Statistik / Bola Sepak / Poland. I liga / Tychy 71 vs Stal Rzeszów

Tychy 71 vs Stal Rzeszów Statistics & Analysis

May 24, 2026 - 14:30
3 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 40%
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Tychy 71 Lukis ✖ tak betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 2-1, 0-2 3-3 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 20:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3073173

Closing Odds 1.87
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Tychy 71 3–3 Stal Rzeszów
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE5 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Lukis (1X2),Stal Rzeszów (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 14.4 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Tychy 71 (1X2) 41.8 49.8 -8.0
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 22.1 +3.5
Stal Rzeszów (1X2) 32.6 28.1 +4.5
Lebih 2.5 gol 50.6 65.0 -14.4
Bawah 2.5 gol 49.4 35.0 +14.4
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 35.0%. Bezanya — kira-kira 14.4 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE5 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE5) Δ tersirat (pp)
Tychy 71 (1X2) 1.87 1.87 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 4.2 4.2 0.0
Stal Rzeszów (1X2) 3.31 3.31 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.43 1.43 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.66 2.66 0.0

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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        "pick_prob": 62.0,
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        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 3.2,
        "under_prob": 38.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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      "away_team_id": 6957,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6957.webp",
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      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
      "country_name": "Poland",
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        },
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          "implied_under": 0.3486,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
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      "algorithm": {
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        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0944,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
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          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
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          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
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      },
      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.612,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.62,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.38,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0422,
          "ev": -0.1486,
          "implied_prob": 0.4975,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Tychy 71"
        },
        "btts": {
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          "edge": 0.0442,
          "ev": 0.067,
          "implied_prob": 0.3438,
          "model_prob": 0.388,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0314,
          "ev": 0.0944,
          "implied_prob": 0.3486,
          "model_prob": 0.38,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1381822,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0944,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Stal Rzesz\u00f3w",
        "home": "Tychy 71"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.035872,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0944,
        "implied_prob": 0.3486,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.38,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "weak",
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": true
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1381822,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T19:30:02.965637+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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I liga I liga — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Wisła Kraków 34 20 11 3 71
2 Śląsk Wrocław 34 17 11 6 62
3 Wieczysta Kraków 34 16 9 9 57
4 Chrobry Głogów 34 16 7 11 55
5 ŁKS Łódź 34 15 9 10 54
6 Polonia Warszawa 34 15 8 11 53
7 Ruch Chorzów 34 14 11 9 53
8 Miedz Legnica 34 15 7 12 52
9 Puszcza Niepołomice 34 12 13 9 49
10 Polonia Bytom 34 13 8 13 47
11 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 11 12 11 45
12 Odra Opole 34 11 11 12 44
13 Stal Rzeszów 34 12 7 15 43
14 Stal Mielec 34 10 6 18 36
15 Pogoń Siedlce 34 9 9 16 36
16 Znicz Pruszków 34 7 7 20 28
17 Górnik Łęczna 34 5 12 17 27
18 Tychy 71 34 5 8 21 23
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Wisła Kraków 34 72 32 +40 71
2 Wieczysta Kraków 34 70 47 +23 57
3 Śląsk Wrocław 34 69 47 +22 62
4 ŁKS Łódź 34 56 48 +8 54
5 Polonia Bytom 34 56 50 +6 47
6 Ruch Chorzów 34 54 46 +8 53
7 Polonia Warszawa 34 52 49 +3 53
8 Miedz Legnica 34 52 53 -1 52
9 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 51 54 -3 45
10 Stal Mielec 34 51 62 -11 36
11 Stal Rzeszów 34 49 60 -11 43
12 Chrobry Głogów 34 48 36 +12 55
13 Puszcza Niepołomice 34 45 40 +5 49
14 Znicz Pruszków 34 40 68 -28 28
15 Tychy 71 34 40 74 -34 23
16 Górnik Łęczna 34 39 62 -23 27
17 Odra Opole 34 34 40 -6 44
18 Pogoń Siedlce 34 33 43 -10 36