AI correctly predicted the Korea Selatan Bawah 23 win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
F
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Korea Selatan Bawah 23 Korea Selatan Bawah 23 ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Korea Selatan Bawah 23 win 1–0).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Oct 03, 2026 · 10:29 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Korea Selatan Bawah 23 1.35 — Jepun Bawah 23 1.25
-
Oct 03, 2026 · 10:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Korea Selatan Bawah 23 win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Korea Selatan Bawah 23 win · Korea Selatan Bawah 23 1–0 Jepun Bawah 23
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "64e0160829e52e743f627dcd5c639792f906ef6e390fd4578242cf06d8d476ed",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": 0.3285,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2961,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 3.04,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.66,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.35,
"home_win_prob": 0.3754,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Korea Selatan Bawah 23 or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0154,
"edge_gap": 0.047,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3911,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.9,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 37.6
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.4
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.4,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23 Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.56,
"market_odds": 2.4,
"model_odds": 2.66,
"overround": 6.5,
"prob_edge": -4.1,
"value_pct": -9.8,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 4,
"away_failed_to_score": 0,
"away_played": 5,
"away_score_rate": 71.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 0,
"home_played": 4,
"home_score_rate": 74.1,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.25,
"home_expected": 1.35,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23 or Draw",
"prob": 67.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23 or Jepun Bawah 23",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Jepun Bawah 23",
"prob": 62.5
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23 or Jepun Bawah 23",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 32.9,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 37.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 2.8,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 3.0,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": -9.8,
"implied_prob": 41.7,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23 Win",
"model_prob": 37.6,
"odds": 2.4
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Jepun Bawah 23",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 31.92,
"draw": 28.97,
"home": 39.11
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-10-03 10:29:20",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-10-03 10:01:17",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.11,
"gap_pp": -1.54,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 37.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.97,
"gap_pp": 0.6,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.56
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.92,
"gap_pp": 0.95,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.87
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 41.37,
"gap_pp": 6.83,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 58.63,
"gap_pp": -6.83,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.4,
"early": 2.4,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.11,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.11,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.24,
"early": 3.24,
"implied_closing_pct": 28.97,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 28.97,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.94,
"early": 2.94,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.92,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.92,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.31,
"early": 2.31,
"implied_closing_pct": 41.37,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 41.37,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.63,
"early": 1.63,
"implied_closing_pct": 58.63,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 58.63,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 6.8,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": -1.4,
"ev": -0.1,
"has_edge": false,
"label": "1-1",
"market_odds": 7.2,
"market_prob": 0.1389,
"market_prob_pct": 13.9,
"model_prob": 0.125,
"model_prob_pct": 12.5,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"status_key": "no_value"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.0
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.3
},
{
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.8
}
]
},
"home_xg": 1.35,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1632,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.225,
"edge": 0.0101,
"edge_pp": 1.0,
"market_prob": 0.4198,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1632,
"best_odd": 2.225,
"edge": 0.0101,
"ev": -0.0433,
"implied_prob": 0.4198,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.43
},
"p_final": 0.43,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 6.2,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0724,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0433,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2244,
"best_odd": 1.61,
"edge": -0.014,
"ev": -0.0884,
"implied_prob": 0.5802,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.5662
},
"value_side": "over"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1134,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 11.3,
"text": "+11.3%"
},
"ev_under": -0.1401,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -14.0,
"text": "-14.0%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1134,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10252.06,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.89,
"edge": 0.0118,
"edge_pp": 1.2,
"market_prob": 0.4878,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"best_odd": 1.8,
"edge": -0.0118,
"ev": -0.0992,
"implied_prob": 0.5122,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"p_final": 0.5004
},
"p_final": 0.4996,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 5.7,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0301,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0558,
"value_side": "yes",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"best_odd": 1.89,
"edge": 0.0118,
"ev": -0.0558,
"implied_prob": 0.4878,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"p_final": 0.4996
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1582,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -15.8,
"text": "-15.8%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.041,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 4.1,
"text": "+4.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.041,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10036.9,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"authority_action": "no_bet",
"authority_note": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"consensus_odds": 2.4,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"ev": -0.0777,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -7.8,
