Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen ✔ Correct
- Cerapan skor tepat 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "6884f5c4615518ef70bfd2403d627137b3011f0e93fbe69747df9be165ada98f",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.14,
"away_win_prob": 0.1706,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2167,
"fair_odds_away": 5.86,
"fair_odds_draw": 4.61,
"fair_odds_home": 1.63,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.25,
"home_win_prob": 0.6127,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or GO Ahead Eagles",
"main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "GO Ahead Eagles"
},
"away_xg": 1.14,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "NEC Nijmegen",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
"edge": -0.0895,
"edge_gap": 0.3962,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.7023,
"model_prob": 0.6128,
"pick_type": "no_value",
"probabilities": {
"away": 17.0,
"draw": 21.7,
"home": 61.3
},
"reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.36
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.36,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "NEC Nijmegen Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.42,
"market_odds": 1.36,
"model_odds": 1.63,
"overround": 4.7,
"prob_edge": -12.2,
"value_pct": -16.6,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 9,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 33,
"away_score_rate": 68.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 1,
"home_played": 33,
"home_score_rate": 89.5,
"no_prob": 38.0,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 62.0,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 62.0
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.14,
"home_expected": 2.25,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 7.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 3,
"label": "3-1",
"prob": 7.3
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "NEC Nijmegen or Draw",
"prob": 83.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "NEC Nijmegen or GO Ahead Eagles",
"prob": 78.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or GO Ahead Eagles",
"prob": 38.8
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "NEC Nijmegen or Draw",
"pick_prob": 83.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 17.1,
"draw_pct": 21.7,
"home_pct": 61.3,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "NEC Nijmegen"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.39,
"away_avg_scored": 1.6,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 2.3,
"over_prob": 65.8,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 65.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.39,
"under_prob": 34.2
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 24.7,
"implied_prob": 13.7,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "GO Ahead Eagles Win",
"model_prob": 17.1,
"odds": 7.29
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "GO Ahead Eagles",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "NEC Nijmegen",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 70.23,
"gap_pp": -8.95,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 61.28
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 16.67,
"gap_pp": 5.0,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 21.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 13.1,
"gap_pp": 3.94,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 17.05
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 73.05,
"gap_pp": -7.25,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 65.8
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.95,
"gap_pp": 7.25,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 34.2
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.36,
"early": 1.36,
"implied_closing_pct": 70.23,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 70.23,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 5.73,
"early": 5.73,
"implied_closing_pct": 16.67,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 16.67,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 7.29,
"early": 7.29,
"implied_closing_pct": 13.1,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 13.1,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.31,
"early": 1.31,
"implied_closing_pct": 73.05,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 73.05,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 3.55,
"early": 3.55,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.95,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.95,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 7.2,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.7
}
},
"home_xg": 2.25,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1249,
"ev_under": 0.2141,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2141,
"over_prob": 65.8,
"sort_key": 10192.69,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 34.2,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1081,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.7023,
"max_ev": 0.0092,
"model_prob": 0.6128,
"side_label": "NEC Nijmegen",
"sort_key": 5207.36,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0006,
"ev_yes": -0.0576,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0006,
"no_prob": 38.0,
"sort_key": 4049.916,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 62.0
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 809.1,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-1",
"top_prob": 9.7
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 410,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/410.webp",
"away_team_name": "GO Ahead Eagles",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/nl.svg",
"country_name": "Netherlands",
"fixture_id": 1381168,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 413,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/413.webp",
"home_team_name": "NEC Nijmegen",
"league_country": "Netherlands",
"league_id": 88,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/88.webp",
"league_name": "Eredivisie",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 12:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1882,
"best_odd": 7.29,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0074,
"ev": 0.0092,
"implied_prob": 0.131,
"model_prob": 0.1705,
"p_final": 0.1384
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.185,
"best_odd": 5.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0093,
"ev": 0.0081,
"implied_prob": 0.1667,
"model_prob": 0.2167,
"p_final": 0.1759
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5195,
"best_odd": 1.36,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0465,
"ev": -0.1081,
"implied_prob": 0.7023,
"model_prob": 0.6128,
"p_final": 0.6558
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.63,
"best_yes_odd": 1.52,
"edge_no": 0.0135,
"edge_yes": -0.0135,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0006,
"ev_yes": -0.0576,
"implied_no": 0.3665,
"implied_yes": 0.6335,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.33,
"best_under_odd": 3.55,
"edge_over": -0.0611,
"edge_under": 0.0611,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1249,
"ev_under": 0.2141,
"implied_over": 0.7191,
"implied_under": 0.2809,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.39,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2141,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [],
"breakdown_resolved": [],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.62,
"draw_prob": 0.2167,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6128,
"over_prob": 0.658,
"total_xg": 3.39,
"under_prob": 0.342,
"xg_diff": 1.11
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2141,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.2809,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.342,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "under",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2141,
"implied_prob": 0.2809,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.342,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "under",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0465,
"ev": -0.1081,
"implied_prob": 0.7023,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.6128,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "NEC Nijmegen"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": -0.0006,
"implied_prob": 0.3665,
"model_prob": 0.38,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0611,
"ev": 0.2141,
"implied_prob": 0.2809,
"model_prob": 0.342,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1381168,
"match_regime": {
"action": "high_risk",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "longshot",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_longshot_only",
"max_valid_ev": 0.2141,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.1,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1705,
"draw": 0.2167,
"home": 0.6128
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "GO Ahead Eagles",
"home": "NEC Nijmegen"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1381168,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T12:29:16.668956+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk NEC Nijmegen & GO Ahead Eagles!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Eredivisie — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | MP | M | S | K | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 65 |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 39 |
| 12 | GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 19 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 101 | 45 | +56 | 84 |
| 2 | NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 77 | 53 | +24 | 59 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 70 | 44 | +26 | 65 |
| 4 | Ajax | 34 | 62 | 41 | +21 | 56 |
| 5 | Twente | 34 | 59 | 40 | +19 | 58 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 52 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 34 | 57 | 53 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 34 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 53 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 34 | 49 | 45 | +4 | 48 |
| 11 | Telstar | 34 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 34 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 69.7 | 37.3 | +32.4 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 67.1 | 37.3 | +29.8 | 65 |
| 3 | Twente | 34 | 60.3 | 36.3 | +24.0 | 58 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 61.9 | 42.5 | +19.4 | 52 |
| 5 | NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 61.6 | 45.9 | +15.7 | 59 |
| 6 | Groningen | 34 | 58.0 | 46.2 | +11.8 | 48 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 34 | 58.3 | 49.4 | +8.9 | 51 |
| 8 | Ajax | 34 | 53.4 | 45.6 | +7.8 | 56 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 34 | 50.0 | 44.4 | +5.6 | 53 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 41.8 | 48.0 | -6.2 | 43 |
| 11 | NAC Breda | 34 | 39.4 | 50.3 | -10.9 | 29 |
| 12 | Telstar | 34 | 47.3 | 58.3 | -11.0 | 37 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 44.1 | 58.3 | -14.2 | 38 |
| 14 | Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 39.9 | 58.5 | -18.6 | 39 |
| 15 | GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 41.7 | 62.4 | -20.7 | 38 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 36.2 | 58.6 | -22.4 | 37 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 34 | 34.5 | 59.3 | -24.8 | 32 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 39.1 | 65.7 | -26.6 | 19 |