Statistik / Bola Sepak / Indonesia. Liga 1 / Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura United

Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura United Statistics & Analysis

May 11, 2026 - 12:00
3 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Bhayangkara FC Bhayangkara FC ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 05:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1553731

Closing Odds 3.06
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Bhayangkara FC win · Bhayangkara FC 3–1 Persepam Madura United
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Persepam Madura United (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 4.1 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Bhayangkara FC (1X2) 41.8 42.1 -0.4
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 26.8 -1.1
Persepam Madura United (1X2) 32.6 31.1 +1.4
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 54.7 -4.1
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 45.3 +4.1
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 45.3%. Bezanya — kira-kira 4.1 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Bhayangkara FC (1X2) 2.26 2.26 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.56 3.56 0.0
Persepam Madura United (1X2) 3.06 3.06 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.75 1.75 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.11 2.11 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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      "fair_odds_away": null,
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      "double_chance": {
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      "match_winner": {
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        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
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        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
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        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 50.6,
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        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.7,
        "under_prob": 49.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.1
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "ev_available": true,
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      "away_team_id": 2444,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2444.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Persepam Madura United",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/id.svg",
      "country_name": "Indonesia",
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      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2443,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2443.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Bhayangkara FC",
      "league_country": "Indonesia",
      "league_id": 274,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/274.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga 1",
      "league_season": 2025,
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.7,
          "edge_no": 0.052,
          "edge_yes": -0.052,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.08,
          "ev_yes": -0.116,
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          "reliability": "medium"
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      "variance_flag": false
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        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
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        "btts": {
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          "ev": 0.08,
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
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          "edge": 0.0238,
          "ev": 0.0275,
          "implied_prob": 0.4702,
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
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      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.08,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Persepam Madura United",
        "home": "Bhayangkara FC"
      },
      "top_pick": {
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.08,
        "implied_prob": 0.428,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.48,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1403849,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-11T11:59:06.541728+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
Liga 1 Liga 1 — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 79
2 Borneo FC 34 25 4 5 79
3 Persija 34 22 5 7 71
4 Persebaya Surabaya 34 16 10 8 58
5 Bhayangkara FC 34 16 5 13 53
6 Malut United 34 15 8 11 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 48
10 Persita Tangerang 34 13 6 15 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 36
14 Persepam Madura United 34 9 8 17 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 18
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Borneo FC 34 74 31 +43 79
2 Malut United 34 68 53 +15 53
3 Persija 34 65 29 +36 71
4 Persebaya Surabaya 34 61 35 +26 58
5 Persib Bandung 34 59 22 +37 79
6 Bali United 34 57 48 +9 51
7 Bhayangkara FC 34 53 45 +8 53
8 Arema FC 34 53 47 +6 48
9 Dewa United 34 44 37 +7 53
10 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 43 44 -1 45
11 Persik Kediri 34 42 61 -19 39
12 PSM Makassar 34 39 49 -10 34
13 Persis Solo 34 39 59 -20 34
14 Persita Tangerang 34 38 37 +1 45
15 Persepam Madura United 34 37 54 -17 35
16 Persijap Jepara 34 31 45 -14 36
17 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 31 95 -64 18
18 Semen Padang 34 22 65 -43 20