"text": "-7.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3911,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": -0.0491,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -4.9,
"text": "-4.9%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"raw_edge_display": "-1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -1.5,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0983,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-9.8%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"sort_key": 1787.725,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "7/8",
"alert_breadth_note": "7/8 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +6.5%",
"alert_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 1.6,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -1.57,
"hero_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"market_prob_pct": 39.1,
"market_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"model_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Direction aligned; check pricing gap separately",
"steam_score": 52,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1134,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1134,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.7,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.7,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Korea Selatan Bawah 23 at 37.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Korea Selatan Bawah 23 as the value side (37.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +11.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +11.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.7/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +11.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.7/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+11.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"Decision strength: 3.7/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 80,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0777,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.4,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3911,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"raw_edge_display": "-1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4166666666666667,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0983,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-9.8%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 0.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.1"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.1
}
}
},
"bet_status": "no_bet",
"books_breadth_display": "7/8",
"breadth_ratio": 0.875,
"evidence": {
"score": 68,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 24.2,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 8.8,
"steam_coherence": 0.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 80,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 1.57,
"market_agreement": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 1.57,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.25,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 0.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.35,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.35,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.35 \u00b7 Away xG 1.25 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +0%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": true,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 6.5,
"steam_conflicts": true,
"steam_move_display": "\u2191 +6.5%",
"steam_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 36,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 37,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1134,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1134,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.7,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.7,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Korea Selatan Bawah 23 at 37.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Korea Selatan Bawah 23 as the value side (37.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +11.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +11.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.7/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +11.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.7/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+11.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"Decision strength: 3.7/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 80,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0777,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.4,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3911,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"raw_edge_display": "-1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4166666666666667,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0983,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-9.8%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 0.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.1"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.1
}
}
},
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"subline": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"tier": "observe"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Korea Selatan Bawah 23 1.35 xG vs Jepun Bawah 23 1.25 \u2192 Korea Selatan Bawah 23 37.5%",
"Market: Korea Selatan Bawah 23 ~39.1% implied",
"Market Drift: Korea Selatan Bawah 23 odds \u2191 +6.5%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -1.57,
"fair_prob": 37.54,
"label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"market_prob": 39.11,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.64,
"fair_prob": 29.61,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 28.97,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.93,
"fair_prob": 32.85,
"label": "Jepun Bawah 23",
"market_prob": 31.92,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.12,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 42.08,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.12,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 57.92,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.55,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 48.95,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.55,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 51.05,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": -1.57,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"market_prob_pct": 39.11,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 1.57,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Conflicts with model",
"positive": false
},
"market_prob_pct": 39.1,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-1.6 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -1.6,
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-1.6 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -1.6,
"label": "High",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 80,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23. This disagreement reduces confidence and prevents a Primary bet.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 36,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 37,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Korea Selatan Bawah 23 1.35 xG vs Jepun Bawah 23 1.25 \u2192 Korea Selatan Bawah 23 37.5%",
"Market: Korea Selatan Bawah 23 ~39.1% implied",
"Market Drift: Korea Selatan Bawah 23 odds \u2191 +6.5%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -1.57,
