AI correctly predicted the Yacoub El Mansour win.
The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
F
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Yacoub El Mansour Yacoub El Mansour ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-0 ✔ Betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yacoub El Mansour | 45.8% | 53.0% | -7.2 pp | Market Higher |
| Draw | 28.8% | 28.4% | +0.5 pp | Aligned |
| Chabab Mohammédia | 25.4% | 18.7% | +6.7 pp | Model Higher |
The closing market estimates Yacoub El Mansour's win probability at 53.0%, compared with the model's estimate of 45.8%, a difference of 7.2 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Yacoub El Mansour win 2–0).
Market Assessment
The market and model broadly agree on Yacoub El Mansour. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.
- Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Yacoub El Mansour attacking xG significantly stronger (1.52 vs 1.08)
- Exact score 2–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (2 goals)
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Yacoub El Mansour higher (53.0% vs model 45.8%, 7.2 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Yacoub El Mansour win 2–0).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 18:03 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Yacoub El Mansour 45.8% · Draw 28.8% · Chabab Mohammédia 25.4%
- xG · Yacoub El Mansour 1.52 — Chabab Mohammédia 1.08
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 17:33 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Yacoub El Mansour 1.68 · Draw 3.14 · Chabab Mohammédia 4.77
- Implied 1X2 · Yacoub El Mansour 53.0% · Draw 28.4% · Chabab Mohammédia 18.7%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 18:03 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Yacoub El Mansour 1.68 · Draw 3.14 · Chabab Mohammédia 4.77
- Implied 1X2 · Yacoub El Mansour 53.0% · Draw 28.4% · Chabab Mohammédia 18.7%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 18:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Yacoub El Mansour win · 2–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
75/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Pricing proximity (inverse gap)
64/100
Betting Confidence
78/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.68
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Yacoub El Mansour win · Yacoub El Mansour 2–0 Chabab Mohammédia
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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},
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"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Yacoub El Mansour at 45.8%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 53.0%.",
"why": [
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"text": "Decision Model identifies Yacoub El Mansour as the value side (45.8%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
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"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
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}
],
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},
"gap_pp": 7.2,
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"headline": "Primary Bet",
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"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +20.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.3/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +20.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.3/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
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{
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{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "83 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "87 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+20.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Yacoub El Mansour).",
"Decision strength: 8.3/10"
],
"reliability_score": 83,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1741,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.68,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5299,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4584,
"raw_edge_display": "-7.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -7.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5952380952380952,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2299,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.0%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 12.6,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.44"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.44
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "7/7",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 75,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 21.4,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 5.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 83,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 7.17,
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 7.17,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.08,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 13.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.52,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.52,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.52 \u00b7 Away xG 1.08 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +13%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
"steam_conflicts": null,
"steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
"steam_team": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 87,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 64,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 45,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 64,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Yacoub El Mansour).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 7.2,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 7.2,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Yacoub El Mansour)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 7.2,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 7.2,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Yacoub El Mansour)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.205,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2098,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.3,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.8,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 87,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Yacoub El Mansour at 45.8%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 53.0%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Yacoub El Mansour as the value side (45.8%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 7.2,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +20.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.3/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +20.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.3/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "83 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "87 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+20.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Yacoub El Mansour).",
"Decision strength: 8.3/10"
],
"reliability_score": 83,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1741,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.68,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5299,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4584,
"raw_edge_display": "-7.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -7.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5952380952380952,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2299,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.0%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 12.6,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.44"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.44
