Statistik / Bola Sepak / Ukraine. Persha Liga / UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil

UCSA vs Nyva Ternopil Statistics & Analysis

Jun 01, 2026 - 10:00
3 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 UCSA UCSA ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 3-0 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 22:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1653109

Closing Odds 2.86
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result UCSA win · UCSA 3–0 Nyva Ternopil
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai UCSA (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Lebih 2.5 gol kira-kira 11.1 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
UCSA (1X2) 41.8 37.2 +4.5
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 31.1 -5.4
Nyva Ternopil (1X2) 32.6 31.7 +0.9
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 39.5 +11.1
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 60.5 -11.1
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 50.6% pada Lebih 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 39.5%. Bezanya — kira-kira 11.1 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
UCSA (1X2) 2.39 2.39 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 2.86 2.86 0.0
Nyva Ternopil (1X2) 2.81 2.81 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 2.31 2.31 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.51 1.51 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "fed797bb3c4ba71e6fa686b0af82ed2104688eae99635b9a2c082c4e306ecc20",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Nyva Ternopil",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Nyva Ternopil"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "UCSA",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0454,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3723,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 53.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 14,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 51.7,
        "no_prob": 72.3,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 72.3,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 27.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.15,
        "home_expected": 0.95,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 14.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 12.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.1
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "UCSA or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "UCSA or Nyva Ternopil",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Nyva Ternopil",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Nyva Ternopil",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.1,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 35.0,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 65.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.1,
        "under_prob": 65.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Nyva Ternopil",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "UCSA",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 37.23,
          "gap_pp": 4.54,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.11,
          "gap_pp": -5.44,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.66,
          "gap_pp": 0.9,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.53,
          "gap_pp": -4.53,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 35.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 60.47,
          "gap_pp": 4.53,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 65.0
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.39,
          "early": 2.39,
          "implied_closing_pct": 37.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 37.23,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.86,
          "early": 2.86,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.11,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.11,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.81,
          "early": 2.81,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.66,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.66,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.31,
          "early": 2.31,
          "implied_closing_pct": 39.53,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.53,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.51,
          "early": 1.51,
          "implied_closing_pct": 60.47,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 60.47,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 4.5,
        "kind": "1x2_h"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 14.1
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2725,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": true,
          "raw_pct": 27.3,
          "text": "+25%+"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.446,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -44.6,
          "text": "-44.6%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2725,
        "no_prob": 72.3,
        "sort_key": 10395.25,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 27.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.16,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -16.0,
          "text": "-16.0%"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.0055,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -0.5,
          "text": "-0.5%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0055,
        "over_prob": 35.0,
        "sort_key": 1798.625,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 65.0,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0648,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -6.5,
          "text": "-6.5%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3723,
        "max_ev": -0.0648,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -6.5,
          "text": "-6.5%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "UCSA",
        "sort_key": 1783.8,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 822.3,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
        "top_prob": 14.1
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 6493,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6493.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Nyva Ternopil",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ua.svg",
      "country_name": "Ukraine",
      "fixture_id": 1400648,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Ukraine",
      "home_team_id": 21957,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/21957.webp",
      "home_team_name": "UCSA",
      "league_country": "Ukraine",
      "league_id": 334,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/334.webp",
      "league_name": "Persha Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-06-01 10:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Kyiv",
      "venue_name": "Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4439,
            "best_odd": 2.81,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.004,
            "ev": -0.099,
            "implied_prob": 0.3166,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3206
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4133,
            "best_odd": 2.86,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0225,
            "ev": -0.1746,
            "implied_prob": 0.3111,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2886
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4194,
            "best_odd": 2.39,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.019,
            "ev": -0.0648,
            "implied_prob": 0.3723,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.3913
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.76,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.0,
          "edge_no": 0.1932,
          "edge_yes": -0.1932,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2725,
          "ev_yes": -0.446,
          "implied_no": 0.5298,
          "implied_yes": 0.4702,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.4,
          "best_under_odd": 1.53,
          "edge_over": -0.0476,
          "edge_under": 0.0476,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.16,
          "ev_under": -0.0055,
          "implied_over": 0.3976,
          "implied_under": 0.6024,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2725,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.277,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.35,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.65,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.019,
          "ev": -0.0648,
          "implied_prob": 0.3723,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "UCSA"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1932,
          "ev": 0.2725,
          "implied_prob": 0.5298,
          "model_prob": 0.723,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0476,
          "ev": -0.0055,
          "implied_prob": 0.6024,
          "model_prob": 0.65,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1400648,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2725,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Nyva Ternopil",
        "home": "UCSA"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.197018,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2725,
        "implied_prob": 0.5298,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.723,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1400648,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-01T18:10:38.799618+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk UCSA & Nyva Ternopil!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
Persha Liga Persha Liga — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 81
2 Chornomorets 30 19 8 3 65
3 Livyi Bereh 30 19 6 5 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 46
6 Prykarpattia 30 9 10 11 37
7 Metal Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 36
9 Yarud Mariupol' 30 9 9 12 36
10 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 30 10 6 14 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 34
13 Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 30
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 21
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 19
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Bukovyna 30 74 21 +53 81
2 Livyi Bereh 30 50 21 +29 63
3 Chornomorets 30 44 20 +24 65
4 Inhulets 30 41 32 +9 46
5 Viktoriya Mykolaivka 30 37 38 -1 36
6 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 36 28 +8 53
7 Prykarpattia 30 33 33 0 37
8 Yarud Mariupol' 30 31 32 -1 36
9 Metal Kharkiv 30 31 35 -4 37
10 Chernihiv 30 30 36 -6 31
11 UCSA 30 30 40 -10 36
12 Probiy Horodenka 30 29 37 -8 36
13 Nyva Ternopil 30 24 34 -10 34
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 23 36 -13 30
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 20 45 -25 21
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 16 61 -45 19