"hero_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23 odds lengthened \u2191 +6.5%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Korea Selatan Bawah 23."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"Recent line movement on Korea Selatan Bawah 23 (\u2191 +6.5%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (7/8) supports the current market view on Korea Selatan Bawah 23."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 1.57,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
"max_prob_pct": 37.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "aligned",
"largest_gap_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"largest_gap_pp": -1.6,
"lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
"level": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 1.6,
"title": "Broadly Aligned"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": -1.57,
"edge_pp": -1.57,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"market_prob_pct": 39.11,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 0.64,
"edge_pp": 0.64,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 28.97,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 0.93,
"edge_pp": 0.93,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Jepun Bawah 23",
"market_prob_pct": 31.92,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Korea Selatan Bawah 23 (39.1%).",
"However, Korea Selatan Bawah 23 has seen one of the strongest multi-book drifts of the day (\u2191 +6.5%, 7/8) \u2014 odds lengthened, not shortened.",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Korea Selatan Bawah 23, Market \u2192 Korea Selatan Bawah 23, while Korea Selatan Bawah 23 odds drifted longer (market fade).",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 41.67,
"closing_odds": 2.4,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 41.67,
"entry_odds": 2.4,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 7,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +12.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 12.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 36,
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +10.9%",
"odds_delta_pct": 10.9
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 5,
"bookmaker_name": "SBO",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +8.1%",
"odds_delta_pct": 8.1
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 7,
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +6.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": 6.7
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +6.5%",
"odds_delta_pct": 6.5
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +6.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 6.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +4.8%",
"odds_delta_pct": 4.8
}
],
"books_total": 8,
"breadth_display": "7/8",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.45,
"is_drift": true,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +6.5%",
"move_pct_abs": 6.5,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 30h 35m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"SBO led repricing on Korea Selatan Bawah 23 (6.5%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 6.5,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"2.45",
"2.38",
"2.30"
],
"display": "2.55 \u2192 2.17 \u2192 2.45",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 30h 35m",
"pick_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.55"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.17"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.45"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
2.3,
2.4,
2.45
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,6.0 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.30"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "2.30"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "2.45"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.45"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 2.3,
"page_alert_line": "Broad drift across 7/8 sportsbooks on Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "SBO",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 2.45,
"is_drift": true,
"label": "Market Signal",
"move_display": "\u2191 +6.5%",
"open_odds": 2.3,
"summary": "Market moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23 while the model still favours another side.",
"team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"tone": "against"
},
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 52,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/8",
"current_odds": 2.45,
"move_display": "\u2191 +6.5%",
"open_odds": 2.3,
"pick_team": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"steam_score": 52,
"steam_team_name": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 1.6,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "japan-u23",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Jepun Bawah 23",
"away_team_id": 10176,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10176.webp",
"away_team_name": "Jepun Bawah 23",
"away_team_public_id": "0IAH8cQHz0slTX",
"away_team_slug": "japan-u23",
"country_code": null,
"country_display_name": "World",
"country_flag": null,
"country_id": 168,
"country_name": "World",
"fixture_id": 1643349,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "South-Korea",
"home_team_display_name": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"home_team_id": 10177,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10177.webp",
"home_team_name": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"home_team_public_id": "4NRaQzYiRQKzmL",
"home_team_slug": "korea-republic-u23",
"ht.home_team_slug": "korea-republic-u23",
"league_country": "World",
"league_country_display": "World",
"league_display_name": "Sukan Asia",
"league_id": 803,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/803.webp",
"league_name": "Sukan Asia",
"league_public_id": "48hIWMeCe5IlvT",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-10-03 10:30:00",
"public_id": "3xBkAASxVilfBy",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Toyota",
"venue_name": "Toyota Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4436,
"best_odd": 2.94,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0042,
"ev": -0.0491,
"implied_prob": 0.3192,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3192,
"draw": 0.2897,
"home": 0.3911
},
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3234
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2973,
"best_odd": 3.24,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0018,
"ev": -0.0557,
"implied_prob": 0.2897,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3192,
"draw": 0.2897,
"home": 0.3911
},
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.2915
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4396,
"best_odd": 2.4,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0068,
"ev": -0.0777,
"implied_prob": 0.3911,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3192,
"draw": 0.2897,
"home": 0.3911
},
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"p_final": 0.3843
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 2.94,
"edge": -0.0114,
"ev": -0.0336,
"implied_prob": 0.3401,
"model_prob": 0.3287
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.24,
"edge": -0.013,
"ev": -0.0421,
"implied_prob": 0.3086,
"model_prob": 0.2956
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.4,
"edge": -0.041,
"ev": -0.0984,
"implied_prob": 0.4167,
"model_prob": 0.3757
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.2057,
"alpha_yes": 0.2057,
"best_no_odd": 1.85,
