The model missed the final outcome (Wisła Kraków win 3–4).
The model had projected Piast Gliwice at 37.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
F
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Piast Gliwice Wisła Kraków ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-4 ✖ tak betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 7 goals materialised
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (7 goals)
Market lesson
The full-time result was Wisła Kraków win 3–4, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Oct 02, 2026 · 10:00 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Piast Gliwice 1.33 — Wisła Kraków 1.27
-
Oct 02, 2026 · 10:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Wisła Kraków win · 3–4
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Missed
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Wisła Kraków win · Piast Gliwice 3–4 Wisła Kraków
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "639050691c6ad71137bec4f1a544a71aa642be6bc83d8941fc88414c033e23de",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.27,
"away_win_prob": 0.3478,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.465,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.535,
"dc_rho": -0.05,
"draw_prob": 0.2763,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.88,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.62,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.66,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.33,
"home_win_prob": 0.3759,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w"
},
"away_xg": 1.27,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Piast Gliwice",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0119,
"edge_gap": 0.0287,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3643,
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 34.7,
"draw": 27.6,
"home": 37.6
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.44
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.44,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Piast Gliwice Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.74,
"market_odds": 2.44,
"model_odds": 2.66,
"overround": 12.5,
"prob_edge": -3.4,
"value_pct": -8.3,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 4,
"away_played": 12,
"away_score_rate": 71.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
"home_failed_to_score": 4,
"home_played": 9,
"home_score_rate": 73.6,
"no_prob": 46.5,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 53.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 53.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.27,
"home_expected": 1.33,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.9
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Piast Gliwice or Draw",
"prob": 65.2
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Piast Gliwice or Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"prob": 72.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"prob": 62.4
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Piast Gliwice or Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"pick_prob": 72.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 34.8,
"draw_pct": 27.6,
"home_pct": 37.6,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Piast Gliwice"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.6,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.7,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": -8.3,
"implied_prob": 41.0,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Piast Gliwice Win",
"model_prob": 37.6,
"odds": 2.44
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 36.13,
"draw": 27.44,
"home": 36.43
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-10-02 10:00:33",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-10-02 09:30:47",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Piast Gliwice",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 36.43,
"gap_pp": 1.19,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 37.62
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.44,
"gap_pp": 0.21,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 27.64
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 36.13,
"gap_pp": -1.39,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 34.74
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.84,
"gap_pp": -12.64,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.16,
"gap_pp": 12.64,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.44,
"early": 2.44,
"implied_closing_pct": 36.43,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 36.43,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.24,
"early": 3.24,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.44,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 27.44,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.46,
"early": 2.46,
"implied_closing_pct": 36.13,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 36.13,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.5,
"early": 1.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.84,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.84,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.33,
"early": 2.33,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.16,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.16,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 12.6,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": 2.0,
"ev": 0.1875,
"has_edge": true,
"label": "1-1",
"market_odds": 9.5,
"market_prob": 0.1053,
"market_prob_pct": 10.5,
"model_prob": 0.125,
"model_prob_pct": 12.5,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"status_key": "positive_edge"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.9
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
]
},
"home_xg": 1.33,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1437,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0193,
"edge_pp": 1.9,
"market_prob": 0.3836,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1976,
"best_odd": 1.5,
"edge": -0.0266,
"ev": -0.1153,
"implied_prob": 0.6164,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5898
},
"p_final": 0.4029,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 13.4,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.2484,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0289,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1437,
"best_odd": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0193,
"ev": -0.0289,
"implied_prob": 0.3836,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4029
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.277,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -27.7,
"text": "-27.7%"
},
"ev_under": 0.3209,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 32.1,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.3209,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10438.81,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1497,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.605,
"edge": 0.0168,
"edge_pp": 1.7,
"market_prob": 0.3528,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.465,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1497,
"best_odd": 2.605,
"edge": 0.0168,
"ev": -0.0372,
"implied_prob": 0.3528,
"model_prob": 0.465,
"p_final": 0.3696
},
"p_final": 0.3696,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 11.2,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.2113,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0372,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2058,
"best_odd": 1.42,
"edge": -0.0231,
"ev": -0.1138,
"implied_prob": 0.6472,
"model_prob": 0.535,
"p_final": 0.6241
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2369,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 23.7,
"text": "+23.7%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.2296,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -23.0,
"text": "-23.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2369,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no_prob": 46.5,
