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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Union Berlin W 1899 Hoffenheim W ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-2 ✖ tak betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.96
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
1899 Hoffenheim W win · Union Berlin W 0–2 1899 Hoffenheim W
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"content_hash": "05ca3e945ab7c506ef4f2eafa37d2d5761471fd584509a63101b0ba315631b98",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or 1899 Hoffenheim W",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "1899 Hoffenheim W"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Union Berlin W",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1307,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2869,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 24,
"away_score_rate": 75.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
"home_failed_to_score": 4,
"home_played": 24,
"home_score_rate": 83.3,
"no_prob": 37.5,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 62.5,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 62.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.9,
"home_expected": 1.5,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 9.0
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 6.8
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 6.3
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Union Berlin W or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Union Berlin W or 1899 Hoffenheim W",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim W",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or 1899 Hoffenheim W",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.4,
"away_avg_scored": 1.9,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.7,
"over_prob": 66.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 66.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.4,
"under_prob": 34.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 9.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.125,
"ev_yes": -0.125,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.125,
"no_prob": 37.5,
"sort_key": 10262.5,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 62.5
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0159,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2869,
"max_ev": 0.0159,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Union Berlin W",
"sort_key": 5212.72,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.043,
"ev_under": -0.031,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.031,
"over_prob": 66.0,
"sort_key": 1792.25,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 34.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 808.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 9.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1858,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1858.webp",
"away_team_name": "1899 Hoffenheim W",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1401382,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 24133,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/24133.webp",
"home_team_name": "Union Berlin W",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_id": 82,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/82.webp",
"league_name": "Bundesliga Wanita",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-10 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4728,
"best_odd": 1.96,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0668,
"ev": -0.2157,
"implied_prob": 0.467,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4002
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2952,
"best_odd": 3.72,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0031,
"ev": -0.073,
"implied_prob": 0.2461,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2492
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2412,
"best_odd": 3.19,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0315,
"ev": 0.0159,
"implied_prob": 0.2869,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3185
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 3.0,
"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": 0.037,
"edge_yes": -0.037,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.125,
"ev_yes": -0.125,
"implied_no": 0.338,
"implied_yes": 0.662,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.45,
"best_under_odd": 2.85,
"edge_over": 0.0063,
"edge_under": -0.0063,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.043,
"ev_under": -0.031,
"implied_over": 0.6537,
"implied_under": 0.3463,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.125,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.625,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.66,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.34,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0315,
"ev": 0.0159,
"implied_prob": 0.2869,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Union Berlin W"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.037,
"ev": 0.125,
"implied_prob": 0.338,
"model_prob": 0.375,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": -0.0063,
"ev": -0.031,
"implied_prob": 0.3463,
"model_prob": 0.34,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1401382,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.125,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "1899 Hoffenheim W",
"home": "Union Berlin W"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.046875,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.125,
"implied_prob": 0.338,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.375,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1401382,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T11:59:08.854166+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Union Berlin W & 1899 Hoffenheim W!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Bundesliga Wanita — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Koln W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 11 | Nürnberg | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 11 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 90 | 9 | +81 | 74 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 26 | 72 | 38 | +34 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 26 | 65 | 43 | +22 | 51 |
| 4 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 26 | 48 | 30 | +18 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 46 |
| 6 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 26 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 34 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 26 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 43 |
| 8 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 26 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | FC Koln W | 26 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Nürnberg | 26 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 26 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 22 | 63 | -41 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 11 |
