Statistik / Bola Sepak / Belanda. Tweede Divisie / Sparta Rotterdam II vs De Treffers

Sparta Rotterdam II vs De Treffers Statistics & Analysis

May 16, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.45
4 1.25
xG Accuracy: 42%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Sparta Rotterdam II De Treffers ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 1-4 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 14, 2026 · 03:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3903281

Closing Odds 1.6
AI Fair Odds 2.39
CLV +0.0%
Final Result De Treffers win · Sparta Rotterdam II 1–4 De Treffers
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 41.8%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Sparta Rotterdam II (1X2),Lukis (1X2) jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Sparta Rotterdam II (1X2) kira-kira 18.2 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Sparta Rotterdam II (1X2) 41.8 23.5 +18.2
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 20.0 +5.6
De Treffers (1X2) 32.6 56.5 -23.9
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 41.8% pada Sparta Rotterdam II (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 23.5%. Bezanya — kira-kira 18.2 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Sparta Rotterdam II (1X2) 3.84 3.84 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 4.51 4.51 0.0
De Treffers (1X2) 1.6 1.6 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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        "home_avg_scored": 2.2,
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        "pick_prob": 68.8,
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        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.55,
        "under_prob": 31.2
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
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      },
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      },
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        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.688,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.312,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "edge": 0.0398,
          "ev": 0.0559,
          "implied_prob": 0.2352,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Sparta Rotterdam II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0852,
          "ev": 0.0418,
          "implied_prob": 0.6808,
          "model_prob": 0.766,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0179,
          "ev": 0.014,
          "implied_prob": 0.2941,
          "model_prob": 0.312,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1399260,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0559,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "De Treffers",
        "home": "Sparta Rotterdam II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.023349,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0559,
        "implied_prob": 0.2352,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Sparta Rotterdam II",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1399260,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T13:29:41.340852+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Tweede Divisie Tweede Divisie — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 63
3 Hoek 34 19 6 9 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 56
5 HHC 34 17 5 12 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 52
8 Almere City II 34 15 5 14 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47
10 Sparta Rotterdam II 34 12 9 13 45
11 AFC Amsterdam 34 12 9 13 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 42
14 GVVV Veenendaal 34 12 6 16 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 39
16 Ijsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 31
18 ACV 34 7 9 18 30
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 76 55 +21 56
2 Spakenburg 34 72 60 +12 56
3 Sparta Rotterdam II 34 71 73 -2 45
4 Almere City II 34 70 62 +8 50
5 Quick Boys 34 69 35 +34 66
6 De Treffers 34 64 37 +27 63
7 Barendrecht 34 62 84 -22 43
8 Hoek 34 60 37 +23 63
9 Katwijk 34 60 55 +5 52
10 HHC 34 58 44 +14 56
11 GVVV Veenendaal 34 52 67 -15 42
12 RKAV Volendam 34 50 62 -12 42
13 ACV 34 48 71 -23 30
14 Kozakken Boys 34 47 55 -8 47
15 AFC Amsterdam 34 46 54 -8 45
16 Ijsselmeervogels 34 46 65 -19 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 39 58 -19 31
18 Koninklijke HFC 34 33 49 -16 39