"sort_key": 10213.21,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 53.5
},
{
"authority_action": "no_bet",
"authority_note": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"consensus_odds": 2.44,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"ev": -0.0983,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -9.8,
"text": "-9.8%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3643,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": -0.0983,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -9.8,
"text": "-9.8%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.2,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0821,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-8.2%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "Piast Gliwice",
"sort_key": 1775.425,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "7/7",
"alert_breadth_note": "7/7 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"alert_team": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 1.4,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -1.35,
"hero_label": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"market_prob_pct": 36.4,
"market_team": "Piast Gliwice",
"model_prob_pct": 37.6,
"model_team": "Piast Gliwice",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Direction aligned; check pricing gap separately",
"steam_score": 48,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.4,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.4,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.4,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.4,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.3209,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.8,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Piast Gliwice at 37.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 36.4%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Piast Gliwice as the value side (37.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.2,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Piast Gliwice",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +32.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +32.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +32.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "81 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+32.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 81,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0983,
"consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.44,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3643,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4098360655737705,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0821,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-8.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": true,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -1.5,
"reasons": [
"Low xG separation gap=0.06 (noise / no edge)"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "flat",
"block_value_alert": true,
"separation_score": -20,
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"xg_gap": 0.06
}
}
},
"bet_status": "no_bet",
"books_breadth_display": "7/7",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 68,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam conflicts with model",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Steam conflicts with model",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 24.3,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 0.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 81,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 1.35,
"market_agreement": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 1.35,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.27,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": -1.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.33,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.33,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.33 \u00b7 Away xG 1.27 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation -1%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": -3.0,
"steam_conflicts": true,
"steam_move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"steam_team": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 36,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 37,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.4,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.4,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.4,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.4,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.3209,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.8,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Piast Gliwice at 37.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 36.4%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Piast Gliwice as the value side (37.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.2,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Piast Gliwice",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +32.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +32.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +32.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "81 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+32.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 81,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0983,
"consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.44,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3643,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4098360655737705,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0821,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-8.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": true,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -1.5,
"reasons": [
"Low xG separation gap=0.06 (noise / no edge)"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "flat",
"block_value_alert": true,
"separation_score": -20,
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"xg_gap": 0.06
}
}
},
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"subline": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"tier": "observe"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Piast Gliwice 1.33 xG vs Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w 1.27 \u2192 Piast Gliwice 37.6%",
"Market: Piast Gliwice ~36.4% implied",
"Market Steam: Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w \u2193 -3.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Piast Gliwice, but sharp money moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 1.16,
"fair_prob": 37.59,
"label": "Piast Gliwice",
"market_prob": 36.43,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.19,
"fair_prob": 27.63,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 27.44,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -1.35,
"fair_prob": 34.78,
"label": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"market_prob": 36.13,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -13.9,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 62.1,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 13.9,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 37.9,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.29,
"fair_prob": 53.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 64.79,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 11.29,
"fair_prob": 46.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 35.21,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": -1.35,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.78,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"market_prob_pct": 36.13,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 1.35,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Piast Gliwice",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Conflicts with model",
"positive": false
},
"market_prob_pct": 36.4,
