Baltika vs Rubin Kazan Statistics & Analysis

Baltika

May 02, 2026 - 13:30

0 1.05

1 0.73

xG Accuracy: 70%

Rubin Kazan

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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
1X2 Baltika Rubin Kazan ✖ tak betul
Cerapan skor tepat 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-1 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 17:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2633575

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Rubin Kazan win · Baltika 0–1 Rubin Kazan

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Taklimat perlawanan AI

Ringkasan perlawanan AI

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga Perdana Rusia
Fixture: Baltika vs Rubin Kazan
Kickoff: 2026-05-02 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.8% · Draw 35.8% · Away 23.4%
xG (showing): Baltika 1.05 — Rubin Kazan 0.73 (total xG ≈ 1.78)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 73.6% · Implied: 62.1% · Probability edge: +11.5 pts · Est. EV: +17.0%
BTTS (model): Yes 35.4% · No 64.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (17.7%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Syor Sejarah

Keputusan Sejarah: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Hasil: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Faktor Risiko Dipertimbangkan Sebelum Sepak Mula

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Terakhir dikemas kini

May 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Perdana Rusia — Kedudukan

#	PASUKAN	P	M	S	K	Mata
1	Zenit Saint Petersburg	30	20	8	2	68
2	FC Krasnodar	30	20	6	4	66
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	30	14	11	5	53
4	Spartak Moscow	30	15	7	8	52
5	CSKA Moscow	30	15	6	9	51
6	Baltika	30	11	13	6	46
7	Dynamo	30	12	9	9	45
8	Rubin Kazan	30	11	10	9	43
9	Akhmat	30	9	10	11	37
10	FC Rostov	30	8	9	13	33
11	Krylia Sovetov	30	8	8	14	32
12	FC Orenburg	30	7	8	15	29
13	Akron	30	6	9	15	27
14	Makhachkala	30	5	11	14	26
15	Nizhny Novgorod	30	6	5	19	23
16	FC Sochi	30	6	4	20	22

#	PASUKAN	P	J	B	+/-	Mata
1	FC Krasnodar	30	60	23	+37	66
2	Lokomotiv Moscow	30	54	39	+15	53
3	Zenit Saint Petersburg	30	53	19	+34	68
4	Dynamo	30	51	40	+11	45
5	Spartak Moscow	30	47	39	+8	52
6	CSKA Moscow	30	44	33	+11	51
7	Baltika	30	38	21	+17	46
8	Akhmat	30	35	39	-4	37
9	Krylia Sovetov	30	35	50	-15	32
10	Akron	30	35	53	-18	27
11	Rubin Kazan	30	29	30	-1	43
12	FC Orenburg	30	29	44	-15	29
13	FC Sochi	30	29	60	-31	22
14	Nizhny Novgorod	30	26	50	-24	23
15	FC Rostov	30	25	32	-7	33
16	Makhachkala	30	19	37	-18	26

#	PASUKAN	P	xG	xGC	+/-	Mata
1	FC Krasnodar	30	27.6	15.2	+12.4	66
2	Zenit Saint Petersburg	30	25.0	14.1	+10.9	68
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	30	26.7	20.4	+6.3	53
4	Dynamo	30	23.7	18.5	+5.2	45
5	Spartak Moscow	30	22.8	19.0	+3.8	52
6	Baltika	30	22.2	18.6	+3.6	46
7	Rubin Kazan	30	19.1	16.8	+2.3	43
8	FC Rostov	30	19.1	17.2	+1.9	33
9	Akhmat	30	20.2	19.3	+0.9	37
10	CSKA Moscow	30	23.4	24.7	-1.3	51
11	Makhachkala	30	15.7	17.1	-1.4	26
12	Akron	30	21.8	24.9	-3.1	27
13	FC Orenburg	30	18.4	23.8	-5.4	29
14	Nizhny Novgorod	30	16.7	25.0	-8.3	23
15	Krylia Sovetov	30	12.9	26.0	-13.1	32
16	FC Sochi	30	12.1	27.1	-15.0	22