Statistik / Bola Sepak / England. Kejuaraan EFL / Wrexham vs Middlesbrough

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Statistics & Analysis

Wrexham Wrexham
May 02, 2026 - 11:30
2 0.98
2 1.90
xG Accuracy: 74%
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Middlesbrough Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3 2-2 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 02:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2561770

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds 1.74
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 57.5%
  • Historical Bucket: 55–60% — Building sample

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Taklimat perlawanan AI

Ringkasan perlawanan AI

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Kejuaraan EFL
  • Fixture: Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
  • Kickoff: 2026-05-02 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 17.7% · Draw 24.8% · Away 57.5%
  • xG (showing): Wrexham 0.98 — Middlesbrough 1.9 (total xG ≈ 2.88)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Middlesbrough
  • Model: 57.5% · Implied: 38.2% · Probability edge: +19.3 pts · Est. EV: +8.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (10.7%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Syor Sejarah

Keputusan Sejarah: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Hasil: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Faktor Risiko Dipertimbangkan Sebelum Sepak Mula

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Terakhir dikemas kini

May 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Kejuaraan EFL Kejuaraan EFL — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 71
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 53
20 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 52
21 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 51
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 0
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Coventry City 46 97 45 +52 95
2 Southampton 46 82 56 +26 80
3 Ipswich 46 80 47 +33 84
4 Middlesbrough 46 72 47 +25 80
5 Hull City 46 70 66 +4 73
6 Wrexham 46 69 65 +4 71
7 Derby County 46 67 59 +8 69
8 Sheffield United 46 66 66 0 60
9 Millwall 46 64 49 +15 83
10 Norwich 46 63 56 +7 65
11 QPR 46 61 73 -12 58
12 Bristol City 46 59 59 0 62
13 Leicester 46 58 68 -10 46
14 Birmingham 46 57 56 +1 64
15 Swansea 46 57 59 -2 64
16 Preston 46 55 62 -7 60
17 Watford 46 53 65 -12 57
18 Stoke City 46 51 56 -5 55
19 Portsmouth 46 49 64 -15 55
20 West Bromwich Albion 46 48 58 -10 51
21 Oxford United 46 45 59 -14 47
22 Charlton 46 44 58 -14 53
23 Blackburn Rovers 46 42 56 -14 52
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 29 89 -60 0
# PASUKAN P xG xGC +/- Mata
1 Coventry City 46 84.9 49.6 +35.3 95
2 Ipswich 46 75.5 44.3 +31.2 84
3 Middlesbrough 46 69.5 41.4 +28.1 80
4 Southampton 46 76.3 57.0 +19.3 80
5 Sheffield United 46 70.5 56.8 +13.7 60
6 Birmingham 46 61.5 48.2 +13.3 64
7 West Bromwich Albion 46 57.0 46.3 +10.7 51
8 Millwall 46 62.2 57.2 +5.0 83
9 Watford 46 55.1 53.3 +1.8 57
10 Derby County 46 56.0 54.6 +1.4 69
11 Blackburn Rovers 46 53.4 54.5 -1.1 52
12 QPR 46 54.3 55.6 -1.3 58
13 Norwich 46 60.7 63.9 -3.2 65
14 Swansea 46 51.1 56.0 -4.9 64
15 Portsmouth 46 46.9 52.7 -5.8 55
16 Wrexham 46 55.8 62.5 -6.7 71
17 Oxford United 46 51.6 58.3 -6.7 47
18 Bristol City 46 55.1 62.7 -7.6 62
19 Leicester 46 54.2 64.8 -10.6 46
20 Stoke City 46 50.2 63.2 -13.0 55
21 Charlton 46 46.2 60.7 -14.5 53
22 Preston 46 52.8 68.0 -15.2 60
23 Hull City 46 58.8 78.3 -19.5 73
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 39.7 89.4 -49.7 0