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Yacoub El Mansour 1.52 xG vs Chabab Mohamm\u00e9dia 1.08 \u2192 Yacoub El Mansour 45.8%",
"Market: Yacoub El Mansour ~53.0% implied",
"Market Steam: Yacoub El Mansour +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Yacoub El Mansour projects stronger on expected goals (+0.44 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -7.17,
"fair_prob": 45.82,
"label": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"market_prob": 52.99,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 0.46,
"fair_prob": 28.81,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 28.35,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.71,
"fair_prob": 25.37,
"label": "Chabab Mohamm\u00e9dia",
"market_prob": 18.66,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.24,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 37.96,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.24,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 62.04,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 11.59,
"fair_prob": 53.2,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 41.61,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.59,
"fair_prob": 46.8,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 58.39,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -7.17,
"fair_prob_pct": 45.82,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"market_prob_pct": 52.99,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Yacoub El Mansour"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Yacoub El Mansour\u0027s win probability at 53.0%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 45.8%, a difference of 7.2 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 7.17,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 53.0,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-7.2 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -7.2,
"model_prob_pct": 45.8,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-7.2 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -7.2,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 83,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "Yacoub El Mansour \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 87,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 64,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 45,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 64,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Yacoub El Mansour 1.52 xG vs Chabab Mohamm\u00e9dia 1.08 \u2192 Yacoub El Mansour 45.8%",
"Market: Yacoub El Mansour ~53.0% implied",
"Market Steam: Yacoub El Mansour +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Yacoub El Mansour projects stronger on expected goals (+0.44 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -7.17,
"hero_label": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Yacoub El Mansour. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Yacoub El Mansour.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on Yacoub El Mansour. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Yacoub El Mansour."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices Yacoub El Mansour above the current fair estimate.",
"Recent line movement on Yacoub El Mansour (+0.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (7/7) supports the current market view on Yacoub El Mansour."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 7.17,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 17.0 pp (at 45.8%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 17.0,
"max_prob_pct": 45.8,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "moderate",
"largest_gap_label": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"largest_gap_pp": -7.2,
"lead": "The closing market prices Yacoub El Mansour higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 7.2,
"title": "Moderate Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": -7.17,
"edge_pp": -7.17,
"fair_prob_pct": 45.82,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"market_prob_pct": 52.99,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 0.46,
"edge_pp": 0.46,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.81,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 28.35,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 6.71,
"edge_pp": 6.71,
"fair_prob_pct": 25.37,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Chabab Mohamm\u00e9dia",
"market_prob_pct": 18.66,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Yacoub El Mansour.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Yacoub El Mansour (53.0%).",
"Yacoub El Mansour \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 59.52,
"closing_odds": 1.68,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 59.52,
"entry_odds": 1.68,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/7",
"current_odds": 1.7,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 1.7,
"pick_team": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"steam_score": 40,
"steam_team_name": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 7.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
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},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "chabab-mohammedia",
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"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Chabab Mohamm\u00e9dia",
"away_team_id": 6387,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6387.webp",
"away_team_name": "Chabab Mohamm\u00e9dia",
"away_team_public_id": "5NywZquvf2VKb6",
"away_team_slug": "chabab-mohammedia",
"country_code": "MA",
"country_display_name": "Morocco",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ma.svg",
"country_id": 111,
"country_name": "Morocco",
"fixture_id": 1641158,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Morocco",
"home_team_display_name": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"home_team_id": 25058,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/25058.webp",
"home_team_name": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"home_team_public_id": "4D3lJrKV2B31aC",
"home_team_slug": "yacoub-el-mansour",
"ht.home_team_slug": "yacoub-el-mansour",
"league_country": "Morocco",
"league_country_display": "Morocco",
"league_display_name": "Botola 2",
"league_id": 201,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/201.webp",
"league_name": "Botola 2",
"league_public_id": "1413D8lfqq3YGD",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-26 18:00:00",
"public_id": "5gIG75hzeg0Y8i",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1799,
"best_odd": 4.77,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0121,
"ev": -0.0523,
"implied_prob": 0.1866,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.1866,
"draw": 0.2835,
"home": 0.5299
},
"model_prob": 0.2536,
"p_final": 0.1987
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.298,
"best_odd": 3.14,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0013,
"ev": -0.1056,
"implied_prob": 0.2835,
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},
"model_prob": 0.288,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0383,
"ev": -0.1741,
"implied_prob": 0.5299,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.1866,
"draw": 0.2835,
"home": 0.5299
},
"model_prob": 0.4584,
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}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 4.77,
"edge": 0.044,
"ev": 0.2098,
"implied_prob": 0.2096,
"model_prob": 0.2536
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.14,
"edge": -0.0305,
"ev": -0.0957,
"implied_prob": 0.3185,
"model_prob": 0.288
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 1.68,
"edge": -0.1368,
"ev": -0.2299,