"model_prob_gap_display": "+1.2 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": 1.2,
"model_prob_pct": 37.6,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "+1.2 percentage points",
"gap_pp": 1.2,
"label": "High",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 81,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice. This disagreement reduces confidence and prevents a Primary bet.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 36,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 37,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 32,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Piast Gliwice 1.33 xG vs Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w 1.27 \u2192 Piast Gliwice 37.6%",
"Market: Piast Gliwice ~36.4% implied",
"Market Steam: Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w \u2193 -3.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Piast Gliwice, but sharp money moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -1.35,
"hero_label": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w odds shortened \u2193 -3.0%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"Recent line movement on Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w (\u2193 -3.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (7/7) supports the current market view on Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 1.35,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 2.8 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 2.8,
"max_prob_pct": 37.6,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "aligned",
"largest_gap_label": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"largest_gap_pp": -1.4,
"lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
"level": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 1.4,
"title": "Broadly Aligned"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 1.16,
"edge_pp": 1.16,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.59,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Piast Gliwice",
"market_prob_pct": 36.43,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 0.19,
"edge_pp": 0.19,
"fair_prob_pct": 27.63,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 27.44,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -1.35,
"edge_pp": -1.35,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.78,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"market_prob_pct": 36.13,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Piast Gliwice (36.4%).",
"Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -3.0%, 7/7).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Piast Gliwice, Market \u2192 Piast Gliwice, Recent sharp money \u2192 Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 40.65,
"closing_odds": 2.46,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 40.65,
"entry_odds": 2.46,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 7,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 36,
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -10.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": -10.7
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 3,
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -9.3%",
"odds_delta_pct": -9.3
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -8.2%",
"odds_delta_pct": -8.2
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -7.1%",
"odds_delta_pct": -7.1
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -5.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": -5.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"odds_delta_pct": -3.0
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -2.0%",
"odds_delta_pct": -2.0
}
],
"books_total": 7,
"breadth_display": "7/7",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"is_drift": false,
"move_context": "Highest consensus move",
"move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.0,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 25h 54m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Betfair led repricing on Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w (3.0%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": -3.0,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"2.70",
"2.58",
"2.46"
],
"display": "2.80 \u2192 2.45 \u2192 2.62",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 25h 54m",
"pick_team": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.80"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.45"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.62"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
2.7,
2.46,
2.62
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,18.0 56.0,6.0",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.70"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "2.46"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "2.70"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.62"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 2.7,
"page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 7/7 sportsbooks on Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Betfair",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 2.62,
"is_drift": false,
"label": "Sharp signal",
"move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"open_odds": 2.7,
"summary": "Market moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w while the model still favours another side.",
"team": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"tone": "against"
},
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 48,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/7",
"current_odds": 2.62,
"move_display": "\u2193 -3.0%",
"open_odds": 2.7,
"pick_team": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"steam_score": 48,
"steam_team_name": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 1.4,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "wisla-krakow",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"away_team_id": 338,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/338.webp",
"away_team_name": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"away_team_public_id": "0RX8hbJEUTsO1M",
"away_team_slug": "wisla-krakow",
"country_code": null,
"country_display_name": "World",
"country_flag": null,
"country_id": 168,
"country_name": "World",
"fixture_id": 1642916,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Poland",
"home_team_display_name": "Piast Gliwice",
"home_team_id": 349,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/349.webp",
"home_team_name": "Piast Gliwice",
"home_team_public_id": "5lqJ1TpRNKvAON",
"home_team_slug": "piast-gliwice",
"ht.home_team_slug": "piast-gliwice",
"league_country": "World",
"league_country_display": "World",
"league_display_name": "Perlawanan Persahabatan Kelab",
"league_id": 667,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/667.webp",
"league_name": "Perlawanan Persahabatan Kelab",
"league_public_id": "3I6eEw8WBX7aoH",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-10-02 10:00:00",
"public_id": "37AJwlb2ByUTpl",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4406,
"best_odd": 2.46,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0061,
"ev": -0.1262,
"implied_prob": 0.3613,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3613,
"draw": 0.2744,
"home": 0.3643
},
"model_prob": 0.3474,
"p_final": 0.3552
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2991,
"best_odd": 3.24,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0006,
"ev": -0.1091,
"implied_prob": 0.2744,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3613,
"draw": 0.2744,
"home": 0.3643
},
"model_prob": 0.2764,
"p_final": 0.275
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.442,
"best_odd": 2.44,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0052,
"ev": -0.0983,
"implied_prob": 0.3643,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3613,
"draw": 0.2744,
"home": 0.3643
},
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"p_final": 0.3695
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 2.46,
