Statistik / Bola Sepak / Turkey. Süper Lig / Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği

Trabzonspor vs Gençlerbirliği Statistics & Analysis

Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
May 17, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.88
3 0.80
xG Accuracy: 33%
Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Trabzonspor Gençlerbirliği ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-0, 2-0, 1-1, 2-1, 3-0 0-3 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 13:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3051316

Closing Odds 3.03
AI Fair Odds 1.62
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Gençlerbirliği win · Trabzonspor 0–3 Gençlerbirliği
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 61.6%
  • Historical Bucket: 60–65% — Building sample

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Trabzonspor (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Trabzonspor (1X2) kira-kira 29.9 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Trabzonspor (1X2) 61.6 31.8 +29.9
Lukis (1X2) 24.4 27.6 -3.2
Gençlerbirliği (1X2) 14.0 40.6 -26.7
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.1 56.4 -6.3
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.9 43.6 +6.3
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 61.6% pada Trabzonspor (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 31.8%. Bezanya — kira-kira 29.9 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Trabzonspor (1X2) 3.03 3.03 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.49 3.49 0.0
Gençlerbirliği (1X2) 2.37 2.37 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.71 1.71 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.21 2.21 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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      "over_under": {
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      "league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
      "league_season": 2025,
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      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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        },
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          "edge_yes": -0.1202,
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          "ev_yes": -0.208,
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          "implied_yes": 0.6002,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
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          "best_under_odd": 2.21,
          "edge_over": -0.0614,
          "edge_under": 0.0614,
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          "ev_over": -0.1333,
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          "implied_over": 0.5624,
          "implied_under": 0.4376,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.68,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
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      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.274,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
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          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
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      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
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        "gap": null,
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      },
      "game_type": {
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        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
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          "draw_prob": 0.2441,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.6163,
          "over_prob": 0.501,
          "total_xg": 2.68,
          "under_prob": 0.499,
          "xg_diff": 1.08
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
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          "edge": 0.0495,
          "ev": 0.1128,
          "implied_prob": 0.3178,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.6163,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Trabzonspor"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "edge": 0.1202,
          "ev": 0.274,
          "implied_prob": 0.3998,
          "model_prob": 0.52,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0614,
          "ev": 0.1028,
          "implied_prob": 0.4376,
          "model_prob": 0.499,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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      },
      "match_id": 1394738,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.274,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1396,
        "draw": 0.2441,
        "home": 0.6163
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1128,
        "implied_prob": 0.3178,
        "market": "1x2",
        "model_prob": 0.6163,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "home",
        "side_label": "Trabzonspor",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1128,
          "implied_prob": 0.3178,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.6163,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Trabzonspor",
          "slot": "secondary"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1028,
          "implied_prob": 0.4376,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.499,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Gen\u00e7lerbirli\u011fi",
        "home": "Trabzonspor"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.14248,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.274,
        "implied_prob": 0.3998,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.52,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1394738,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T16:59:15.594313+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Süper Lig Süper Lig — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Galatasaray 34 24 5 5 77
2 Fenerbahçe 34 21 11 2 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 20 9 5 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 17 9 8 60
5 Istanbul Basaksehir 34 16 9 9 57
6 Göztepe 34 14 13 7 55
7 Samsunspor 34 13 12 9 51
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 41
9 Konyaspor 34 10 10 14 40
10 Kocaelispor 34 9 10 15 37
11 Alanyaspor 34 7 16 11 37
12 Gazişehir Gaziantep 34 9 10 15 37
13 Kasimpasa 34 8 11 15 35
14 Gençlerbirliği 34 9 7 18 34
15 Eyüpspor 34 8 9 17 33
16 Antalyaspor 34 8 8 18 32
17 Kayserispor 34 6 12 16 30
18 Fatih Karagümrük 34 8 6 20 30
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Galatasaray 34 77 30 +47 77
2 Fenerbahçe 34 77 37 +40 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 61 39 +22 69
4 Beşiktaş 34 59 40 +19 60
5 Istanbul Basaksehir 34 58 35 +23 57
6 Samsunspor 34 46 45 +1 51
7 Rizespor 34 46 52 -6 41
8 Konyaspor 34 43 50 -7 40
9 Gazişehir Gaziantep 34 43 58 -15 37
10 Göztepe 34 42 32 +10 55
11 Alanyaspor 34 41 41 0 37
12 Gençlerbirliği 34 36 47 -11 34
13 Eyüpspor 34 33 48 -15 33
14 Kasimpasa 34 33 49 -16 35
15 Antalyaspor 34 33 55 -22 32
16 Fatih Karagümrük 34 31 54 -23 30
17 Kayserispor 34 27 62 -35 30
18 Kocaelispor 34 26 38 -12 37
# PASUKAN P xG xGC +/- Mata
1 Galatasaray 34 68.5 32.7 +35.8 77
2 Fenerbahçe 34 65.0 30.1 +34.9 74
3 Beşiktaş 34 62.6 36.8 +25.8 60
4 Istanbul Basaksehir 34 53.5 42.7 +10.8 57
5 Göztepe 34 46.6 35.8 +10.8 55
6 Trabzonspor 34 50.4 43.9 +6.5 69
7 Samsunspor 34 43.8 40.1 +3.7 51
8 Rizespor 34 45.3 45.5 -0.2 41
9 Kocaelispor 34 30.1 33.2 -3.1 37
10 Konyaspor 34 44.0 47.4 -3.4 40
11 Gazişehir Gaziantep 34 44.4 50.8 -6.4 37
12 Alanyaspor 34 34.6 44.1 -9.5 37
13 Kayserispor 34 37.9 51.7 -13.8 30
14 Kasimpasa 34 30.3 44.5 -14.2 35
15 Fatih Karagümrük 34 33.2 48.0 -14.8 30
16 Gençlerbirliği 34 34.9 51.4 -16.5 34
17 Eyüpspor 34 34.4 53.3 -18.9 33
18 Antalyaspor 34 27.8 55.2 -27.4 32