"implied_prob": 0.5952,
"model_prob": 0.4584
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.2054,
"alpha_yes": 0.1867,
"best_no_odd": 1.58,
"best_yes_odd": 2.25,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": -0.1159,
"edge_yes": 0.1159,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2606,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.1239,
"ev_yes": 0.197,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.0412,
"implied_no": 0.5839,
"implied_yes": 0.4161,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2054,
"best_odd": 1.57,
"edge": -0.0233,
"ev": -0.1239,
"implied_prob": 0.5813,
"model_prob": 0.468,
"p_final": 0.5581
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1867,
"best_odd": 2.18,
"edge": 0.0212,
"ev": -0.0412,
"implied_prob": 0.4187,
"model_prob": 0.532,
"p_final": 0.4398
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"p_final_no": 0.5581,
"p_final_yes": 0.4398,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.153,
"alpha_under": 0.2103,
"best_over_odd": 2.5,
"best_under_odd": 1.5,
"consensus_over_odd": 2.38,
"consensus_under_odd": 1.47,
"edge_over": 0.1024,
"edge_under": -0.1024,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.205,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.0548,
"ev_under": -0.223,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.1222,
"implied_over": 0.3796,
"implied_over_mf": 0.3818,
"implied_under": 0.6204,
"implied_under_mf": 0.6182,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.153,
"best_odd": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0153,
"ev": -0.0548,
"implied_prob": 0.3818,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.3971
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2103,
"best_odd": 1.47,
"edge": -0.0211,
"ev": -0.1222,
"implied_prob": 0.6182,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.5971
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.3971,
"p_final_under": 0.5971,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.205,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2098,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.205,
"confidence": 6.5,
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"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 8.3,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.8,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 8.3,
"score_pre_penalty": 7.8
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 7.2,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 7.2,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Yacoub El Mansour)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.205,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2098,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.3,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.8,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 87,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Yacoub El Mansour at 45.8%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 53.0%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Yacoub El Mansour as the value side (45.8%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 7.2,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Yacoub El Mansour",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +20.5% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.3/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +20.5% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.3/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "83 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "87 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+20.5% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Yacoub El Mansour).",
"Decision strength: 8.3/10"
],
"reliability_score": 83,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1741,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.68,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5299,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4584,
"raw_edge_display": "-7.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -7.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5952380952380952,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2299,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.0%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 12.6,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.44"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.44
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.532,
"draw_prob": 0.288,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4584,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.44
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.68,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0383,
"ev": -0.1741,
"implied_prob": 0.5299,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4584,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Yacoub El Mansour"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1867,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.18,
"edge": 0.0212,
"market_prob": 0.4187,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
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"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
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"edge": -0.0233,
"ev": -0.1239,
"implied_prob": 0.5813,
"model_prob": 0.468,
"p_final": 0.5581
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"p_final": 0.4398,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0412,
"value_side": "yes",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1867,
"best_odd": 2.18,
"edge": 0.0212,
"ev": -0.0412,
"implied_prob": 0.4187,
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},
"edge": 0.1159,
"ev": 0.197,
"implied_prob": 0.4161,
"model_prob": 0.532,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.153,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0153,
"market_prob": 0.3818,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.153,
"best_odd": 2.38,
"edge": 0.0153,
"ev": -0.0548,
"implied_prob": 0.3818,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.3971
},
"p_final": 0.3971,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0548,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2103,
"best_odd": 1.47,
"edge": -0.0211,
"ev": -0.1222,
"implied_prob": 0.6182,
"model_prob": 0.518,
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},
"value_side": "over"
},
"edge": 0.1024,
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3796,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1641158,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.205,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2536,
"draw": 0.288,
"home": 0.4584
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3796,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.205,
"implied_prob": 0.3796,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Chabab Mohamm\u00e9dia",
"home": "Yacoub El Mansour"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.104804,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.197,
"implied_prob": 0.4161,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.532,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1741,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.68,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5299,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4584,
"raw_edge_display": "-7.2 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -7.2,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5952380952380952,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2299,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.0%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1641158,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-26T18:03:03.881169+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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