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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Szeged 2011 Csakvar ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
3.24
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Csakvar win · Szeged 2011 0–1 Csakvar
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"content_hash": "d3b4b3efd69e3688b2dc96a527311ef61569d7d1b8948bc1ea20e49239a8577c",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "No predictions available",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "33%",
"percent_draw": "33%",
"percent_home": "33%",
"winner_name": null
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Szeged 2011",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0366,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4543,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 7,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 29,
"away_score_rate": 75.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 10,
"home_failed_to_score": 12,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 58.6,
"no_prob": 55.5,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 55.5,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 44.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.25,
"home_expected": 1.15,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Szeged 2011 or Draw",
"prob": 66.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Szeged 2011 or Csakvar",
"prob": 66.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Csakvar",
"prob": 66.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Szeged 2011 or Draw",
"pick_prob": 66.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 33.0,
"draw_pct": 33.0,
"home_pct": 33.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Szeged 2011"
},
"over_under": {
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"avg_total": 2.4,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.0,
"over_prob": 43.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 57.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.4,
"under_prob": 57.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Csakvar",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Szeged 2011",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 45.43,
"gap_pp": -3.66,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.67,
"gap_pp": -1.0,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.9,
"gap_pp": 4.66,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.67,
"gap_pp": -5.67,
"kind": "ou_o",
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{
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"gap_pp": 5.67,
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"movement": [
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"closing": 1.99,
"early": 1.99,
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 45.43,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.39,
"early": 3.39,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.67,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.67,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.24,
"early": 3.24,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.9,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 27.9,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.93,
"early": 1.93,
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 48.67,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.83,
"early": 1.83,
"implied_closing_pct": 51.33,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 51.33,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 5.7,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.0
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0601,
"ev_yes": -0.2123,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0601,
"no_prob": 55.5,
"sort_key": 10204.09,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 44.5
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
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"ev_over": -0.097,
"ev_under": 0.0146,
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"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0146,
"over_prob": 43.0,
"sort_key": 5211.68,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 57.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1373,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"max_ev": -0.0538,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Szeged 2011",
"sort_key": 1786.55,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 819.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.0
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 2409,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2409.webp",
"away_team_name": "Csakvar",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/hu.svg",
"country_name": "Hungary",
"fixture_id": 1394050,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 2418,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2418.webp",
"home_team_name": "Szeged 2011",
"league_country": "Hungary",
"league_id": 272,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/272.webp",
"league_name": "NB II",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.279,
"best_odd": 3.24,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.013,
"ev": -0.0538,
"implied_prob": 0.279,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.292
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2955,
"best_odd": 3.39,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.003,
"ev": -0.106,
"implied_prob": 0.2667,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2637
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.567,
"best_odd": 1.99,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0208,
"ev": -0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4335
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.91,
"best_yes_odd": 1.77,
"edge_no": 0.0729,
"edge_yes": -0.0729,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0601,
"ev_yes": -0.2123,
"implied_no": 0.4821,
"implied_yes": 0.5179,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.1,
"best_under_odd": 1.78,
"edge_over": -0.0366,
"edge_under": 0.0366,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.097,
"ev_under": 0.0146,
"implied_over": 0.4666,
"implied_under": 0.5334,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0601,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.445,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.43,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.57,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0208,
"ev": -0.1373,
"implied_prob": 0.4543,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Szeged 2011"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0729,
"ev": 0.0601,
"implied_prob": 0.4821,
"model_prob": 0.555,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0366,
"ev": 0.0146,
"implied_prob": 0.5334,
"model_prob": 0.57,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1394050,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0601,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Csakvar",
"home": "Szeged 2011"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.033356,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0601,
"implied_prob": 0.4821,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.555,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1394050,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T15:00:21.340491+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
NB II — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasas | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 64 |
| 2 | Budapest Honvéd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59 |
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Kozármisleny FC | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Mezőkövesd-Zsóry | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Csakvar | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 46 |
| 7 | BVSC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 41 |
| 8 | Fehérvár FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
| 9 | Tiszakecske FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 |
| 10 | Szeged 2011 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 11 | Karcag SE | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 |
| 12 | Ajka | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33 |
| 13 | Soroksár | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 14 | Szentlőrinc SE | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 33 |
| 15 | Budafoki LC | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29 |
| 16 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasas | 30 | 59 | 26 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Budapest Honvéd | 30 | 49 | 26 | +23 | 59 |
| 3 | Kecskeméti TE | 30 | 49 | 39 | +10 | 51 |
| 4 | Csakvar | 30 | 43 | 37 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 | Soroksár | 30 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 33 |
| 6 | Kozármisleny FC | 30 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 48 |
| 7 | Fehérvár FC | 30 | 37 | 33 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 | Mezőkövesd-Zsóry | 30 | 37 | 34 | +3 | 46 |
| 9 | Tiszakecske FC | 30 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 39 |
| 10 | BVSC | 30 | 36 | 30 | +6 | 41 |
| 11 | Szentlőrinc SE | 30 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Budafoki LC | 30 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 29 |
| 13 | Szeged 2011 | 30 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Karcag SE | 30 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 30 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 28 |
| 16 | Ajka | 30 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 33 |
