Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.2053,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2846,
      "fair_odds_away": 4.87,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.51,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.96,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.57,
      "home_win_prob": 0.51,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or Holstein Kiel",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Holstein Kiel"
    },
    "away_xg": 0.92,
    "betting_insight": {
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        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
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          "draw": 28.5,
          "home": 51.0
        },
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        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.72
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      "value_bet": {
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        "display_market": "Dynamo Dresden Win",
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        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.8,
        "market_odds": 1.72,
        "model_odds": 1.96,
        "overround": 4.7,
        "prob_edge": -7.1,
        "value_pct": -12.2,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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        "away_failed_to_score": 5,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 60.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 79.2,
        "no_prob": 50.8,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 50.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
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      },
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        "home_expected": 1.57,
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            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 13.0
          },
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
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            "label": "2-0",
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        "draw_pct": 28.5,
        "home_pct": 51.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Dynamo Dresden"
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        "away_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "over_prob": 45.4,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "total_expected": 2.49,
        "under_prob": 54.6
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        "edge": 12.9,
        "implied_prob": 25.3,
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        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
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        "odds": 3.96
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    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
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      "early_capture": "PRE30",
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          "gap_pp": -15.55,
          "kind": "ou_o",
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          "closing_implied_pct": 39.05,
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          "kind": "ou_u",
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      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.72,
          "early": 1.72,
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          "kind": "ou_o"
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        {
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          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.05,
          "kind": "ou_u"
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    "homepage_pick": null,
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        "implied_prob": 0.5552,
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        "tier": "lean"
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        "tier": "risk",
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    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 191,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/191.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Holstein Kiel",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
      "country_name": "Germany",
      "fixture_id": 1388919,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 183,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/183.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Dynamo Dresden",
      "league_country": "Germany",
      "league_id": 79,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/79.webp",
      "league_name": "2. Bundesliga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 13:30:00",
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      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
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          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
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            "best_odd": 4.69,
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "n_bookmakers": 10,
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          "implied_under": 0.3892,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
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      "variance_flag": true
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
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      "game_type": {
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        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "side_label": "Dynamo Dresden"
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        "btts": {
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        "code": "clear_edge",
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
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        "away": 0.2052,
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        "decision": "value_bet",
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      ],
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        "away": "Holstein Kiel",
        "home": "Dynamo Dresden"
      },
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        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:29:15.749674+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}