"best_yes_odd": 1.91,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": -0.0555,
"edge_yes": 0.0555,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1582,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0992,
"ev_yes": 0.041,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.0558,
"implied_no": 0.5105,
"implied_yes": 0.4895,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"best_odd": 1.8,
"edge": -0.0118,
"ev": -0.0992,
"implied_prob": 0.5122,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"p_final": 0.5004
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"best_odd": 1.89,
"edge": 0.0118,
"ev": -0.0558,
"implied_prob": 0.4878,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"p_final": 0.4996
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"p_final_no": 0.5004,
"p_final_yes": 0.4996,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.1632,
"alpha_under": 0.2244,
"best_over_odd": 2.31,
"best_under_odd": 1.66,
"consensus_over_odd": 2.225,
"consensus_under_odd": 1.61,
"edge_over": 0.0612,
"edge_under": -0.0612,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.1134,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.0433,
"ev_under": -0.1401,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0884,
"implied_over": 0.4208,
"implied_over_mf": 0.4198,
"implied_under": 0.5792,
"implied_under_mf": 0.5802,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1632,
"best_odd": 2.225,
"edge": 0.0101,
"ev": -0.0433,
"implied_prob": 0.4198,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.43
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2244,
"best_odd": 1.61,
"edge": -0.014,
"ev": -0.0884,
"implied_prob": 0.5802,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.5662
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.43,
"p_final_under": 0.5662,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_regime": {
"action": "avoid",
"code": "no_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"stake_mult": 0.0,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "no_bet",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1134,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1134,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1134,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.7,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 4.7,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.7,
"score_pre_penalty": 4.7
},
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "no_bet",
"final_decision": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.6,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1134,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1134,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.7,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.7,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Korea Selatan Bawah 23 at 37.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Korea Selatan Bawah 23 as the value side (37.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.5,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +11.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +11.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.7/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +11.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.7/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+11.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"Decision strength: 3.7/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 80,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Korea Selatan Bawah 23, but the model still strongly favours Korea Selatan Bawah 23.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0777,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.4,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3911,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"raw_edge_display": "-1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4166666666666667,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0983,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-9.8%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 0.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.1"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.1
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 2.4,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0068,
"ev": -0.0777,
"implied_prob": 0.3911,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.89,
"edge": 0.0118,
"market_prob": 0.4878,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"best_odd": 1.8,
"edge": -0.0118,
"ev": -0.0992,
"implied_prob": 0.5122,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"p_final": 0.5004
},
"p_final": 0.4996,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0558,
"value_side": "yes",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2057,
"best_odd": 1.89,
"edge": 0.0118,
"ev": -0.0558,
"implied_prob": 0.4878,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"p_final": 0.4996
}
},
"edge": 0.0555,
"ev": 0.041,
"implied_prob": 0.4895,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1632,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.225,
"edge": 0.0101,
"market_prob": 0.4198,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1632,
"best_odd": 2.225,
"edge": 0.0101,
"ev": -0.0433,
"implied_prob": 0.4198,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.43
},
"p_final": 0.43,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0433,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2244,
"best_odd": 1.61,
"edge": -0.014,
"ev": -0.0884,
"implied_prob": 0.5802,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.5662
},
"value_side": "over"
},
"edge": 0.0612,
"ev": 0.1134,
"implied_prob": 0.4208,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1643349,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1134,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3287,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3757
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Jepun Bawah 23",
"home": "Korea Selatan Bawah 23"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.038261,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1134,
"implied_prob": 0.4208,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0777,
"consensus_ev_display": "-7.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.4,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3911,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"raw_edge_display": "-1.5 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -1.5,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4166666666666667,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0983,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-9.8%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1643349,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-10-03T10:29:22.578081+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Korea Selatan Bawah 23 & Jepun Bawah 23!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Sukan Asia — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jepun Bawah 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Thailand B-23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Kyrgyzstan B-23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Hong Kong U23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jepun Bawah 23 | 3 | 12 | 0 | +12 | 9 |
| 2 | Thailand B-23 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | Kyrgyzstan B-23 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Hong Kong U23 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
