Analysis

BFC Dynamo

May 16, 2026 - 12:00

2 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 70%

Chemnitzer FC

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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
1X2 BFC Dynamo Lukis ✖ tak betul
Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 2-2 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1545500

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · BFC Dynamo 2–2 Chemnitzer FC

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Taklimat perlawanan AI

Ringkasan perlawanan AI

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga Nordost
Fixture: BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC
Kickoff: 2026-05-16 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): BFC Dynamo 1.45 — Chemnitzer FC 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +2.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 43.4% · Over 2.5 56.6%); BTTS Yes (Yes 62.0% · No 38.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 62.0% · No 38.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Syor Sejarah

Keputusan Sejarah: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Hasil: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Faktor Risiko Dipertimbangkan Sebelum Sepak Mula

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Terakhir dikemas kini

May 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Regionalliga Nordost — Kedudukan

#	PASUKAN	P	M	S	K	Mata
1	Lokomotive Leipzig	34	23	3	8	72
2	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	34	22	6	6	72
3	FSV Zwickau	34	19	7	8	64
4	Hallescher FC	34	19	6	9	63
5	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	34	17	10	7	61
6	Altglienicke	34	14	11	9	53
7	Chemnitzer FC	34	14	9	11	51
8	BFC Preussen	34	14	8	12	50
9	Magdeburg II	34	15	4	15	49
10	Luckenwalde	34	11	10	13	43
11	SV Babelsberg 03	34	11	8	15	41
12	BFC Dynamo	34	10	10	14	40
13	BSG Chemie Leipzig	34	12	4	18	40
14	Hertha BSC U21	34	11	7	16	40
15	Greifswalder FC	34	9	11	14	38
16	ZFC Meuselwitz	34	8	9	17	33
17	Eilenburg	34	4	11	19	23
18	Hertha Zehlendorf	34	2	8	24	14

#	PASUKAN	P	J	B	+/-	Mata
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	34	68	47	+21	61
2	SV Babelsberg 03	34	67	65	+2	41
3	Lokomotive Leipzig	34	65	30	+35	72
4	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	34	65	35	+30	72
5	Hallescher FC	34	63	36	+27	63
6	Magdeburg II	34	61	55	+6	49
7	Chemnitzer FC	34	56	52	+4	51
8	FSV Zwickau	34	52	44	+8	64
9	Altglienicke	34	50	40	+10	53
10	BFC Preussen	34	50	55	-5	50
11	Hertha BSC U21	34	46	60	-14	40
12	BFC Dynamo	34	45	50	-5	40
13	ZFC Meuselwitz	34	44	61	-17	33
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	34	43	49	-6	40
15	Greifswalder FC	34	40	45	-5	38
16	Luckenwalde	34	36	45	-9	43
17	Eilenburg	34	35	68	-33	23
18	Hertha Zehlendorf	34	30	79	-49	14