FC Sochi vs Akhmat Statistics & Analysis

FC Sochi

May 17, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.02

1 1.18

xG Accuracy: 95%

Akhmat

Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Akhmat Lukis ✖ Incorrect
Cerapan skor tepat 1-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON

{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "b53bbb400f1f782365ec15d16dd16f15f979e99fd3a6075d0d1fbbff8518511f",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.18,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3778,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3248,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.65,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.08,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.36,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.02,
      "home_win_prob": 0.2974,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Akhmat",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Akhmat"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.18,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Akhmat",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.046,
        "edge_gap": 0.0527,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4235,
        "model_prob": 0.3775,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 37.7,
          "draw": 32.5,
          "home": 29.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.27
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.27,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Akhmat Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.36,
        "market_odds": 2.27,
        "model_odds": 2.65,
        "overround": 4.0,
        "prob_edge": -6.3,
        "value_pct": -14.3,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 6,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 69.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 4,
        "home_failed_to_score": 11,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 63.9,
        "no_prob": 54.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 54.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 46.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.18,
        "home_expected": 1.02,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 13.1
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 11.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 11.1
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 7.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "FC Sochi or Draw",
            "prob": 62.2
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "FC Sochi or Akhmat",
            "prob": 67.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Akhmat",
            "prob": 70.3
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Akhmat",
        "pick_prob": 70.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 37.8,
        "draw_pct": 32.5,
        "home_pct": 29.7,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Akhmat"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.2,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 37.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 62.3,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.2,
        "under_prob": 62.3
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 21.6,
        "implied_prob": 26.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 32.5,
        "odds": 3.74
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Akhmat",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "FC Sochi",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.94,
          "gap_pp": -2.17,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 29.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 25.71,
          "gap_pp": 6.77,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 32.48
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 42.35,
          "gap_pp": -4.6,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 37.75
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 57.4,
          "gap_pp": -19.7,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 37.7
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 42.6,
          "gap_pp": 19.7,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 62.3
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 3.01,
          "early": 3.01,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.94,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.94,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.74,
          "early": 3.74,
          "implied_closing_pct": 25.71,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 25.71,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.27,
          "early": 2.27,
          "implied_closing_pct": 42.35,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.35,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.67,
          "early": 1.67,
          "implied_closing_pct": 57.4,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 57.4,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.25,
          "early": 2.25,
          "implied_closing_pct": 42.6,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.6,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 19.7,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 13.3
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.02,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.3025,
        "ev_under": 0.3581,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.3581,
        "over_prob": 37.7,
        "sort_key": 10472.29,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 62.3,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2312,
        "ev_yes": -0.2778,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2312,
        "no_prob": 54.0,
        "sort_key": 10208.08,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 46.0
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0824,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4235,
        "max_ev": 0.0297,
        "model_prob": 0.3775,
        "side_label": "Akhmat",
        "sort_key": 5223.76,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 819.9,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 13.3
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 1085,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1085.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Akhmat",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ru.svg",
      "country_name": "Russia",
      "fixture_id": 1400270,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2012,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2012.webp",
      "home_team_name": "FC Sochi",
      "league_country": "Russia",
      "league_id": 235,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/235.webp",
      "league_name": "Premier League",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4189,
            "best_odd": 2.27,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0193,
            "ev": -0.0824,
            "implied_prob": 0.4235,
            "model_prob": 0.3775,
            "p_final": 0.4042
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2695,
            "best_odd": 3.74,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0183,
            "ev": 0.0297,
            "implied_prob": 0.2571,
            "model_prob": 0.3248,
            "p_final": 0.2753
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2902,
            "best_odd": 3.01,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0063,
            "ev": -0.0575,
            "implied_prob": 0.3194,
            "model_prob": 0.2977,
            "p_final": 0.3131
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.28,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": 0.1306,
          "edge_yes": -0.1306,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2312,
          "ev_yes": -0.2778,
          "implied_no": 0.4094,
          "implied_yes": 0.5906,
          "n_bookmakers": 2,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.85,
          "best_under_odd": 2.18,
          "edge_over": -0.1657,
          "edge_under": 0.1657,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3025,
          "ev_under": 0.3581,
          "implied_over": 0.5427,
          "implied_under": 0.4573,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.2,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3581,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.46,
          "draw_prob": 0.3248,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3775,
          "over_prob": 0.377,
          "total_xg": 2.2,
          "under_prob": 0.623,
          "xg_diff": 0.16
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "ev": 0.0297,
          "implied_prob": 0.2571,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.3248,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw",
          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0193,
          "ev": -0.0824,
          "implied_prob": 0.4235,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3775,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Akhmat"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1306,
          "ev": 0.2312,
          "implied_prob": 0.4094,
          "model_prob": 0.54,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1657,
          "ev": 0.3581,
          "implied_prob": 0.4573,
          "model_prob": 0.623,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1400270,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3581,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3775,
        "draw": 0.3248,
        "home": 0.2977
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "longshot_high_variance"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2312,
        "implied_prob": 0.4094,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.54,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2312,
          "implied_prob": 0.4094,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.54,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Akhmat",
        "home": "FC Sochi"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.156167,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3581,
        "implied_prob": 0.4573,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.623,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1400270,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T15:01:44.461108+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini

Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk FC Sochi & Akhmat!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang

Kembali ke Statistik

Premier League — Kedudukan

#	PASUKAN	MP	M	S	K	PTS
1	Zenit	30	20	8	2	68
2	FC Krasnodar	30	20	6	4	66
3	Lokomotiv	30	14	11	5	53
4	Spartak Moscow	30	15	7	8	52
5	CSKA Moscow	30	15	6	9	51
6	Baltika	30	11	13	6	46
7	Dynamo	30	12	9	9	45
8	Rubin	30	11	10	9	43
9	Akhmat	30	9	10	11	37
10	FC Rostov	30	8	9	13	33
11	Krylia Sovetov	30	8	8	14	32
12	FC Orenburg	30	7	8	15	29
13	Akron	30	6	9	15	27
14	Dinamo Makhachkala	30	5	11	14	26
15	Nizhny Novgorod	30	6	5	19	23
16	FC Sochi	30	6	4	20	22

#	PASUKAN	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	FC Krasnodar	30	60	23	+37	66
2	Lokomotiv	30	54	39	+15	53
3	Zenit	30	53	19	+34	68
4	Dynamo	30	51	40	+11	45
5	Spartak Moscow	30	47	39	+8	52
6	CSKA Moscow	30	44	33	+11	51
7	Baltika	30	38	21	+17	46
8	Akhmat	30	35	39	-4	37
9	Krylia Sovetov	30	35	50	-15	32
10	Akron	30	35	53	-18	27
11	Rubin	30	29	30	-1	43
12	FC Orenburg	30	29	44	-15	29
13	FC Sochi	30	29	60	-31	22
14	Nizhny Novgorod	30	26	50	-24	23
15	FC Rostov	30	25	32	-7	33
16	Dinamo Makhachkala	30	19	37	-18	26

#	PASUKAN	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	FC Krasnodar	30	27.6	15.2	+12.4	66
2	Zenit	30	25.0	14.1	+10.9	68
3	Lokomotiv	30	26.7	20.4	+6.3	53
4	Dynamo	30	23.7	18.5	+5.2	45
5	Spartak Moscow	30	22.8	19.0	+3.8	52
6	Baltika	30	22.2	18.6	+3.6	46
7	Rubin	30	19.1	16.8	+2.3	43
8	FC Rostov	30	19.1	17.2	+1.9	33
9	Akhmat	30	20.2	19.3	+0.9	37
10	CSKA Moscow	30	23.4	24.7	-1.3	51
11	Dinamo Makhachkala	30	15.7	17.1	-1.4	26
12	Akron	30	21.8	24.9	-3.1	27
13	FC Orenburg	30	18.4	23.8	-5.4	29
14	Nizhny Novgorod	30	16.7	25.0	-8.3	23
15	Krylia Sovetov	30	12.9	26.0	-13.1	32
16	FC Sochi	30	12.1	27.1	-15.0	22

FC Sochi vs Akhmat Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk FC Sochi & Akhmat!

Premier League — Kedudukan

Liga Popular

Search