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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Leeds United Lukis ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Betul
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.35
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Draw · Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Leeds United
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 42.5%
- Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=2)
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "a30ec7aa6ce400274c5e0937f0510e8590c3027754df9609df8443bab43a4adb",
"decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.43,
"away_win_prob": 0.4251,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"fair_odds_away": 2.35,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
"fair_odds_home": 3.58,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.12,
"home_win_prob": 0.2793,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Leeds United",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Leeds United"
},
"away_xg": 1.43,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Leeds United",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1758,
"edge_gap": 0.1296,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2495,
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 42.5,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 27.9
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.87
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 3.87,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Leeds United Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 4.01,
"market_odds": 3.87,
"model_odds": 2.35,
"overround": 3.6,
"prob_edge": 16.7,
"value_pct": 64.7,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 7,
"away_failed_to_score": 11,
"away_played": 35,
"away_score_rate": 76.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 8,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 35,
"home_score_rate": 67.4,
"no_prob": 47.1,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 52.9,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 52.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.43,
"home_expected": 1.12,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Tottenham Hotspur or Draw",
"prob": 57.5
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Tottenham Hotspur or Leeds United",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Leeds United",
"prob": 72.1
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Leeds United",
"pick_prob": 72.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 42.5,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 27.9,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Leeds United"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.55,
"away_avg_scored": 1.3,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 53.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.55,
"under_prob": 53.1
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 64.7,
"implied_prob": 25.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Leeds United Win",
"model_prob": 42.6,
"odds": 3.87
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": {
"best_bookmaker": "Bet365",
"best_odds": 15.0,
"edge": 4.5,
"ev": 67.5,
"label": "0-1",
"probability": 11.2
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.12,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1157,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"max_ev": 0.1157,
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"side_label": "Leeds United",
"sort_key": 10254.13,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1511,
"ev_under": 0.147,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.147,
"over_prob": 46.9,
"sort_key": 10132.3,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 53.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0503,
"ev_yes": -0.1166,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0503,
"no_prob": 47.1,
"sort_key": 10045.27,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 52.9
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 63,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/63.webp",
"away_team_name": "Leeds United",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
"country_name": "England",
"fixture_id": 1379327,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 47,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/47.webp",
"home_team_name": "Tottenham Hotspur",
"league_country": "England",
"league_id": 39,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/39.webp",
"league_name": "Liga Perdana Inggeris",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-09 14:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_xg_borderline"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2209,
"best_odd": 3.87,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0388,
"ev": 0.1157,
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"p_final": 0.2883
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2772,
"best_odd": 3.94,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.014,
"ev": 0.0207,
"implied_prob": 0.245,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.2591
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3963,
"best_odd": 1.91,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0897,
"ev": -0.2059,
"implied_prob": 0.5055,
"model_prob": 0.2791,
"p_final": 0.4158
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.23,
"best_yes_odd": 1.67,
"edge_no": 0.0384,
"edge_yes": -0.0384,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0503,
"ev_yes": -0.1166,
"implied_no": 0.4326,
"implied_yes": 0.5674,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.81,
"best_under_odd": 2.16,
"edge_over": -0.0775,
"edge_under": 0.0775,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1511,
"ev_under": 0.147,
"implied_over": 0.5465,
"implied_under": 0.4535,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.55,
"variance_flag": true
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.0.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.147,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.529,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4252,
"over_prob": 0.469,
"total_xg": 2.55,
"under_prob": 0.531,
"xg_diff": 0.31
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0207,
"implied_prob": 0.245,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "longshot",
"side": "draw",
"side_label": "draw",
"slot": "longshot"
}
],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0388,
"ev": 0.1157,
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Leeds United"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0384,
"ev": 0.0503,
"implied_prob": 0.4326,
"model_prob": 0.471,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0775,
"ev": 0.147,
"implied_prob": 0.4535,
"model_prob": 0.531,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1379327,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.147,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4252,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.2791
},
"reason_codes": [
"variance_medium",
"longshot_high_variance"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.147,
"implied_prob": 0.4535,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.147,
"implied_prob": 0.4535,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.531,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0503,
"implied_prob": 0.4326,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.471,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Leeds United",
"home": "Tottenham Hotspur"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.054115,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1157,
"implied_prob": 0.2495,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4252,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Leeds United",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 4
}
},
"fixture_id": 1379327,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T13:59:18.966913+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
Liga Perdana Inggeris — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 77 | 35 | +42 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 71 | 27 | +44 | 85 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 69 | 50 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 65 |
| 8 | Brentford | 38 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 53 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | Everton | 38 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 |
| 15 | Fulham | 38 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
| 16 | West Ham United | 38 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 38 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | xG | xGC | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 64.5 | 28.8 | +35.7 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 68.8 | 42.6 | +26.2 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 64.7 | 48.5 | +16.2 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 60.1 | 46.9 | +13.2 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 63.5 | 51.9 | +11.6 | 52 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 57.4 | 49.9 | +7.5 | 53 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 57.6 | 50.2 | +7.4 | 45 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 38 | 62.5 | 56.8 | +5.7 | 57 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 57.2 | 51.5 | +5.7 | 49 |
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 59.3 | 54.3 | +5.0 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 54.4 | 55.1 | -0.7 | 47 |
| 12 | Fulham | 38 | 47.9 | 52.2 | -4.3 | 52 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 38 | 47.6 | 54.3 | -6.7 | 65 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 46.3 | 56.3 | -10.0 | 44 |
| 15 | Everton | 38 | 45.9 | 55.9 | -10.0 | 49 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 40.8 | 52.2 | -11.4 | 41 |
| 17 | West Ham United | 38 | 45.1 | 56.8 | -11.7 | 39 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 38 | 39.1 | 53.4 | -14.3 | 54 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 35.5 | 58.1 | -22.6 | 20 |
| 20 | Burnley | 38 | 32.3 | 74.9 | -42.6 | 22 |
