The model missed the final outcome (Korba win 3–0).
The model had projected EGS Gafsa at 35.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 EGS Gafsa Korba ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-0 ✖ tak betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 3 goals materialised
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (3 goals)
Market lesson
The full-time result was Korba win 3–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
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Sep 29, 2026 · 01:58 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Korba 1.29 — EGS Gafsa 1.31
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Oct 04, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Korba win · 3–0
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Korba & EGS Gafsa!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Ligue 2 Tunisia — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EM Mahdia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Mégrine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | M'saken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | AS Soliman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Redeyef | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting Ben Arous | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AS Kasserine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kalaâ Sport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Bouchamma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | JS Kairouanaise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | US Tataouine | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Ariana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Stade Gabesien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Ksour Essef | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Olympique du Kef | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Béni-Khalled | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Stade Soussien | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | AS Gabes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | CS Chebba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | AS Agareb | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | CO Medenine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 | EGS Gafsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Jendouba Sport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Korba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Kerkennah | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 | Moknine | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Soliman | 1 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | EM Mahdia | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sporting Ben Arous | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Redeyef | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 | Mégrine | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | M'saken | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sfax Railways | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | AS Kasserine | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Kalaâ Sport | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Béni-Khalled | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Stade Soussien | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | US Tataouine | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Kerkennah | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | AS Agareb | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Bouchamma | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | JS Kairouanaise | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 | Ariana | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Stade Gabesien | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | AS Gabes | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 | CS Chebba | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 22 | CO Medenine | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | EGS Gafsa | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Ksour Essef | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 25 | Olympique du Kef | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 26 | Jendouba Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Korba | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Moknine | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |