Statistik / Bola Sepak / Austria. Regionalliga Mitte / Treibach vs Gleisdorf 09

Treibach vs Gleisdorf 09 Statistics & Analysis

May 21, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.45
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 70%
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Treibach Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 1-0 0-0 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 12:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1594770

Closing Odds 2.25
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Treibach 0–0 Gleisdorf 09
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Treibach (1X2),Lukis (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 15.4 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Treibach (1X2) 41.8 38.0 +3.8
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 22.6 +3.1
Gleisdorf 09 (1X2) 32.6 39.5 -6.9
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 66.0 -15.4
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 34.0 +15.4
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 34.0%. Bezanya — kira-kira 15.4 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Treibach (1X2) 2.34 2.34 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.94 3.94 0.0
Gleisdorf 09 (1X2) 2.25 2.25 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.38 1.38 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.68 2.68 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "xg_diff": 0.2
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        "type": "neutral",
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
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          "side": "home",
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          "implied_prob": 0.3509,
          "model_prob": 0.743,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0761,
          "ev": 0.1953,
          "implied_prob": 0.3699,
          "model_prob": 0.446,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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      },
      "match_id": 1397949,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.9764,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1953,
        "implied_prob": 0.3699,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.446,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1953,
          "implied_prob": 0.3699,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.446,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Gleisdorf 09",
        "home": "Treibach"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.725465,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.9764,
        "implied_prob": 0.3509,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.743,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1397949,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:41:35.101972+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Regionalliga Mitte Regionalliga Mitte — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Voitsberg 30 26 2 2 80
2 Gurten 30 20 4 6 64
3 Oedt 30 15 10 5 55
4 LASK Juniors 30 15 6 9 51
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 30 14 9 7 51
6 Kalsdorf 30 15 4 11 49
7 Velden 30 13 7 10 46
8 SV Lafnitz 30 12 6 12 42
9 Wallern / Marienkirchen 30 12 4 14 40
10 Weiz 30 10 9 11 39
11 Wolfsberger AC II 30 9 7 14 34
12 Wohnbau Dietach 30 9 5 16 32
13 Gleisdorf 09 30 7 9 14 30
14 Treibach 30 7 3 20 24
15 Ried II 30 7 4 19 25
16 St. Anna 30 2 5 23 11
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Voitsberg 30 113 21 +92 80
2 LASK Juniors 30 66 44 +22 51
3 Oedt 30 62 32 +30 55
4 Weiz 30 61 66 -5 39
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 30 60 52 +8 51
6 Gurten 30 59 28 +31 64
7 Kalsdorf 30 59 53 +6 49
8 SV Lafnitz 30 55 60 -5 42
9 Velden 30 50 47 +3 46
10 Wolfsberger AC II 30 45 46 -1 34
11 Wallern / Marienkirchen 30 44 51 -7 40
12 Gleisdorf 09 30 43 72 -29 30
13 Ried II 30 41 72 -31 25
14 Treibach 30 35 71 -36 24
15 Wohnbau Dietach 30 33 57 -24 32
16 St. Anna 30 22 76 -54 11