"edge": -0.0591,
"ev": -0.1453,
"implied_prob": 0.4065,
"model_prob": 0.3474
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.24,
"edge": -0.0322,
"ev": -0.1044,
"implied_prob": 0.3086,
"model_prob": 0.2764
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.44,
"edge": -0.0337,
"ev": -0.0822,
"implied_prob": 0.4098,
"model_prob": 0.3762
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.1497,
"alpha_yes": 0.2058,
"best_no_odd": 2.66,
"best_yes_odd": 1.44,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.1129,
"edge_yes": -0.1129,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2369,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0372,
"ev_yes": -0.2296,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1138,
"implied_no": 0.3521,
"implied_yes": 0.6479,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1497,
"best_odd": 2.605,
"edge": 0.0168,
"ev": -0.0372,
"implied_prob": 0.3528,
"model_prob": 0.465,
"p_final": 0.3696
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2058,
"best_odd": 1.42,
"edge": -0.0231,
"ev": -0.1138,
"implied_prob": 0.6472,
"model_prob": 0.535,
"p_final": 0.6241
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"p_final_no": 0.3696,
"p_final_yes": 0.6241,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.1976,
"alpha_under": 0.1437,
"best_over_odd": 1.5,
"best_under_odd": 2.55,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.5,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.41,
"edge_over": -0.139,
"edge_under": 0.139,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.277,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1153,
"ev_under": 0.3209,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0289,
"implied_over": 0.621,
"implied_over_mf": 0.6164,
"implied_under": 0.379,
"implied_under_mf": 0.3836,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1976,
"best_odd": 1.5,
"edge": -0.0266,
"ev": -0.1153,
"implied_prob": 0.6164,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5898
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1437,
"best_odd": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0193,
"ev": -0.0289,
"implied_prob": 0.3836,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4029
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.5898,
"p_final_under": 0.4029,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_regime": {
"action": "avoid",
"code": "no_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"stake_mult": 0.0,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "no_bet",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.3209,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.3209,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 4.8,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_pre_penalty": 4.8
},
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "no_bet",
"final_decision": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 1.4,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 1.4,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.3209,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 4.8,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 36,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Piast Gliwice at 37.6%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 36.4%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Piast Gliwice as the value side (37.6%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.2,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Piast Gliwice",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +32.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +32.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +32.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "81 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "36 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+32.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 81,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved toward Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Piast Gliwice.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0983,
"consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.44,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3643,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4098360655737705,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0821,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-8.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": true,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -1.5,
"reasons": [
"Low xG separation gap=0.06 (noise / no edge)"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "flat",
"block_value_alert": true,
"separation_score": -20,
"strength_delta": -2.0,
"xg_gap": 0.06
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.535,
"draw_prob": 0.2764,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3762,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 2.44,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0052,
"ev": -0.0983,
"implied_prob": 0.3643,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Piast Gliwice"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1497,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.605,
"edge": 0.0168,
"market_prob": 0.3528,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.465,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1497,
"best_odd": 2.605,
"edge": 0.0168,
"ev": -0.0372,
"implied_prob": 0.3528,
"model_prob": 0.465,
"p_final": 0.3696
},
"p_final": 0.3696,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0372,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2058,
"best_odd": 1.42,
"edge": -0.0231,
"ev": -0.1138,
"implied_prob": 0.6472,
"model_prob": 0.535,
"p_final": 0.6241
}
},
"edge": 0.1129,
"ev": 0.2369,
"implied_prob": 0.3521,
"model_prob": 0.465,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1437,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0193,
"market_prob": 0.3836,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1976,
"best_odd": 1.5,
"edge": -0.0266,
"ev": -0.1153,
"implied_prob": 0.6164,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5898
},
"p_final": 0.4029,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0289,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1437,
"best_odd": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0193,
"ev": -0.0289,
"implied_prob": 0.3836,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4029
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.139,
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.379,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1642916,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3209,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3474,
"draw": 0.2764,
"home": 0.3762
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2369,
"implied_prob": 0.3521,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.465,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2369,
"implied_prob": 0.3521,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.465,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Wis\u0142a Krak\u00f3w",
"home": "Piast Gliwice"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.166226,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.379,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0983,
"consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
"consensus_odds": 2.44,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3643,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3762,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4098360655737705,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0821,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-8.2%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1642916,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-10-02T10:00:35.287997+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Piast Gliwice & Wisła Kraków!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Dunia. Perlawanan Persahabatan Kelab Ramalan
