Statistik / Bola Sepak / Jerman. Bundesliga Wanita / Nürnberg vs SGS Essen W

Nürnberg vs SGS Essen W Statistics & Analysis

May 08, 2026 - 16:30
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Nürnberg Nürnberg ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 3-0 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 00:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1520010

Closing Odds 2.17
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Nürnberg win · Nürnberg 3–0 SGS Essen W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 6.7 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Nürnberg (1X2) 41.8 42.8 -1.0
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 25.5 +0.2
SGS Essen W (1X2) 32.6 31.8 +0.8
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 57.3 -6.7
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 42.7 +6.7
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 42.7%. Bezanya — kira-kira 6.7 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Nürnberg (1X2) 2.17 2.17 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.64 3.64 0.0
SGS Essen W (1X2) 2.92 2.92 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.64 1.64 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.2 2.2 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "cd173efb7226ab13ea389228d898d5bae823e7cf0c649e23d1589358dddd3c4e",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or SGS Essen W",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "SGS Essen W"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "N\u00fcrnberg",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0098,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4275,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 24,
        "away_score_rate": 58.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 0,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 24,
        "home_score_rate": 66.7,
        "no_prob": 61.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 61.1,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 38.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.65,
        "home_expected": 1.85,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 9.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 7.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 5.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "N\u00fcrnberg or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "N\u00fcrnberg or SGS Essen W",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or SGS Essen W",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or SGS Essen W",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.5,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 67.9,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 67.9,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.5,
        "under_prob": 32.1
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 9.2
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.387,
        "ev_yes": -0.3737,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.387,
        "no_prob": 61.1,
        "sort_key": 10498.3,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 38.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.1747,
        "ev_under": -0.2938,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1747,
        "over_prob": 67.9,
        "sort_key": 10157.23,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 32.1,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0818,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4275,
        "max_ev": -0.062,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "N\u00fcrnberg",
        "sort_key": 1784.5,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 807.6,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 9.2
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1868,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1868.webp",
      "away_team_name": "SGS Essen W",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1401377,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 20487,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/20487.webp",
      "home_team_name": "N\u00fcrnberg",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 82,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/82.webp",
      "league_name": "Bundesliga Wanita",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 12:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4446,
            "best_odd": 2.92,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0035,
            "ev": -0.062,
            "implied_prob": 0.3177,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3212
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2992,
            "best_odd": 3.64,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0006,
            "ev": -0.0704,
            "implied_prob": 0.2548,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2554
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4434,
            "best_odd": 2.17,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0044,
            "ev": -0.0818,
            "implied_prob": 0.4275,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4231
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.27,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.61,
          "edge_no": 0.2019,
          "edge_yes": -0.2019,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.387,
          "ev_yes": -0.3737,
          "implied_no": 0.4091,
          "implied_yes": 0.5909,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.73,
          "best_under_odd": 2.2,
          "edge_over": 0.1173,
          "edge_under": -0.1173,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.1747,
          "ev_under": -0.2938,
          "implied_over": 0.5617,
          "implied_under": 0.4383,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.387,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.389,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.679,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.321,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0044,
          "ev": -0.0818,
          "implied_prob": 0.4275,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "N\u00fcrnberg"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2019,
          "ev": 0.387,
          "implied_prob": 0.4091,
          "model_prob": 0.611,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1173,
          "ev": 0.1747,
          "implied_prob": 0.5617,
          "model_prob": 0.679,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1401377,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.387,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1747,
        "implied_prob": 0.5617,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.679,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1747,
          "implied_prob": 0.5617,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.679,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "over",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "SGS Essen W",
        "home": "N\u00fcrnberg"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.236457,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.387,
        "implied_prob": 0.4091,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.611,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1401377,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T11:59:14.450393+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Nürnberg & SGS Essen W!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
Bundesliga Wanita Bundesliga Wanita — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 74
2 VfL Wolfsburg Wanita 26 18 4 4 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 26 16 3 7 51
4 1899 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46
6 Werder Bremen Wanita 26 12 7 7 43
7 FC Koln W 26 11 4 11 37
8 SC Freiburg Wanita 26 10 4 12 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 30
10 RB Leipzig Wanita 26 7 7 12 28
11 Nürnberg 26 6 4 16 22
12 Hamburger SV W 26 4 6 16 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 11
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Bayern Munich W 26 90 9 +81 74
2 VfL Wolfsburg Wanita 26 72 38 +34 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 26 65 43 +22 51
4 1899 Hoffenheim W 26 48 30 +18 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 46 36 +10 46
6 SC Freiburg Wanita 26 44 46 -2 34
7 Werder Bremen Wanita 26 42 36 +6 43
8 Union Berlin W 26 42 51 -9 30
9 RB Leipzig Wanita 26 39 48 -9 28
10 FC Koln W 26 36 37 -1 37
11 Nürnberg 26 33 61 -28 22
12 Hamburger SV W 26 26 57 -31 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 22 63 -41 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 22 72 -50 11