AI correctly predicted the Arsenal Wanita win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Arsenal Wanita Arsenal Wanita ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Wanita | 43.8% | 89.8% | -46.0 pp | Market Higher |
| Draw | 29.1% | 6.4% | +22.7 pp | Model Edge |
| Køge | 27.1% | 3.8% | +23.2 pp | Model Edge |
The closing market estimates Arsenal Wanita's win probability at 89.8%, compared with the model's estimate of 43.8%, a difference of 46.0 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Arsenal Wanita win 1–0).
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Arsenal Wanita attacking xG significantly stronger (1.48 vs 1.12)
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Arsenal Wanita higher (89.8% vs model 43.8%, 46.0 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Arsenal Wanita win 1–0).
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Sep 22, 2026 · 18:59 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Arsenal Wanita 43.9% · Draw 29.1% · Køge 27.1%
- xG · Arsenal Wanita 1.48 — Køge 1.12
-
Sep 22, 2026 · 18:29 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Arsenal Wanita 1.04 · Draw 14.62 · Køge 24.46
- Implied 1X2 · Arsenal Wanita 89.8% · Draw 6.4% · Køge 3.8%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 22, 2026 · 18:59 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Arsenal Wanita 1.04 · Draw 14.62 · Køge 24.46
- Implied 1X2 · Arsenal Wanita 89.8% · Draw 6.4% · Køge 3.8%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 22, 2026 · 19:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Arsenal Wanita win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Label sejarah: Originally displayed as "Wait for validation".
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Fail
- Large market gap (46 pp)
- No strong statistical edge
- Market strongly disagrees on price
- Validation failed
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
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Langgan Sekarang
Liga Juara-Juara Wanita UEFA — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Barcelona Wanita | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | SL Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal Wanita | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelsea W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Inter Milano Wanita | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Manchester City Wanita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Paris Saint Germain W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Real Madrid W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | OH Leuven W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Roma Wanita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Juventus Wanita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Austria Wien W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Häcken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Køge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC Wanita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Servette Chênois W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon W | 1 | 8 | 0 | +8 | 3 |
| 2 | Barcelona Wanita | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 | SL Benfica | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester City Wanita | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Bayern Munich W | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Paris FC Wanita | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 7 | Arsenal Wanita | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Chelsea W | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Inter Milano Wanita | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Paris Saint Germain W | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Real Madrid W | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Juventus Wanita | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | OH Leuven W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Roma Wanita | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Austria Wien W | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Häcken | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Køge | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Servette Chênois W | 1 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 |
