Kayserispor vs Konyaspor Statistics & Analysis

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
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      "away_predicted_xg": 1.33,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3517,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2919,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.84,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.43,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.81,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.34,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3563,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Konyaspor",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Konyaspor"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.33,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Kayserispor",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.1384,
        "edge_gap": 0.0038,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4944,
        "model_prob": 0.356,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 35.2,
          "draw": 29.2,
          "home": 35.6
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.94
        }
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.94,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Kayserispor Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.02,
        "market_odds": 1.94,
        "model_odds": 2.81,
        "overround": 4.3,
        "prob_edge": -16.0,
        "value_pct": -31.0,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 73.6,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 13,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 73.8,
        "no_prob": 44.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 55.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.33,
        "home_expected": 1.34,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.3
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 9.2
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          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.3
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.2
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Kayserispor or Draw",
            "prob": 64.8
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Kayserispor or Konyaspor",
            "prob": 70.8
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          {
            "key": "X2",
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            "prob": 64.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Kayserispor or Konyaspor",
        "pick_prob": 70.8
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 35.2,
        "draw_pct": 29.2,
        "home_pct": 35.6,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Kayserispor"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.67,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "over_prob": 49.9,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 50.1,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.67,
        "under_prob": 50.1
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
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        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 32.4,
        "implied_prob": 26.6,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Konyaspor Win",
        "model_prob": 35.2,
        "odds": 3.76
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Konyaspor",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Kayserispor",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
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          "closing_implied_pct": 49.44,
          "gap_pp": -13.84,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 35.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 25.04,
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          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 29.17
        },
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          "closing_implied_pct": 25.51,
          "gap_pp": 9.72,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 35.23
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 59.4,
          "gap_pp": -9.5,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 49.9
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 40.6,
          "gap_pp": 9.5,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 50.1
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      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.94,
          "early": 1.94,
          "implied_closing_pct": 49.44,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 49.44,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
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        {
          "closing": 3.83,
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          "implied_closing_pct": 25.04,
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          "kind": "1x2_d"
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        {
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          "implied_closing_pct": 25.51,
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          "implied_early_pct": 25.51,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
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        {
          "closing": 1.62,
          "early": 1.62,
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 59.4,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.37,
          "early": 2.37,
          "implied_closing_pct": 40.6,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 40.6,
          "kind": "ou_u"
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      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 9.7,
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.34,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1667,
        "ev_under": 0.1874,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
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        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 50.1,
        "value_side": "under"
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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        "ev_yes": -0.1224,
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      },
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        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4944,
        "max_ev": 0.0528,
        "model_prob": 0.356,
        "side_label": "Kayserispor",
        "sort_key": 5242.24,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
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        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 816.9,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
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      }
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    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 607,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/607.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Konyaspor",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/tr.svg",
      "country_name": "Turkey",
      "fixture_id": 1394735,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1001,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1001.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Kayserispor",
      "league_country": "Turkey",
      "league_id": 203,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/203.webp",
      "league_name": "S\u00fcper Lig",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 17:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2563,
            "best_odd": 3.76,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "implied_prob": 0.2551,
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            "best_odd": 3.83,
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": 0.0116,
            "ev": 0.0037,
            "implied_prob": 0.2504,
            "model_prob": 0.2917,
            "p_final": 0.2621
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          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4754,
            "best_odd": 1.94,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0658,
            "ev": -0.1684,
            "implied_prob": 0.4944,
            "model_prob": 0.356,
            "p_final": 0.4286
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        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": 0.0438,
          "edge_yes": -0.0438,
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          "ev_no": 0.0584,
          "ev_yes": -0.1224,
          "implied_no": 0.3972,
          "implied_yes": 0.6028,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
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          "best_under_odd": 2.37,
          "edge_over": -0.0835,
          "edge_under": 0.0835,
          "ev_available": true,
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          "ev_under": 0.1874,
          "implied_over": 0.5825,
          "implied_under": 0.4175,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.67,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      "algorithm": {
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1874,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
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        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "total_xg": 2.67,
          "under_prob": 0.501,
          "xg_diff": 0.01
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        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
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          "model_prob": 0.356,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Kayserispor"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "implied_prob": 0.4175,
          "model_prob": 0.501,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "max_valid_ev": 0.1874,
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3523,
        "draw": 0.2917,
        "home": 0.356
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      "reason_codes": [
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Konyaspor",
        "home": "Kayserispor"
      },
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        "model_prob": 0.501,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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      "valid_markets_count": 3
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  "fixture_id": 1394735,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T16:59:07.386441+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}