Statistik / Bola Sepak / Austria. 2. Liga Austria / Rapid Wien II vs First Vienna

Rapid Wien II vs First Vienna Statistics & Analysis

May 08, 2026 - 16:00
1 0.63
0 1.41
xG Accuracy: 61%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 draw Rapid Wien II ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 22:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1650451

Closing Odds 3.41
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Rapid Wien II win · Rapid Wien II 1–0 First Vienna
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Lukis (1X2),First Vienna (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 24.0 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Rapid Wien II (1X2) 16.6 27.9 -11.3
Lukis (1X2) 27.4 24.3 +3.1
First Vienna (1X2) 56.0 47.8 +8.2
Lebih 2.5 gol 33.4 57.4 -24.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 66.6 42.6 +24.0
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 66.6% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 42.6%. Bezanya — kira-kira 24.0 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Rapid Wien II (1X2) 3.41 3.41 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.92 3.92 0.0
First Vienna (1X2) 1.99 1.99 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.66 1.66 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.24 2.24 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "a54895e2c108e3bb54b45bb7a95e1dd702204ef4e1089c51db7fb5adf2f76407",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.41,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.63,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or First Vienna and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "First Vienna"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.41,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.2072,
        "edge_gap": 0.0,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.2428,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 45.0,
          "draw": 45.0,
          "home": 10.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 14,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 27,
        "away_score_rate": 63.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 8,
        "home_played": 27,
        "home_score_rate": 70.4,
        "no_prob": 55.7,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 55.7,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 44.3
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.35,
        "home_expected": 1.1,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 8.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Rapid Wien II or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Rapid Wien II or First Vienna",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or First Vienna",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or First Vienna",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 2.45,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "over_prob": 44.3,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 55.7,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.45,
        "under_prob": 55.7
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 0.63,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.2811,
        "ev_yes": -0.2823,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.2811,
        "no_prob": 55.7,
        "sort_key": 10402.99,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 44.3
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.2248,
        "ev_under": 0.2421,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.2421,
        "over_prob": 44.3,
        "sort_key": 10217.89,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 55.7,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1195,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.2428,
        "max_ev": 0.1195,
        "model_prob": 0.45,
        "side_label": "draw",
        "sort_key": 10107.55,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 818.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.8
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 4990,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4990.webp",
      "away_team_name": "First Vienna",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/at.svg",
      "country_name": "Austria",
      "fixture_id": 1391853,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 8247,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8247.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Rapid Wien II",
      "league_country": "Austria",
      "league_id": 219,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/219.webp",
      "league_name": "2. Liga Austria",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-08 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.5746,
            "best_odd": 1.99,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0162,
            "ev": -0.0806,
            "implied_prob": 0.4782,
            "model_prob": 0.45,
            "p_final": 0.462
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2067,
            "best_odd": 3.92,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0428,
            "ev": 0.1195,
            "implied_prob": 0.2428,
            "model_prob": 0.45,
            "p_final": 0.2856
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2194,
            "best_odd": 3.41,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0393,
            "ev": -0.1824,
            "implied_prob": 0.2791,
            "model_prob": 0.1,
            "p_final": 0.2398
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.3,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_no": 0.1375,
          "edge_yes": -0.1375,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.2811,
          "ev_yes": -0.2823,
          "implied_no": 0.4195,
          "implied_yes": 0.5805,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.75,
          "best_under_odd": 2.23,
          "edge_over": -0.1186,
          "edge_under": 0.1186,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.2248,
          "ev_under": 0.2421,
          "implied_over": 0.5616,
          "implied_under": 0.4384,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.04,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.2811,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.443,
          "draw_prob": 0.45,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.45,
          "over_prob": 0.443,
          "total_xg": 2.04,
          "under_prob": 0.557,
          "xg_diff": 0.78
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0428,
          "ev": 0.1195,
          "implied_prob": 0.2428,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.45,
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1375,
          "ev": 0.2811,
          "implied_prob": 0.4195,
          "model_prob": 0.557,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1186,
          "ev": 0.2421,
          "implied_prob": 0.4384,
          "model_prob": 0.557,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1391853,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.2811,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.45,
        "draw": 0.45,
        "home": 0.1
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2421,
        "implied_prob": 0.4384,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.557,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.2421,
          "implied_prob": 0.4384,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.557,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1195,
          "implied_prob": 0.2428,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.45,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "draw",
          "side_label": "draw",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "First Vienna",
        "home": "Rapid Wien II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.156573,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.2811,
        "implied_prob": 0.4195,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.557,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1391853,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-08T15:59:11.923690+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Rapid Wien II & First Vienna!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Statistik
2. Liga Austria 2. Liga Austria — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Austria Lustenau 28 16 6 6 54
2 SKN St. Pölten 28 16 5 7 53
3 Admira Wacker 28 12 12 4 48
4 Floridsdorfer AC 28 14 6 8 48
5 FC Liefering 28 13 8 7 47
6 SKU Amstetten 28 11 11 6 44
7 First Vienna 28 11 7 10 40
8 Austria Vienna (Am) 28 11 6 11 39
9 Austria Salzburg 28 9 10 9 37
10 WSPG Wels 28 9 6 13 33
11 Rapid Wien II 28 9 5 14 32
12 Austria Klagenfurt 28 9 6 13 30
13 SV Kapfenberg 28 8 4 16 28
14 Sturm Graz II 28 5 6 17 21
15 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 28 3 10 15 16
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Admira Wacker 28 50 29 +21 48
2 FC Liefering 28 47 41 +6 47
3 SKN St. Pölten 28 44 26 +18 53
4 Floridsdorfer AC 28 42 18 +24 48
5 SKU Amstetten 28 41 34 +7 44
6 Austria Lustenau 28 40 26 +14 54
7 Austria Salzburg 28 36 37 -1 37
8 WSPG Wels 28 36 37 -1 33
9 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 28 36 57 -21 16
10 Austria Vienna (Am) 28 33 40 -7 39
11 Austria Klagenfurt 28 33 44 -11 30
12 Rapid Wien II 28 33 45 -12 32
13 SV Kapfenberg 28 31 53 -22 28
14 First Vienna 28 30 25 +5 40
15 Sturm Graz II 28 25 45 -20 21
# PASUKAN P xG xGC +/- Mata
1 Austria Lustenau 28 1.4 0.6 +0.8 54
2 FC Liefering 28 0.6 1.4 -0.8 47
3 SKN St. Pölten 28 — — — 53
4 Admira Wacker 28 — — — 48
5 Floridsdorfer AC 28 — — — 48
6 SKU Amstetten 28 — — — 44
7 First Vienna 28 — — — 40
8 Austria Vienna (Am) 28 — — — 39
9 Austria Salzburg 28 — — — 37
10 WSPG Wels 28 — — — 33
11 Rapid Wien II 28 — — — 32
12 Austria Klagenfurt 28 — — — 30
13 SV Kapfenberg 28 — — — 28
14 Sturm Graz II 28 — — — 21
15 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 28 — — — 16